Modfan2 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Meanwhile in E CT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Better chance of the 6z cane vs getting rain LOL. 0z looked fun 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 HRRR has been atrocious going back to last winter . It has shown feet of snow that vanished in the last 6 hours. Widespread severe tstorms that don’t ever form and now this. Abysmal model .. And when it’s all by itself on an island . Don’t bother Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: HRRR has been atrocious going back to last winter . It has shown feet of snow that vanished in the last 6 hours. Widespread severe tstorms that don’t ever form and now this. Abysmal model .. And when it’s all by itself on an island . Don’t bother To be fair, almost every model was downright putrid with this system. Every model showed significant rain for a good portion of the area within the last 36 hours. I mean, some models had over 2” here 12 hours ago and we got barely anything measurable 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Dim sun. Nice day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Suns peeking out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Can we get @tamarack this track in winter? 6z euro kinda fails backing the rain in from the east here, but tries to get it into N NH and then to the chickens from the north. I'll believe that when I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Funny stuff lol. Models gon wild. Summer modeling is the worst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 17, 2022 Author Share Posted August 17, 2022 Sometimes I wonder if there are too many forecast products available on the models. If it wasn't for QPF charts or snowfall maps how many storms would get "hyped" up? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 48 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: HRRR has been atrocious going back to last winter . It has shown feet of snow that vanished in the last 6 hours. Widespread severe tstorms that don’t ever form and now this. Abysmal model .. And when it’s all by itself on an island . Don’t bother Some hump it, I heave it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 17, 2022 Author Share Posted August 17, 2022 I wonder if we see a Colin 2.0 off the Carolina coast at the end of the week 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Some hump it, I heave it. It's useful operationally at the 1-3 hr range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: 0z looked fun That solution verbatim is NBD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, radarman said: It's useful operationally at the 1-3 hr range lol, So is radar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: At least we’ll make up for it with snow in winter. Maine can have the cirrus. Even though its mostly a whiff, its still nice to see a nor' easter develop this early in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Wet ground! .03” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: 0z looked fun Looks like a pretty big deal, at least verbatim. Hopefully a bit west and stronger, but good start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 1 minute ago, dryslot said: lol, So is radar. Theoretically it could be useful for convective initiation, but frankly I'm not even sure it's good at that. Sat is probably better. I use it for clear air winds aloft though, and there's not much else to use. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 17, 2022 Author Share Posted August 17, 2022 1 minute ago, radarman said: Theoretically it could be useful for convective initiation, but frankly I'm not even sure it's good at that. Sat is probably better. I use it for clear air winds aloft though, and there's not much else to use. You would think so but it really isn't. Although I think it tends to do better when there is a well-defined lifting mechanism (like a cold front or pre-frontal trough) and larger-scale lift. But days in which convection is of the pop-up variety it's not very good. But given how small of a scale we're dealing with regarding the pop-up stuff, even the HRRR I don't think is high enough resolution to sniff out those processes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Even though its mostly a whiff, its still nice to see a nor' easter develop this early in the season. I'm effing triggered. But at least it is cool out. I'm getting done with the heat. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 8 minutes ago, radarman said: Theoretically it could be useful for convective initiation, but frankly I'm not even sure it's good at that. Sat is probably better. I use it for clear air winds aloft though, and there's not much else to use. I just fire up goes-16 and a regional radar and that usually gives me what i need inside 12hrs or so, I found the HRRR even using the 0z, 06z, 12z and 18z runs to not be that good, I followed it quite a bit last winter and it was not very good until actual go time which at that point IDGAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I'm effing triggered. But at least it is cool out. I'm getting done with the heat. Triggered over missing the rain? I really don't care- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Triggered over missing the rain? I really don't care- Yes. Everything is dying and I am sick of watering. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yes. Everything is dying and I am sick of watering. Lawn is dead here (which i could care less) But the garden is off the charts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Just now, dryslot said: Lawn is dead here (which i could care less) But the garden is off the charts. My plants and trees are taking a beating. Sucks. Garden has done well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 High Resolution Rectum Refresh. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: My plants and trees are taking a beating. Sucks. Garden has done well. First year that i actually got abundant blueberries out of my bushes even with the lack of rain, Those have done well too, But you can already see a lot of stressed trees up here which is quite early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yes. Everything is dying and I am sick of watering. Two of the farms near me said that this week was pretty much do or die for the fall crops if they did not get rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 First year growing these but they're not hurting, Suppose to get between 20-40lbs, I think these are size 3-E........lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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