August 2022

[Stormlover74]

nam for tonight

[Rjay]

1 minute ago, wthrmn654 said:

I've seen multiple stations with insane Dewpoint#s, 75-80 while others are 70-75.. at first I thought it was station error but now idk what to believe... could the Dewpoint be that drastically different from shoreline to more or 2 away ?

Vegetation could play a factor 

[Cfa]

4 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

I've seen multiple stations with insane Dewpoint#s, 75-80 while others are 70-75.. at first I thought it was station error but now idk what to believe... could the Dewpoint be that drastically different from shoreline to more or 2 away ?

Cheap sensors and evapotranspiration.

[nycwinter]

nyc central park hit 97 today..

[tdp146]

8 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Vegetation could play a factor 

I think is this why mine “runs high”. I live right across the street from a forested nature preserve. I can feel temperature differences even just walking a block away sometimes. Especially in the evening. So I don’t think my sensor is wrong, I just think that’s what it is for where my house is located. 

[weathermedic]

Hottest day of the year at my station. Hit 99.

[weathermedic]

40 minutes ago, TWCCraig said:

HRRR has consistently, since 0z run last night and almost every consecutive run, been showing cells firing over central Long Island during the evening hours tonight. It hasn't been too bad with the location of cells for today, it had the storms over the sound, north shore, CT and SE New England, so who knows if it will be right. Obviously, no model is perfect with convection like this. The front is pretty visible on OKX, still over CT. Storms are still building off of it. Interested to see what happens when it hits the sea breeze boundary.

Cells starting to fire now over Nassau county.

[psv88]

It's 7,000 degrees, there is a cold and sea breeze front all around, and cannot buy a drop. Incredible.

[Cfa]

KNYC deserves a brushfire.

[WestBabylonWeather]

Today feels like the hottest day of the year on Long Island so far

[RedSky]

NAM sucks don't believe it

[Cfa]

90/75 on my thermometer. Weather station DP is 79.

Thankfully it only behaves like this when it’s Mumbai outside, although I wish it didn’t.

[donsutherland1]

The heatwave that sent temperatures into the upper 90s into southern New England is now concluding. High temperatures today included:

Allentown: 95°
Atlantic City: 98°
Baltimore: 97°
Boston: 98°
Bridgeport: 94°
Concord: 91°
Hartford: 95°
Islip: 94°
Manchester: 94°
New York City-JFK: 93°
New York City-LGA: 98°
New York City-NYC: 97°
Newark: 101°
Philadelphia: 98°
Poughkeepsie: 94°
Providence: 98°
Washington, DC: 97°
Wilmington, DE: 97°

Cooler air will begin to arrive overnight. Even cooler air will move into the region late in the week with the weekend featuring unseasonably cool weather. Outside of the Philadelphia and New York City urban areas, the potential exists for low temperatures to fall into the 50s at some locations.

Across the Atlantic Ocean, parts of the UK, including London, could see another round of withering heat. Temperatures could top out near or above 95° on Thursday and Friday.

The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. Based on how the pattern has been evolving during the spring transition to summer, it is more likely than not that the warmest anomalies of the summer will likely occur in July and August with June being the coolest of the three months in the Northeast.

In addition, in the 6 past cases when the June AO averaged +0.750 or above (1950-2021), 67% of the following August and September cases featured above normal temperatures. The August ECMWF forecast shows a warmer than normal September in the Northeast.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.0°C for the week centered around August 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.05°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.68°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist into the fall.

The SOI was -0.67 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.675 today.

On August 7 the MJO was in Phase 5 at an amplitude of 1.128 (RMM). The August 6-adjusted amplitude was 1.270 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 61% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 77.3° (1.2° above normal).

 

[lee59]

95 here today. Even a few drops of rain. No sea breeze

[psv88]

The wind just completely stopped. 93/77 and it is stifling outside right now. 

[Stormlover74]

23 minutes ago, RedSky said:

NAM sucks don't believe it

Yeah I don't anymore

[CIK62]

NEAR MISS AT "100" FOR ME.       THIS HAD BEEN HOLDING HERE FOR 35mins.------Unlike back in July when 99 lasted about 2 mins.

 

 

 

[TWCCraig]

Decent small cell over north central Suffolk, fired up along the frontal boundary. Cell in NW NJ is heading towards the city

[MANDA]

Picked up .26" in fast moving torrential downpour.  Lasted about 3 minutes and turned on and off like a faucet.  Was on the southern fringe of T-storm that raced by just to my north.  I'll take it.  Better than nothing.

[Euripides]

I had a cell go over the area with some nice heavy rain, no thunder or lighting. Now a super mugfest out there right now.

Just happy everything got a decent watering as we lucked out last Thursday evening and now with this one.

Wait and see if more widespread for more for everyone later this evening.

[cardinalland]

New Haven had record high nighttime lows twice in a row… currently 88/78 HI102. The dew point hasn’t dropped below 74 for over 3 days.

[lee59]

Maybe with no sea breeze we can get some storms on Long Island.

[TriPol]

Some storms forming and headed east 

[doncat]

100° high here today. Couple storms to my north and south but nothing here yet.

[bluewave]

22 minutes ago, ThatHurricane said:

New Haven had record high nighttime lows twice in a row… currently 88/78 HI102. The dew point hasn’t dropped below 74 for over 3 days.

It’s the first time that HVN averaged above 80° from July 20th to August 8th.

 

Time Series Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Ending Date	Mean Avg Temperature Jul 20 to Aug 8	Missing Count
1	2022-08-08	80.7	0
2	2020-08-08	79.6	2
3	2019-08-08	78.2	0
4	2011-08-08	77.7	0
5	2018-08-08	77.5	0
6	2006-08-08	76.6	0
7	2010-08-08	76.5	0
8	1977-08-08	76.3	0
9	1955-08-08	76.1	0
10	1949-08-08	76.0	0

[jm1220]

7 minutes ago, lee59 said:

Maybe with no sea breeze we can get some storms on Long Island.

The seabreeze actually helps to fire storms on LI-it's a boundary that can force warm/moist air to rise as the cool air comes in from the ocean. Unfortunately it screws over the south shore since the boundary usually travels a few miles inland before firing storms, and it's been as dead as anything else for the last couple of weeks. 

[uofmiami]

96.4 & 95.1 for the high in Muttontown & Syosset respectively today.

[kat5hurricane]

Much needed downpour in Whitestone, albeit short lived.

[SRRTA22]

Severe tstorm warning though idk for what...i don't see any indication for 60mph winds or anywhere close to that on velocity

[Roger Smith]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

The continuing tree growth gives NYC a shot at the all-time longest streak below 99°.

Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature < 99 
for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Run Length	Ending Date
Period of record: 1869-01-01 to 2022-08-08
1	4022	1977-07-17
2	3673	2022-08-08
3	3260	1894-06-24
4	2844	1911-07-02
5	2212	1917-07-30
6	1786	2010-07-04
7	1763	1988-07-09
8	1761	1962-05-18
9	1476	1923-07-19
10	1475	1948-08-25

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=74&network=NYCLIMATE&station=NY5801&season=all&dir=above&var=high&threshold=99&year=1950&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png

 

In the above list, is there any way for you to check the entry that is supposed to end on June 24, 1894 at 3260d because in my data base I do not see any temps above 96 in 1894 and the termination of <99 seems to be July 3, 1898 (100F) which would be 4730 days from the apparently accurate starting date of July 21, 1885 (99F) which generated the 3260d listed. I'm wondering if the program generated an interval from a missing code, otherwise I have faulty data in my data base for 1894.