baroclinic_instability Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 On 12/31/2010 at 12:02 AM, Srain said: I support this post! We are going to take Analog96 to the top as the first honorary met WOTY ever! He was actually losing earlier...he is slowly pulling away even after the SE states rocked the vote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 On 12/30/2010 at 4:50 PM, snowstormcanuck said: lol, GFS has been pretty consistent with that ~D14 storm. Lets hope its not consistently wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern_IN_Wx Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 Well...well...this is some boring sh*t. I feel a big snow coming in March. Thank god for Was this weenie enough for ya all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 On 12/31/2010 at 4:45 AM, Northern_IN_Wx said: Well...well...this is some boring sh*t. I feel a big snow coming in March. Thank god for Was this weenie enough for ya all Don't worry. After 2 weeks of blocking boredom, I'm sure another 984 low bisecting MN will come along and break up the monotony. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 On 12/31/2010 at 5:18 AM, snowstormcanuck said: Don't worry. After 2 weeks of blocking boredom, I'm sure another 984 low bisecting MN will come along and break up the monotony. I'll explain later after i look at a bit more but personally i think we are about done with them for the rest of the winter. That does not include clippers dropping out of Canada though. Talking about what we have seen going back to late November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 I see no hope for the next 10-14 days, anywhere. I am trying to find a glimmer of hope, but I have found none. Everyone should enjoy the current storm as it will be the only action we get for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 Oh, and go give Analog96 the support he needs to take the crown. He has taken an early massive lead. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/6798-the-8th-annual2010-weenie-of-the-year-championship-round/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 On 12/31/2010 at 7:01 AM, baroclinic_instability said: I see no hope for the next 10-14 days, anywhere. I am trying to find a glimmer of hope, but I have found none. Everyone should enjoy this storm as it will be the only action we get for a while. Huh? Gonna assume you have not seen the 00z euro for later next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 On 12/31/2010 at 7:02 AM, Harry said: Huh? Gonna assume you have not seen the 00z euro for later next week? That looks pretty impressive. Not often you see a non tropical 968 mb low off the coast of North Carolina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 On 12/31/2010 at 7:02 AM, Harry said: Huh? Gonna assume you have not seen the 00z euro for later next week? I will wait to get too excited for another potential phase event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 Looks like we have storms lining up that plow into the southwest on the Euro tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 On 12/31/2010 at 7:02 AM, Harry said: Huh? Gonna assume you have not seen the 00z euro for later next week? On 12/31/2010 at 7:10 AM, Hoosier said: That looks pretty impressive. Not often you see a non tropical 968 mb low off the coast of North Carolina. Another phase Nor'easter event. The last two have wore me out. They are fun discussions though. This may get the SE crew interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 On 12/31/2010 at 7:14 AM, baroclinic_instability said: Another phase Nor'easter event. The last two have wore me out. They are fun discussions though. This may get the SE crew interested. Considering the current blocking is basically being blown to pieces my hunch is that this does not remain a se threat and or *just* a se threat. Keep in mind as well this is beyond day 8 and thus very likely to change as far as track etc goes. If i had to tag any system as the best candidate for a nw trend so far this would be it. Not saying it ends up here, MN etc but such a shift would not surprise me. All depends on timing/track with the northern and southern energy. Count me among those who thinks the big ole block we had up till now is not returning for a while anyways. Thus i strongly suspect models are overdoing it with the southern stuff which is a common occurrence in La'Nina. Keep in mind too this is not northern energy diving south either as we have been seeing as the northern energy looks to remain further north thanks to less blocking now. Even last winter ( which some are making comparisons to ) the block relaxed a bit in January and that was with a Nino and everything else that is usually good for blocking. Thus i highly doubt this winter exceeds that. Ofcourse it could all end up being nothing. However i do think there is *some* potential for more up in this region etc. Something i would/will atleast keep a eye on the next several days. Other then that not really much except for maybe a weaker clipper or two which may fire up the LES a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 On 12/31/2010 at 8:18 AM, Harry said: Considering the current blocking is basically being blown to pieces my hunch is that this does not remain a se threat and or *just* a se threat. Keep in mind as well this is beyond day 8 and thus very