Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: But if it has some tropical characteristics, then there will be plenty of moisture....just maybe more compact. Very true but NHC hasnt even put a statement out on it and it’s over marginal water. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Very true but NHC hasnt even put a statement out on it and it’s over marginal water. Yep. What a PITA forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 I wouldn’t expect the NHC to comment on this one unless it’s making a run at being fully tropical or subtropical. Doesn’t mean it won’t have some characteristics though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I wouldn’t expect the NHC to comment on this one unless it’s making a run at being fully tropical or subtropical. Doesn’t mean it won’t have some characteristics though. It’s going to have tropical characteristics. It’s currently over bath water. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 16, 2022 Author Share Posted August 16, 2022 12z GFS bufkit for CHH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 This doesn’t count as a tropical system hit this summer lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 so when does it get named? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s going to have tropical characteristics. It’s currently over bath water. Do you have confidence like Runaway that gets soaking rains way back west into CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Euro shift west but just lighter rains. What a terrible windshield wiper from that model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Do you have confidence like Runaway that gets soaking rains way back west into CT? I don't. Hell I'm not sure here haha. I am hopeful for a half inch hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I don't. Hell I'm not sure here haha. I am hopeful for a half inch hopefully. Yea, I have been placing the over/under at 1/2" for eastern areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s going to have tropical characteristics. It’s currently over bath water. Oh yeah, totally agree. I’m just saying I don’t see the NHC chiming in right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Oh yeah, totally agree. I’m just saying I don’t see the NHC chiming in right now. This will look better than the stratus swirls labeled a TS because a pelican farted near the center of circulation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Just got that euro run on my red zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 have we ever had a named storm develop in that location and later impact us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Looks like its going to rain finally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: This will look better than the stratus swirls labeled a TS because a pelican farted near the center of circulation. well you know how it is. Sometimes they are a little late to the party, especially with stuff near the coast. Each year there’s like at least one that pops under the radar with the NHC. Colin was one about six weeks ago. Kinda think that October storm was name worthy much earlier too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks like its going to rain finally. Welcome to the forum 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 16, 2022 Author Share Posted August 16, 2022 I'm just going to blindfold myself tomorrow, walk outside, and stick my tongue out. If I feel drops it's raining, if not, it's not. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Just now, dendrite said: Welcome to the forum I've been visiting with Dr Summeroff....... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Just now, dryslot said: I've been visiting with Dr Summeroff....... Related to Jill? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 The usual caveats about phase diagrams, but I'm pretty sure half of the cold season nor'easters have deeper warm cores than this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Pretty entertaining when the usually parched earth here on the hill looks better than most of sne. Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 strong TS conditions making a run for ACK this run kinda crazy to see the HRRR get more aggressive each run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 15 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Pretty entertaining when the usually parched earth here on the hill looks better than most of sne. Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Gives me hope that we will someday grow plants on the moon 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 16, 2022 Author Share Posted August 16, 2022 Does BOS even crack 70 tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Does BOS even crack 70 tomorrow? May have a tough time breaking low 60s. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 GFS qpf of 0.75” even out this way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: May have a tough time breaking low 60s. We were told torch all week but somehow we knew otherwise. 50 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Do you have confidence like Runaway that gets soaking rains way back west into CT? Prepare to escape your house and run topless like Andy Dufresne. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 16, 2022 Author Share Posted August 16, 2022 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: May have a tough time breaking low 60s. Especially if GFS is correct. Not very often you see NAM MOS > GFS MOS with temps. While I'm a big fan of NBM for temps I think tomorrow is a prime example of when it should be tossed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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