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GL/MW/OV Jan 2011 Discussion


TheWeatherPimp

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Check out this bit from this afternoon's Quad Cities NWS discussion...

DAYS 8 THROUGH 15 AND BEYOND...MAINLY DRY PATTERN TO CONTINUE WITH FAST W-NW REGIME FLOW FAVORING LIGHTER AMOUNTS...IF ANY...OF PRECIPITATION. LATEST TOOLS SUGGEST THIS CURRENT PATTERN MAY CONTINUE OVERALL INTO SPRING. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH STAGE AND STRENGTH OF PDO AND LA NINA...COUPLED WITH THE STATE OF THE AMO AND QBO AND ALSO COLD TEMPS IN GULF AND INTO SW ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN. IF THIS CONTINUES...AREAS OF DRY SOILS NOW DEVELOPING IN SOUTH PLAINS AND SE US WOULD EXPAND. JUST AS SUGGESTED FROM HEURISTICS AND ANALOGS FOR THESE TELECONNECTIONS NEXT SEVERAL MONTHS. THE FORECAST AREA HAS HAD 50 TO 85 PERCENT OF NORMAL PRECIPITATION...OR BELOW NORMAL FOR OVER 3 MONTHS NOW.
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