likely to change as far as track etc goes. If i had to tag any system as the best candidate for a nw trend so far this would be it. Not saying it ends up here, MN etc but such a shift would not surprise me. All depends on timing/track with the northern and southern energy. Count me among those who thinks the big ole block we had up till now is not returning for a while anyways. Thus i strongly suspect models are overdoing it with the southern stuff which is a common occurrence in La'Nina. Keep in mind too this is not northern energy diving south either as we have been seeing as the northern energy looks to remain further north thanks to less blocking now. Even last winter ( which some are making comparisons to ) the block relaxed a bit in January and that was with a Nino and everything else that is usually good for blocking. Thus i highly doubt this winter exceeds that. Ofcourse it could all end up being nothing. However i do think there is *some* potential for more up in this region etc. Something i would/will atleast keep a eye on the next several days. Other then that not really much except for maybe a weaker clipper or two which may fire up the LES a bit. Harry, I hope you're right about the end of the big blocking. You and I have shared the same blocking donut hole this season and it's getting old. I don't think i can handle watching another clipper or waa event get bullied around us to the west and south. I'd rather have a warm lake cutter then that crap. First winter I ever recall seeing anything like we saw the last month and a half. Anyways, it's gonna be awesome outside today nearing 60. Hopefully this is reboot time and when the winter powers back on it's a whole new ball game. Happy New Year All Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 On 12/31/2010 at 1:11 PM, buckeye said: Harry, I hope you're right about the end of the big blocking. You and I have shared the same blocking donut hole this season and it's getting old. I don't think i can handle watching another clipper or waa event get bullied around us to the west and south. I'd rather have a warm lake cutter then that crap. First winter I ever recall seeing anything like we saw the last month and a half. Anyways, it's gonna be awesome outside today nearing 60. Hopefully this is reboot time and when the winter powers back on it's a whole new ball game. Happy New Year All i thought the blocking was good for you... didnt you have a great second half of the winter last yr? well at least a lot of the mid south and i thought lower OV did too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 [ Ofcourse it could all end up being nothing. However i do think there is *some* potential for more up in this region etc. Something i would/will atleast keep a eye on the next several days. Other then that not really much except for maybe a weaker clipper or two which may fire up the LES a bit. I hope it phases earlier for once. So much has to go right phasing. You have to get lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 pretty good thunder this morning, over 1/2" of rain with another 1/2"+ to go, nothing like wasting so much of your winter QPF on rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 Hudson Bay hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 On 12/31/2010 at 5:04 PM, snowstormcanuck said: Hudson Bay hurricane Back to a clipper setup? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 On 12/31/2010 at 5:10 PM, IWXwx said: Back to a clipper setup? You know it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 Rooting for a active pattern here.... I have no snow!.... I need more.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 At least those in the lake effect snow belts will have a nice setup in this pattern. For everyone else, enjoy your cold/dry NW flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 GGEM says PV incoming at 180 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 12z GFS and Euro are completely different pretty early on (72-96 hours). Euro kicks the SW cutoff out across the central US while the GFS keeps the energy offshore in the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 Another GLC on the 12Z Euro, around IA/IL/WI...quite a change from it's 00Z counterpart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 It looks like an instant repeat of the last 10 days (taken verbatim). Nor'easter and moderate Midwest threat followed by another torchy severe threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 On 12/31/2010 at 7:09 PM, kab2791 said: Another GLC on the 12Z Euro, around IA/IL/WI...quite a change from it's 00Z counterpart. WOW! track continues for the Upper Midwest. From an EC event to a upper Midewest event...amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 But the Euro is an extreme outlier from it's Ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 On 12/31/2010 at 8:35 PM, dmc76 said: WOW! track continues for the Upper Midwest. From an EC event to a upper Midewest event...amazing If you looked at the 00Z Euro, you'd know there's been zilch consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 Well at least I no longer have to slip & slide on these side streets. That's part of the reason why I hate snowpack/dry periods too. The cars eventually lose traction when the snow melts and the streets become ice rinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.