dendrite Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Why are people thinking the HRRR alone on an island is right? It has been beyond awful all summer. I can’t tell you how many storms it gave me that I got nothing . Toss that POS Who said it was right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Scooter still knows we will get some welcomes rains. If I am wrong, so be it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Just now, weatherwiz said: Especially here. The West is probably laughing at us. Well the West is virtually a desert anyways, so it's not like it's difficult to have droughts there. Our's normally don't last that long but water conservation goes a long way in mitigating impacts that span year-to-year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Here's link to page Ginx posted images of. You can zoom in/out on areas. https://www.drought.gov/current-conditions Conditions are not good over eastern areas of MA by any metric you look at. Nah that's not Palmer long term. It's extremely dry on the surface but reservoir and ground water levels aren't close to historical lows. No doubt we need rain but we will survive. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Who said it was right? no one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 NAM I think will be west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah, but our climate is much wetter than their climate. So this weather is causing serious vegetation issues. Crackling lawns as you walk around. Very very tough year for farmers especially hay yields. We will pay the piper at some point. I have to say this ocean storm backing in is intriguing and half reminds me of March 18 with so much model waffling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 9 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Slow starter....December was wretched. No it wasn’t. We had a solid event late month which gave us snow cover for the late in the holiday period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 16, 2022 Author Share Posted August 16, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah, but our climate is much wetter than their climate. So this weather is causing serious vegetation issues. Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Well the West is virtually a desert anyways, so it's not like it's difficult to have droughts there. Our's normally don't last that long but water conservation goes a long way in mitigating impacts that span year-to-year. I don't dispute at all that there are serious vegetation issues within the region and that we are seeing that. But IMO drought should be used as an extreme term. Save that term for when things are really extreme. There is a difference between abnormally dry and flat out drought. The drought talk is being used too much too because of this summer. The majority of our precipitation during the summer months is convectively driven, not synoptically driven. With that there will be certain areas which get hit hard with convection and other areas that don't get much at all. One area getting hit by a thunderstorm 2-3 times could see as much as 2-3-4'' of rain. Hell, one thunderstorm could drop a quick 1.5-2.5''. Sure coming into this summer with a bit of a deficit didn't help. If we move through the fall with little rain or winter with not much snow then I think the drought term would have much more value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Meanwhile what a day. Bottle it up for August dog days total winner. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 1 minute ago, weathafella said: No it wasn’t. We had a solid event late month which gave us snow cover for the late in the holiday period. Our definitions of wretched are different. It was a paltry month for snowfall and it was pretty mild, as I recall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Meanwhile what a day. Bottle it up for August dog days total winner. Yea, beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: I don't dispute at all that there are serious vegetation issues within the region and that we are seeing that. But IMO drought should be used as an extreme term. Save that term for when things are really extreme. There is a difference between abnormally dry and flat out drought. The drought talk is being used too much too because of this summer. The majority of our precipitation during the summer months is convectively driven, not synoptically driven. With that there will be certain areas which get hit hard with convection and other areas that don't get much at all. One area getting hit by a thunderstorm 2-3 times could see as much as 2-3-4'' of rain. Hell, one thunderstorm could drop a quick 1.5-2.5''. Sure coming into this summer with a bit of a deficit didn't help. If we move through the fall with little rain or winter with not much snow then I think the drought term would have much more value. There are different kinds of drought. Surface soli, surface water, groundwater. Long term Palmer blend covers that. Quantifying each is muddled in that crazy drought monitor. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Dews are up into the 60s here now. Stiff NE wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 16, 2022 Author Share Posted August 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: There are different kinds of drought. Surface soli, surface water, groundwater. Long term Palmer blend covers that. Quantifying each is muddled in that crazy drought monitor. Great point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 20 minutes ago, Superstorm93 said: HRRR is absolutely cracked out of its mind with convective feedback. Even has a nice little warm core @ 850 And yet we’ve got folks buying it 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m stuffing things into my Fanny area now. Stiff Come on man 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 3K NAM going tropical lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: And yet we’ve got folks buying it Can’t tell yet if you’re in reverse psychology mode or if the lawn is so far gone that you want complete devastation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: 3K NAM going tropical lol. Looks just like the HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Just now, CT Rain said: Looks just like the HRRR It does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nah that's not Palmer long term. It's extremely dry on the surface but reservoir and ground water levels aren't close to historical lows. No doubt we need rain but we will survive. Umm, yeah it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 3K NAM going tropical lol. 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Looks just like the HRRR Surprise storm into the Cape? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Umm, yeah it is. Yay me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 ACK with TS conditions lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Will be ironic if SNE ends up with all of the rain and NH and ME get 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Will be ironic if SNE ends up with all of the rain and NH and ME get How much are you expecting in CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Umm, yeah it is. Looks pretty normal in Tolland. Glad drought isn’t an issue there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 16, 2022 Author Share Posted August 16, 2022 Fun 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 58 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Your area has had plenty of recent rains . I drove right thru TAN Sunday. It was mainly green Ball don’t lie. You can’t take a snapshot of the last 10 days. Drought maps don’t lie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now