radarman Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Heavy RN here. Again. Not a ray of sunshine all day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 11 minutes ago, radarman said: 6/6/10? But no... other than the meh lapse rates, this is not that. Or maybe there was a totally meh event on 6/1/10 also that I'm forgetting I think that was a moderate risk that day, and almost nothing developed. Cape was like 1000 j/kg, skinny though, ml lapse rates were horrid and cloud cover prevented much destabilization. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Feels like we’re cooked here for any real severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said: I think that was a moderate risk that day, and almost nothing developed. Cape was like 1000 j/kg, skinny though, ml lapse rates were horrid and cloud cover prevented much destabilization. There was one cell that ripped down I-90 and caused wind damage in Boston and Revere but that was it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Feels like we’re cooked here for any real severe. Shocked. Shocked am I. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: There was one cell that ripped down I-90 and caused wind damage in Boston and Revere but that was it. yeah, one in south-central NH too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Shocked. Shocked am I. New England severe Edit: just the tenor of the season. Maybe Thursday will work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Starting to light back up west of ALB. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 18, 2022 Author Share Posted July 18, 2022 It's the brightest it's been all day. Maybe some late PM sun to give a boost. It's like David Ortiz coming to bat in the bottom of the 9th with the bases loaded, down 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: It's the brightest it's been all day. Maybe some late PM sun to give a boost. It's like David Ortiz coming to bat in the bottom of the 9th with the bases loaded, down 3 Swing and a miss? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: It's the brightest it's been all day. Maybe some late PM sun to give a boost. It's like David Ortiz coming to bat in the bottom of the 9th with the bases loaded, down 3 He could still hit for a higher average than half the team I think 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ct_yankee Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 17 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: I think that was a moderate risk that day, and almost nothing developed. Cape was like 1000 j/kg, skinny though, ml lapse rates were horrid and cloud cover prevented much destabilization. Except for the mod risk, that description is almost generic for us... Par for the course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: It's the brightest it's been all day. Maybe some late PM sun to give a boost. It's like David Ortiz coming to bat in the bottom of the 9th with the bases loaded, down 3 Satellite does show some breaks out at the CT/NY border. We’ll see if something can materialize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 18, 2022 Author Share Posted July 18, 2022 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Satellite does show some breaks out at the CT/NY border. We’ll see if something can materialize. Mesoscale Discussion 1511 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0332 PM CDT Mon Jul 18 2022 Areas affected...portions of northern VA...MD...DE...eastern PA...NJ...southern NY into western MA/CT Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 473... Valid 182032Z - 182200Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 473 continues. SUMMARY...Damaging gusts will remain the main hazard across severe thunderstorm watch 473. DISCUSSION...Widely scattered thunderstorms continue along the I-95 corridor this afternoon from near Washington D.C. to the NYC vicinity. Some of these storms have produced near-severe measured wind gusts as well as sporadic wind damage. This activity will continue to pose a threat for damaging gusts the next few hours. Occasional weak rotation has been noted at times as well, especially with storms further north across NJ/NY where low-level shear remains stronger compared to further south. Some modest airmass recovery has been noted to the north of WW 473 toward Albany, NY. Cloud breaks have allowed temperatures to warm into the mid/upper 70s and MLCAPE values around 500-750 J/kg are noted. Visible satellite imagery indicates some agitated CU beneath broken upper level clouds. As large-scale ascent continues to increase and a prefrontal trough shifts eastward through late afternoon/early evening, additional strong to severe convection may develop from eastern PA into NJ and southern NY. If additional convection develops and becomes organized further north, a watch expansion may be needed across parts of the Albany CWA. ..Leitman.. 07/18/2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Come on sun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 https://youtu.be/KQetemT1sWc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Connecticut Appleman Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 I can skip the the damage aspect of this event (or non-event), but I would really like some rain. So far a total of 0.14 inches over the day day. Grass still dry under the trees. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 18, 2022 Author Share Posted July 18, 2022 I actually think I can smell the Sun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 5-6”+ over a wide area in SE NY so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 37 minutes ago, WhiteLawns said: last few frames were interesting for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: I think that was a moderate risk that day, and almost nothing developed. Cape was like 1000 j/kg, skinny though, ml lapse rates were horrid and cloud cover prevented much destabilization. We had some epic TCU that day at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, radarman said: We had some epic TCU that day at least That day was the worst 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Cell near the NW corner looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Annnd fell apart. Well at least there was rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 .09” today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 We had a moderate shower for 13 seconds that’s progress Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 12 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: We had a moderate shower for 13 seconds that’s progress Absolutely poured here. Some of the heaviest rain in awhile. But today is a fail. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 20 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: .09” today. 0.08” here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 The lightning out on the sound today has been insane. I think someone said they saw 400 strikes a min at one point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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