baroclinic_instability Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 1:26 AM, snowstormcanuck said: Interesting. But if it works, lovely as it would be to see the snow, I won't be able to pay the money. Then stebo will hire some goons to break my thumbs. On 1/6/2011 at 1:36 AM, Stebo48858 said: lol I'm not a mobster, plus I'd just come collect in person Stebo would break your thumbs, Hoosier would seal the deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Tuesday, January 4th: Hi: 29F Lo: 12F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy. Max Wind Gust: 17MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Wednesday, January 5th: Hi: 31F Lo: 10F Overall Sky Conditions: Cloudy. Max Wind Gust: 16MPH Rainfall: Trace Snowfall: Trace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 So far this winter mirrors the last 3-4 for this area. Uneventful November, followed by a very active December, followed by nickel and dimers in January and beyond. We hit 38 today without much sun. The lack of snow cover will greatly reduce the impacts of the upcoming arctic surge in this area. I doubt we get any colder than what we've already experienced so far this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 5:52 AM, cyclone77 said: So far this winter mirrors the last 3-4 for this area. Uneventful November, followed by a very active December, followed by nickel and dimers in January and beyond. We hit 38 today without much sun. The lack of snow cover will greatly reduce the impacts of the upcoming arctic surge in this area. I doubt we get any colder than what we've already experienced so far this winter. Disgusting what a few day torch can do to the landscape, ect... I would really be a crab ass if I lost as much snow as you had. It seems like we're later in to winter for some reason so the doom and gloom has set in for me but in reality we still have a decent amount of winter left as long as we can do without a prolonged torch after this quiet period - most areas should end up no worse than a little below avg on the winter... Maybe not the blockbuster Nina but then again who knows though how winter goes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 12Z GFS (It's actually pretty consistent with the storm next weekend) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 4:54 PM, kab2791 said: 12Z GFS (It's actually pretty consistent with the storm next weekend) This might be the case where SEMI will be on the East side of the low but there shold be enough cold air place to atleast start of with some decent accumulation. What you think about that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 5:06 PM, dmc76 said: This might be the case where SEMI will be on the East side of the low but there shold be enough cold air place to atleast start of with some decent accumulation. What you think about that? From what I've seen over the last few runs was all snow, so I don't think cold air will be a problem, especially after sitting in a cold airrmass all week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 4:54 PM, kab2791 said: 12Z GFS (It's actually pretty consistent with the storm next weekend) You know the weather's boring when you're looking forward to fantasy range systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 it's going to shift south, seasonal trends and extreme cold airmass FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 5:12 PM, kab2791 said: From what I've seen over the last few runs was all snow, so I don't think cold air will be a problem, especially after sitting in a cold airrmass all week. I agree or do we dare to say "freezing Rain" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 5:16 PM, Powerball said: You know the weather's boring when you're looking forward to fantasy range systems. Eh it's fantasy, but it's been on at least several runs now so it beats the boredom of next weeks' Fail. The Euro/CMC have a weaker version of it. It's also on the GEFS...something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Snowing rather nicely in Kokomo. Posted from my Incredible HTC Droid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 5:32 PM, KokomoWX said: Snowing rather nicely in Kokomo. Posted from my Incredible HTC Droid. i saw that on radar....an area of nice returns building over central IN.....hopefully that stays together.....for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 4:54 PM, kab2791 said: 12Z GFS (It's actually pretty consistent with the storm next weekend) lolz x infinity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 had a nice burst of snow here earlier that gave me a solid dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 5:16 PM, Alek said: it's going to shift south, seasonal trends and extreme cold airmass FTL It's already shifted south. One of yesterday's GFS runs had the SLP riding Canadian border from Puget Sound to International Falls, then heading up to Hudson Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 6:16 PM, IWXwx said: It's already shifted south. One of yesterday's GFS runs had the SLP riding Canadian border from Puget Sound to International Falls, then heading up to Hudson Bay. meh, 12z ensembles are all over but mostly lame and or south. I'm pretty confident it will be a strung out turd scooting well south of here, just like the "threat" early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 5:37 PM, snowstormcanuck said: lolz x infinity. I should have said consistency with something, not location I wouldn't hold my breath either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 5:37 PM, snowstormcanuck said: lolz x infinity. how does a low passing over WI bring IN and OH a snowstorm. I've never understood why the gfs does that in the longrange all the time. It always seems to extend cold air well south of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 7:16 PM, buckeye said: how does a low passing over WI bring IN and OH a snowstorm. I've never understood why the gfs does that in the longrange all the time. It always seems to extend cold air well south of the low. Given the south trend recently I'd say we are in a golden spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 6:25 PM, Alek said: meh, 12z ensembles are all over but mostly lame and or south. I'm pretty confident it will be a strung out turd scooting well south of here, just like the "threat" early next week. 12z Euro taking it to Lake Superior but pretty weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 7:43 PM, wxdudemike said: Given the south trend recently I'd say we are in a golden spot EURO shows more of fairly strong clipper type system looks to work through the northern US and southern Canada..then eventually into the Eastern Lakes. Leaving a swap of Snow from International Falls to Ottawa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 7:45 PM, Hoosier said: 12z Euro taking it to Lake Superior but pretty weak. Basically a broad brushed 0.1-0.3 QPF even across the MW/GL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 On 1/6/2011 at 7:16 PM, buckeye said: how does a low passing over WI bring IN and OH a snowstorm. I've never understood why the gfs does that in the longrange all the time. It always seems to extend cold air well south of the low. That's where my lolz was mostly aimed at. Although given the seasonal trends, I'm more inclined to believe the 0c 850 line is correct, not the sfc low position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 It's been snowing since about 1230pm with a nice coating covering cars, roads, and such, but the weather station isn't picking it up. Must be having tech issues again. Should be at least 0.5mm-1mm of precip measured by now. Date: January 6, 2011 Time: 4:30 pm Temperature (current): -4.5 °C Temperature (24 hour max/min): -4.5 °C /-15.3 °C Windchill: -9.7 Precipitation (1 hour/24 hour): 0 mm / 0 mm Relative Humidity/Dew Point: 100 % / -4.5 °C Wind Speed and Direction: 8.9 km/h S Barometric Pressure: 99.4 kPa Falling Incoming Radiation: 13 W/m2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Lol GFS goes crazy tonight at hr 276.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Thursday, January 6th: Hi: 29F Lo: 19F Overall Sky Conditions: Mostly Cloudy. Max Wind Gust: 20MPH Rainfall: Trace Snowfall: Trace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Honestly I like the storm threat with the incoming arctic outbreak. Both the GFS/ECM suggest a potential Pacific trough ejecting as a baroclinic waves over the plains and tracking E and ushering in the Arctic pain. Could be a widespread event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Pretty uneventful here today. Made it to 30 with lots of clouds. Some flurries were in the area but didn't see any around here. May get a few snow showers tomorrow, but nothing that will accumulate. Hoping we can get an inch or so out of that Monday system to get the ground white again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 5:24 AM, baroclinic_instability said: Honestly I like the storm threat with the incoming arctic outbreak. Both the GFS/ECM suggest a potential Pacific trough ejecting as a baroclinic waves over the plains and tracking E and ushering in the Arctic pain. Could be a widespread event. It could be a very strong event potentially too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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