RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Not sold on any long duration event with this given how quickly occlusion is likely to happen. Compared to typical summer rainers or severe that fizzles, this is a long duration for SEMA. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: For all my ball busting I think odds are you are largely dry but 0.25-0.50” slight possibility. Stein’s had you locked in his basement for months now. You’re mentally and emotionally broken, tired of shitting in a five gallon bucket in the corner of the basement. The only entertainment you have is once a week Stein brings you a different Nicholas Sparks book that you clutch like it’s the Bible. You’re experiencing stockholm syndrome, starting to enjoy Stein’s company… and Scooter has told you he might know how to unlock the deadbolt on the basement door but you can’t bring yourself to even entertain the idea that there may be a way out in the future. Hopefully you get a crack in the door with this event. Fair enough . My station pumps out a soaking .11 Dew is 56.3 now . It’s dry in low levels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Ray didn't get banding in Jan but congrats tomorrow Lol Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: Surprised how much water these cells can lay down with some lackluster dew points. That was a downpour on par with like 70F dews not 50-55F. 2 hours ago, OceanStWx said: It's a very tropical style rain. Low echo centroid, with much of the cell below the freezing level. 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Fair enough . My station pumps out a soaking .11 Dew is 56.3 now . It’s dry in low levels I had the same thought but was impressed with almost a half inch of water in under 15 minutes despite dews 50-52F. See the above posts from a couple hours ago. Don’t let the dews fool you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Fair enough . My station pumps out a soaking .11 Dew is 56.3 now . It’s dry in low levels Your station has also been covered by Stein’s webbed hands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I had the same thought but was impressed with almost a half inch of water in under 15 minutes despite dews 50-52F. See the above posts from a couple hours ago. Don’t let the dews fool you. Well my question is.. why didn’t that same NE flow that we did have today produce those same showers/ storms that NNE into WNY had? Why was there nothing south of there in same flow / cold pool? My uneducated guess is dry air in low levels more prevalent in SNE along with subsidence from offshore low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 I’m feeling bullish on rain tomorrow. Good chances for up to 1” east of the CT river, though there will be pockets of winners and losers like in any good coastal we get. Not surprising we get an anomalous low, during an anomalous pattern, during an anomalous drought. We’re due! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well my question is.. why didn’t that same NE flow that we did have today produce those same showers/ storms that NNE into WNY had? Why was there nothing south of there in same flow / cold pool? My uneducated guess is dry air in low levels more prevalent in SNE along with subsidence from offshore low Mountains here created the instability is my guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well my question is.. why didn’t that same NE flow that we did have today produce those same showers/ storms that NNE into WNY had? Why was there nothing south of there in same flow / cold pool? My uneducated guess is dry air in low levels more prevalent in SNE along with subsidence from offshore low Maritime taint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 A lot of those random foreign 18z models were further north like older runs…here through ME…GGEM, ARPEGE, UKIE, ICON, KMA Looks like the 18z euro is pretty far NE. Similar to 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Euro is insistent on drenching the chickens tomorrow night. Seems precarious to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Anyone have 18z Euro? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro is insistent on drenching the chickens tomorrow night. Seems precarious to me. Enjoy the jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 I’m going under .50 for most of eastern mass… ray may get more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Zzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: I own a irrigation company, I will take whatever at this point, I have service work in Rye Beach, NH and New Castle, NH I won't complain, anything to take pressure off of us for service work... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: Pretty wet, Only 1.06" for the month after a 90 min soaking on July 29th of 3.90" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Zzz You’ll be raining shortly, enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Zzz Gotta start somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 22 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’m going under .50 for most of eastern mass… ray may get more enjoy the 1"-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 If only the HRRRRRRR could be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 HRRR has it still cranking near PWM on Thu morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 For the little boys asleep since 830 having Nightmares on Stein Street: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 NAM may be caving east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: NAM may be caving east. The surface looked too far east at initializing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Looking more like the euro. 3k east too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Pretty wild the hrrr is pushing 3" near the Quabbin and the 12k nam is a few hundredths 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 No way…current radar more on par with hrrr. Nam doesn’t have any precip onland at 10pm meanwhile radar is all over RI and SEMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Eh…I’m tossing the hrrr. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 I’d toss both models and take a blend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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