WxUSAF Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 My WAG is that RIC and BWI have a chance tomorrow for 100, but probably not DCA or IAD. BWI only if it can stay sunny until ~3pm and get a little new tarmac assist. Probably 98ish for DCA and 95-96 IAD? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 29 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: My WAG is that RIC and BWI have a chance tomorrow for 100, but probably not DCA or IAD. BWI only if it can stay sunny until ~3pm and get a little new tarmac assist. Probably 98ish for DCA and 95-96 IAD? "New tarmac assist", lolol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 95/72. Feels good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 98/74 Here. Toasty outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 85/70 which is hot for mountain standards. Line of severe storms in WV heading here, which should cool things off. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 92 was the high here. Currently 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 11 minutes ago, nj2va said: 85/70 which is hot for mountain standards. Line of severe storms in WV heading here, which should cool things off. Don't see any CAMs that really push a line into I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 11 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Don't see any CAMs that really push a line into I-95. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Monday is looking pretty interesting. I guess I could have put this in the other thread given the severe potential. Nice write-up by Mount Holly this afternoon, although I wouldn't characterize this period as one featuring "extreme heat" lol. So far, our weather has remained rather benign outside of the extreme heat. But, as expected with the introduction of a well- defined boundary into an airmass characterized by temperatures in the 90s and dew points in the 60s-70s, the main story Monday is the development of showers and thunderstorms, with some potentially severe. The best upper support looks to stay off to our north at this time. Current guidance indicates development in the mid to late afternoon with the most coverage across Delmarva and southern NJ. Taking a look at some parameters and forecast soundings, this seems to fit with progged instability and shear which are highest to the south. MLCAPE could reach around 2000 J/kg coupled with 0-6 km shear around 30 kt. As a result, SPC has placed our entire CWA within a slight risk (2/5) for severe weather and WPC has introduced a marginal risk (1/5) for excessive rainfall, though we`ve been fairly dry over the past week and this should help to limit widespread flash flood concerns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: Don't see any CAMs that really push a line into I-95. Warned here. Outflow dropped temp 17 degrees to 68. Rain just started with T&L. Severe dropped but a good soaking thunderstorm ongoing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 98 BWI 96 DCA 94 IAD 94.8 my house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC_WX Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 2 hours ago, nj2va said: 85/70 which is hot for mountain standards. Line of severe storms in WV heading here, which should cool things off. My PWS every so briefly touched 90* for the first time and then quickly reset to something a bit more typical 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Hi of 98 at my CO-OP station today. Now down to 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 High of 95 here currently 91/68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Down to 85 here at 630. Not bad out with the low sun barely filtering through the trees. Tad bit humid though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Perfect example … 0% chance of rain this morning and what happens? It rains lol. I think @EastCoast NPZ is doing some sort of voodoo or dance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 2 hours ago, CAPE said: Monday is looking pretty interesting. I guess I could have put this in the other thread given the severe potential. Nice write-up by Mount Holly this afternoon, although I wouldn't characterize this period as one featuring "extreme heat" lol. So far, our weather has remained rather benign outside of the extreme heat. But, as expected with the introduction of a well- defined boundary into an airmass characterized by temperatures in the 90s and dew points in the 60s-70s, the main story Monday is the development of showers and thunderstorms, with some potentially severe. The best upper support looks to stay off to our north at this time. Current guidance indicates development in the mid to late afternoon with the most coverage across Delmarva and southern NJ. Taking a look at some parameters and forecast soundings, this seems to fit with progged instability and shear which are highest to the south. MLCAPE could reach around 2000 J/kg coupled with 0-6 km shear around 30 kt. As a result, SPC has placed our entire CWA within a slight risk (2/5) for severe weather and WPC has introduced a marginal risk (1/5) for excessive rainfall, though we`ve been fairly dry over the past week and this should help to limit widespread flash flood concerns. I’m hoping the timing is such that the storms Monday develop after the boundary passes south of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Kind of looks like the storms that every forecast had staying west of the blue ridge, are in fact alive and well east of the blue ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Looks like IAD maxed out at 98 today - was there for a couple hours with a HI of 104. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 48 minutes ago, mattskiva said: Kind of looks like the storms that every forecast had staying west of the blue ridge, are in fact alive and well east of the blue ridge Yeah but it ran into a road block in the middle of Frederick county MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, RDM said: Looks like IAD maxed out at 98 today - was there for a couple hours with a HI of 104. I'm seeing 94? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Wow…I’m in northern MoCo and that outflow came through aggressively 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toolsheds Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 9 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Wow…I’m in northern MoCo and that outflow came through aggressively It really did. Had about 5 minutes of strong winds coming through in waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 9 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Wow…I’m in northern MoCo and that outflow came through aggressively Definitely had some punch here in Colesville. Could hear the wind starting to go through the trees as it approached. Given how far we are from the dying storms - I'm pretty impressed with that boundary. Nothing severe - but it put a ton of leaves into the air here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Wow…I’m in northern MoCo and that outflow came through aggressively Yeah. You can see it on the radar. It is progressing east but the line isn’t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 24, 2022 Share Posted July 24, 2022 My temperature has actually RISEN behind the outflow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 24, 2022 Share Posted July 24, 2022 IAD to 43 mph with the outflow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted July 24, 2022 Share Posted July 24, 2022 That gust front was impressive! Had some gusts to 30-35 and the temp went from 96 to 77 in minutes. Going to sit outside for a while now and enjoy the comfortable conditions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted July 24, 2022 Share Posted July 24, 2022 Cooling outflow with some stiff breezes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted July 24, 2022 Share Posted July 24, 2022 26 minutes ago, yoda said: I'm seeing 94? Yup Yoda - thanks for the check - my bad. I misread the forecast for tomorrow to be the observed for today. My bad. https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=38.9243&lon=-77.3551&unit=0&lg=english&FcstType=graphical My Vantage Vue registered 98 though for a few mins. The large azaleas I transplanted IVO the outdoor unit may be creating elevated highs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now