CoastalWx Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: He’s trying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 The GFS total accum map thru 384 is Stein nightmare fuelLocal met says good soaking synoptic rain next weds. I'll take that with a grain of saltSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 GEFS are pretty much 50/50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 Front is through. Chamber time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 Coming home saw a lot smoke in the distance on a hillside guess this was why.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 Hopefully this trends back a bit, but I'm not convinced yet this will be a complete whiff glad I got the .3 today though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 17 minutes ago, dendrite said: Front is through. Chamber time. Front came through this afternoon but still elevated dews. Its 64/63 currently. Got 0.11” from the front today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 11 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Coming home saw a lot smoke in the distance on a hillside guess this was why.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 Highs 65-75F tomorrow in the North should feel good though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Neighbor across street watered most of July . At times he had 2 sprinklers going at once . He got his water bill last week. $575. Needless to say.. his wife put a stop to all of that in one fell swoop . We all have wells except him. Don’t really get it and neither does he. If that first pic is supposed to be the neighbor who watered most of July, and got the high water bill then I think he is doing something wrong. His lawn looks like a.ss. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 The continuity issues are the 101 red flag. The other flag -for me- is that the trough expands without loading. It looks like an artifact of the models … sort of spontaneously calving out the isohypses. They then respond to their own error in developing (previous solutions) a suspiciously anchored low - based on faux deepening aloft. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 Nice little nighttime tower up here for a storm that just missed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 64/63 at 10:20pm. 64/55 at 11:00pm. That dew point drop is very noticeable and leads to doors/windows open. Love the au natural air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 0z ICON floods 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 11 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 0z ICON floods Yeah, it’s given me glacial amounts of snow over the years. Let’s discuss on Sunday if the models are still showing big rains. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 GFS on the flood train for some 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 Nice 0.70" drink overnight Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 Work it girl 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 Windows open, fleece on and still chilly at the breakfast table. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 48/46 Lets goooo. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 6z gfs is bone dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 Can see why nobody mentioned 00z euro, it’s also bone dry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 Stein and Ginx hand in begetting hand. Lockstep and skipping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 COC’d. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 Dust bowl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 Euro op has little. EPS still a signal. Definitely model struggles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 I feel like it's day five before a fading coastal in the guidance... It's circa some February 20, during a particularly frustratingly low performing winter season, knowing in the back of one's mind, winter is past middle age and its best potential may have already ended - it's now or never. The last five cycles of the GEFs mean ( 24 hours), cumulative spanning through next 00z Friday, have ranged between just over 1" total QPF, to ~ .7" Interestingly, the greatest and least individual run totals were this most recent 00z (most) and the 06z immediately right after ( least ). The Euro run more than less pulled the plug on substantive/corrective QPF yesterday at 12z's cycle. I haven't bothered to look at the 18z run...but the 00z run appears to have continued along the 12z thinking. The situation is both complex, and weak... And, if that were not enough, 'weak' in the scenario from Mon thru ~ Thurs, does not mean heavy rain can not happen. There will be a tendency to pool theta-e within the trough's basin. If this opens up more and allows more insolation...say, you go back the other way with convective downpours that may be slow moving given to the weak flow aloft and the slow synoptic evolution combined. It can manifest rains that aren't really seen by any ens mean ( certainly ...) do to small scaled coverage and resolution issues.. etc. The idea of a general cool synoptic refitting pan-dimensional QPF event appears to be lowering odds, however. I've already opined my broader encompassing reasons why that is actually the preferred ( likely...) result, anyway, but ...the period of time probably is not a loss for those really buckin' for rains/drought interests. Because, there should still be a general better mid level to surface lapse rates hanging daily over said pooling of theta-e, and so there'd likely be daily instability to give. These global numerical guidance types are not going to necessarily seed the field with TCU, so that's unknowable - just recognize the metrics and roll the dice. That all said... a 00z operational GFS solution is not impossible either, ...again, I personally don't feel that's likely due to the overall trend to shed the typical late mid range amplitude as this week is nearing, working with cross guidance trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro op has little. EPS still a signal. Definitely model struggles. Prepping for winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 Dews taking their sweet time to drop. 68/63 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 #drought2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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