yotaman Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 New month, new Obs. Post them here. LOL, went from an 80% chance of rain down to 20% chance. Guess we will have to wait until tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 Due to a coastal low/trough and the associated deep Atlantic moisture, I've received 4" since midnight (so all of it counts for July) with 3.5" of that during just midnight-3AM causing significant street flooding. This is the heaviest daily rainfall here since way back on 9/20/21, which wasn't from a tropical cyclone as that was due to converging surface flow off the Gulf and Atlantic (although moisture may have been enhanced by the remnants of Nicholas). The low center, which is getting a bit better organized and now is 30 miles ESE of Tybee Island/ESE of here (see radar image below), is now far enough north to reduce the heavy rain potential here due to not as much Atlantic moisture as earlier. The wettest flow was when the low was further south of our latitude earlier today giving us a SE/direct flow off the ocean. Now the flow is light from the north (land). It remains to be seen whether or not any more significant rain falls here today considering that the low is slowly moving north. The heaviest rainfall accumulation threat/flooding for the rest of today should be NE of here over coastal SC although it wouldn't surprise me if I were to get some short periods of heavy rain in showers. -------------- From the recent MCD Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0423 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1224 PM EDT Fri Jul 01 2022 Areas affected...Coastal Lowcountry of Georgia and South Carolina Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 011623Z - 012200Z Summary...Coastal low pressure will bring heavy rain to the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina through this evening. Rainfall rates of 1-2"/hr will likely train onshore, leading to instances of flash flooding. Discussion...An area of low pressure is clearly evident on the regional radar mosaic this morning as a closed swirl of reflectivity just east of Tybee Island, GA. This circulation has become better organized this morning along an inverted trough, and is responsible for heavy rainfall exceeding 4 inches that fell near Chatham, GA overnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 ^The aforementioned low now has a 10% chance for tropical development as it moves slowly NE per the 2 PM TWO: (now is Invest 96L and thus this has its own thread in the tropical section) Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Jul 1 2022 1. Near the Southeastern US: Satellite and radar images along with surface observations indicate that a low pressure system has formed just off the coast of Savannah, Georgia. Surface pressures are high in this region, and development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur while it drifts northeastward along the southeast U.S. coastline during the next day or so. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains, which could cause flash flooding across portions of southeastern Georgia and the Carolinas through tonight and into Saturday. See products issued by the Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather Service forecast office for more details. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted July 2, 2022 Share Posted July 2, 2022 Missed again. Areas 5 miles to my SE, S and SW got .5 to 1.5. A trace here and only .17 the last few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 2, 2022 Author Share Posted July 2, 2022 Clouds kept temps down but also kept storms away. No rain despite an 80% chance. High of 83 after a low of 71. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 3, 2022 Author Share Posted July 3, 2022 Picked up .17" yesterday thanks to mighty Tropical Storm Colin. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 3, 2022 Author Share Posted July 3, 2022 Had a high today of 96. Currently it is cloudy and 87/77. HI of 98 and it sure feels like it. No rain so far but there are storms popping to our northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 4, 2022 Author Share Posted July 4, 2022 Picked up a measly .34" yesterday. .25" with the 1st storm and .09" with the second. Looks like we will have to wait until Wednesday for another chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 5, 2022 Author Share Posted July 5, 2022 Woohoo, our first decent rain today. Picked up .45" in a surprise T-storm. Had a 20% chance today. Went from 93 to our current temp of 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 For something like the 47th time this spring/summer there is a nice line of storms heading in from the NW that is melting away as it heads our way. I don't know if it negative feedback from the dry soils or what but it is happenign over and over again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 We got a nice shower earlier then a decent storm this evening for .65 today total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 4 hours ago, cbmclean said: For something like the 47th time this spring/summer there is a nice line of storms heading in from the NW that is melting away as it heads our way. I don't know if it negative feedback from the dry soils or what but it is happenign over and over again. Right on cue the line collapsed in the east while remaining strong in the west. Just for fun after the main line faded a nice litle aftershock cell popped up immediately upstream then instanstly collapsed on my doorstrep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 18 hours ago, cbmclean said: Right on cue the line collapsed in the east while remaining strong in the west. Just for fun after the main line faded a nice litle aftershock cell popped up immediately upstream then instanstly collapsed on my doorstrep. I saw that, I was hoping you’d get that last gasp cell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 Hottest day of the year here. 100.1 with a max heat index of 111.7. RDU is reporting 102 with a heat index of 114. Much hotter than that well advertised heat wave that fizzled a couple weeks ago. This is brutal heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 Suspicious??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 1 hour ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Suspicious??? Seems suspicious to me. We’re usually a few ticks warmer than RDU and it peaked here about an hour before that observation. We broke 100 for the first time this year and had our highest heat index since I’ve run my weather station so I think RDUs observation is off but it’s still our hottest day of the year by far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 6, 2022 Author Share Posted July 6, 2022 Had a high of 95. currently it is miserable 90/79 for a HI of 107. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 The rain is attempting to drive me insane. After yesterday's rug pull, had a nice cell headed my way which disintegrated at my doorstep and then almost immediately reformed a few miles to the east. Its infuriating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 MBY is the black scribble. The big read area to the east was did not hit my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 Missed out on the big totals just east of here but picked up 0.29” from a frisky storm that blew up overhead this afternoon. Broke 100 for the first time this year. 100.1 was our high. Storms were a fine consolation prize after the pain however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 Tons of thunder and lightning, but only 0.05" inthe bucket. Very disappointing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 7, 2022 Author Share Posted July 7, 2022 Picked up .33" very early this morning. Hoping for more tonight and tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldsborosnow Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 People in my area got 1-2" of rain, but only .14" in my yard. Better than nothing, but still a fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 Cloud cover *MAY* help us from a repeat of yesterday’s triple digit heat. We’ve *only* made it to 96 so far and it’s leveled off for the last hour or so. Still had a max heat index of a blistering 106 a short time ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 From a thunderstorm, I just got my first rain since the big mainly very early morning July 1st 4" rain associated with what later became Colin. So far, totals here today are modest (0.20-0.25" range). But I'll take it after a dry six day period, especially considering that a good portion of that 4" rain likely ran off rather than it saturating. After all, 0.20" is the equivalent of slightly more than one irrigation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 Can't buy a bucket here in Cornelius, NC. Those tstorms that drift from NW to SE always find a way to break up over the lake. There has got to be some geographical aspect to this. It's uncanny how these storms break up and then reform south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 How is RDU averaging an eyepoppin 4.9 degrees above normal this month while nearby GSO is merely 1.7 degrees above normal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now