Chicago Storm Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Sunday, January 9th: Hi: 31F Lo: 7F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy. Max Wind Gust: 11MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Gonna be nice to get the grass covered again. There may be sublimation problems down the road since this will be a very dry snow but let's not worry about that now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Gonna be nice to get the grass covered again. There may be sublimation problems down the road since this will be a very dry snow but let's not worry about that now. Let's get the snow down first, then we can worry about losing it later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Let's get the snow down first, then we can worry about losing it later. It looks like there may be a series of weak clipper type systems over the next week or so that could reinforce the new snow pack. Should keep the ground white for at least the next few weeks you'd think. Been an overcast day here today, with the sun dimly visible at times. Have had virga overhead since last night. The precip hole is slowly shrinking towards the DVN site, so we should finally see our first flakes over the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 And for fun 12z Monday 384 hr. GFS shows a dramatic warm up in the Midwest and t storms in the Mississippi Valley. Have to watch this as we progress through January. With Nina I expect wide swings in temps particularly when Nina is not producing the favored 8 out of 10 warmer winters that usually come with it per Gil Sebenste's reasoning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Monday, January 10th: Hi: 34F Lo: 15F Overall Sky Conditions: Cloudy. Max Wind Gust: 14MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Late January warm up is gone on the 12z GFS. And this.... Predicted 8-9" for December imby. Ended up pretty close with 9.2" (assuming nothing else falls this month). I'll go with a range of 4-6" for January. As with December, my reasoning = none. was an epic fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Late January warm up is gone on the 12z GFS. And this.... was an epic fail. Ensembles said the OP was full of it anyway. It's sort of reverse thing, when in warm winters we're always staring down fantasy cold patterns in la la land that never seem to materialize. This winter it's been flipped it seems. And hey no worries about the epic fail, it worked out for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Ensembles said the OP was full of it anyway. It's sort of reverse thing, when in warm winters we're always staring down fantasy cold patterns in la la land that never seem to materialize. This winter it's been flipped it seems. And hey no worries about the epic fail, it worked out for the best. lol, this is one of the few times in life when you're glad you've failed. D7 storm still looks warmer on the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Expect the models to trend colder as the days go on..add a more solid blanket of snow then what this shows to this map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 GFS not displaying a lot of continuity with the post weekend clipper storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I hope Detroit can handle a few inches of snow without going ape****, since that's where I'll be landing in Saturday on my way to Madison. I'm starting to expect bad things tho since it is such a busy airport :/ GFS is spitting out -33 °F at MSN at hour 288, 4 degrees shy of the all time record The real cold looks to start after the Saturday clipper, GFS shows near zero Sunday morning and -8 °F Monday morning. A very brief warmup associated with another clipper than happens, followed by lots of sub-zero temps, including -17 °F Wednesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Badger- The GFS knows your coming home. I'd stay in Florida for another month! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 This upcoming week after the clipper will be the best time to test whether the GFS cold bias is still in force even though the model was tweaked. Moderate cold or extreme cold? Take your pick and see what verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I hope Detroit can handle a few inches of snow without going ape****, since that's where I'll be landing in Saturday on my way to Madison. I'm starting to expect bad things tho since it is such a busy airport :/ GFS is spitting out -33 °F at MSN at hour 288, 4 degrees shy of the all time record The real cold looks to start after the Saturday clipper, GFS shows near zero Sunday morning and -8 °F Monday morning. A very brief warmup associated with another clipper than happens, followed by lots of sub-zero temps, including -17 °F Wednesday morning. Turtle you should be fine, Detroit is excellent at snow removal, they have been ever since the fiasco with the 1999 Blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Turtle you should be fine, Detroit is excellent at snow removal, they have been ever since the fiasco with the 1999 Blizzard. I'm glad to hear that! And yeah Frank, though the lack of college girls in my neighborhood down here makes that a non-viable option Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 18z GFS = Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 18z GFS = yeah, not sure how correct that is as the ensembles didn't have much agreement long range with the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Our 2 inches of snow last night and this morning brought us up closer to the 30" for the season threshold. Hopefully we can nickel and dime ourselves up to the 40" mark by March or April. Since our average snowfall around here is 35", no matter what happens from here on out this will be considered a near average winter at the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 The 4.1" today puts LAF above average for the season. Everything from here on out is bonus territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Looks like it is GFS vs Euro next week. Euro has a massive winter storm for the OV while the new GFS takes the system way into the lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I'd like to see what the 00z GGEM would do past day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I'd like to see what the 00z GGEM would do past day 10. total fantasy land, but that's the type of pattern i've been looking forward to, you risk rain but big ones come on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Hasn't been discussed too much...but some very impressive cold in the central plains. Kansas City is sitting at 1F with a wind chill of -16F at 9:00 AM...not bad. A 1042 mb high is sitting over them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I figured you guys would get a kick out of this ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST THURSDAY. A MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT SOUTH FLORIDA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID AND UPPER 20S WEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE...THROUGH THE 30S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF SOUTH FLORIDA...EXCEPT FOR 40S ALONG AND NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST. THESE COLD TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH NORTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 15 MPH WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILL READINGS IN THE MID 20S TO LOW 30S ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. WIND CHILLS OVER PORTIONS OF GLADES, HENDRY, AND COLLIER COUNTIES MAY FALL TO THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S FOR A SHORT PERIOD JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND COLD TEMPERATURES WILL GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS CAN LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 South Bend has received 41.9" of snow for January, through yesterday. This puts them at the 3rd snowiest January on record, based off records starting in 1940 via the IWX site. Of course they're under a LES warning right now, which should easily put them into 2nd place when this event is finished. Top 5 snowiest Januaries since 1940 at SBN 86.1"...1978 45.3"...1959 45.1"...1979 41.3"...1982 40.0"...1985 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I figured you guys would get a kick out of this . IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. Thanks Mom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 South Bend has received 41.9" of snow for January, through yesterday. This puts them at the 3rd snowiest January on record, based off records starting in 1940 via the IWX site. Of course they're under a LES warning right now, which should easily put them into 2nd place when this event is finished. Top 5 snowiest Januaries since 1940 at SBN 86.1"...1978 45.3"...1959 45.1"...1979 41.3"...1982 40.0"...1985 Wow, 78 just blows everything away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 South Bend has that while MKE has 4 inches this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Tuesday, January 11th: Hi: 28F Lo: 23F Overall Sky Conditions: Cloudy. Max Wind Gust: 14MPH Rainfall: 0.23" Snowfall: 2.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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