uncle W Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 Looks like a storm just to my north… I’m watching it as i bbq… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 andd it disappears. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 High of 88 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 Finally past half an inch today with .15” this morning, .60” for the month now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 86 the high here but very humid. Storms seem to be weakening as they head east. last night .18 inch of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 Temperatures rose into the upper 80s and lower 90s across the region. Tomorrow will be a similar day. Temperatures will generally remain near or above normal through the remainder of the month. There is potential for significant heat to expand into the region during the first week of August. Overall, August will likely be warmer than normal. During June 16-20, the MJO has been in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.500 or above. Of the six cases that saw such an outcome during June 15-25 (1988, 2003, 2010, 2012, 2017 and 2020), four had a warmer than normal July, one was somewhat cooler than normal and one was cooler than normal. The latest guidance all indicates that July will wind up solidly among the warmer than normal cases. The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. Based on how the pattern has been evolving during the spring transition to summer, it is more likely than not that the warmest anomalies of the summer will likely occur in July and August with June being the coolest of the three months in the Northeast. The latest ECMWF monthly forecast indicates that July will be warmer than June relative to normal and that August will be the warmest summer month relative to normal. In addition, in the 6 past cases when the June AO averaged +0.750 or above (1950-2021), 50% of the following July cases were warmer than normal. 67% of the following August and September cases featured above normal temperatures. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around July 20. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.60°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the summer. The SOI was +15.63. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.147 today. On July 25 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.564 (RMM). The July 24-adjusted amplitude was 1.486 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.6° (2.1° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 1 hour ago, winterwx21 said: The storm moving into Hunterdon County is on track to hit our area. Hopefully it'll hold together. I missed that one but they got some just to my north Looks like a more potent will get imby around 730 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 Absolutely pathetic today…a few drops 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 2 hours ago, forkyfork said: so the 18z nam and hrrr improved Icon as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 6 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: I missed that one but they got some just to my north Looks like a more potent will get imby around 730 Unfortunately but not surprisingly they've been falling apart as they move east. Just a light shower here. Thank goodness I got the .75 early this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 28, 2022 Author Share Posted July 28, 2022 Lake Superior will be the only unusually cool spot surrounded by near record early August heat. 3rd coldest Lake Superior behind 2014 and 1996 in late July since 1995 https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/150107/a-lake-of-superior-cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 1 hour ago, winterwarlock said: I missed that one but they got some just to my north Looks like a more potent will get imby around 730 What the f its disappeared 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 And the disgusting humidity is back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 32 minutes ago, jm1220 said: And the disgusting humidity is back. Awful. And the mosquitoes and yellow jackets are out in force. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 88/73 split today. My ideal summer day. 0.00” for today although the ground was wet this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzLuv Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 we received a short but much-needed downpour this evening. That in addition to significant rain overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 One last chance moving from PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 7/28 New Brnswck: 93 ACY: 93 PHL: 93 EWR: 92 TTN: 91 TEB: 90 LGA: 88 BLM: 88 NYC: 87 ISP: 85 JFK: 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 35 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: One last chance moving from PA South jersey special 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: South jersey special got a 15 minute light shower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 Mt holly saying south of 95 tomorrow Ugh is this true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 2 hours ago, psv88 said: Awful. And the mosquitoes and yellow jackets are out in force. Yep. No mosquitoes would be the one silver lining of it being dry like the south shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 High for the day yesterday was 91 here. Picked up 0.23" of rain for the day yesterday Current temp 78/DP 71/RH 80% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 Little to no rain expected ahead of the next major heat surge and got skunked yesterday yet again. So our lawns will look like hay and I expect an upgrade in the drought severity by August 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 The last 3 days of July are averaging 80degs.(72/89) or +2. Month to date is 79.6[+2.1]. July should end at 79.7[+2.2]. Reached 82 here yesterday. Today: 85-90, p. cloudy, rain/TS about 10pm?, 72 tomorrow AM. 75*(85%RH) here at 7am. 80* at 11am. 81* at Noon. 85* at 4pm. 80* at 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 29, 2022 Author Share Posted July 29, 2022 Newark is currently the warmest and driest July on record with a few days to go. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 2022 82.9 3 2 2011 82.7 0 3 1993 82.5 0 4 2010 82.3 0 5 1994 81.9 0 6 2013 80.9 0 7 2020 80.8 0 - 2012 80.8 0 - 1999 80.8 0 8 2019 80.6 0 9 1955 80.5 0 10 1988 80.4 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 2022 0.54 3 2 1932 0.84 0 3 1966 0.89 0 4 1999 1.01 0 5 1955 1.14 0 6 2002 1.19 0 7 1974 1.31 0 8 1998 1.34 0 9 1954 1.45 0 10 1977 1.51 0 - 1957 1.51 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 36 minutes ago, bluewave said: Newark is currently the warmest and driest July on record with a few days to go. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 2022 82.9 3 2 2011 82.7 0 3 1993 82.5 0 4 2010 82.3 0 5 1994 81.9 0 6 2013 80.9 0 7 2020 80.8 0 - 2012 80.8 0 - 1999 80.8 0 8 2019 80.6 0 9 1955 80.5 0 10 1988 80.4 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 2022 0.54 3 2 1932 0.84 0 3 1966 0.89 0 4 1999 1.01 0 5 1955 1.14 0 6 2002 1.19 0 7 1974 1.31 0 8 1998 1.34 0 9 1954 1.45 0 10 1977 1.51 0 - 1957 1.51 0 Looks like it'll be close with only modestly warm days ahead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 29, 2022 Author Share Posted July 29, 2022 19 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Looks like it'll be close with only modestly warm days ahead. Harrison is having their warmest July so far also. But the heavier rains than Newark kept them a degree cooler. Even if they miss the top spot, it will still be close. Time Series Summary for HARRISON, NJ - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 2022 81.7 3 2 2020 81.5 0 3 2019 81.4 0 4 2012 81.2 2 5 2010 81.1 2 Time Series Summary for HARRISON, NJ - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 1999 0.64 0 2 2002 1.32 0 3 1998 1.45 0 4 2022 1.76 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 All total yesterday was .90". .74 in the morning, .16 in the afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 29, 2022 Author Share Posted July 29, 2022 Las Vegas traded places with Newark for the heavy rainfall this month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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