hooralph Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 All of Manhattan about to get clocked top to bottom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 25, 2022 Author Share Posted July 25, 2022 26 minutes ago, Rjay said: I respect the Mount Holly mets but I don't think they're using all the information available. In the end, our discussion isn't all that important but I still want accuracy. It does bother me greatly that NYC's climate statistics have been severely compromised for such a long period of time. They should probably read the paper that I posted yesterday on how flawed the MADIS comparisons are. While the OKX crew does a great job on forecasting, what they let happen to the Central Park observing site doesn’t speak highly of the quality control at the NYC ASOS. I don’t think that any other local NWS office would allow that to happen to one of their legacy sites. At least the forecasters from the surrounding offices drop in and add their comments. But we seldom see forecasters from the OKX office comment on Central Park. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 This could be the only TSTM of the day if you believe the HRRR...at least for the immediate NYC area but perhaps this tells us there is enough instability and juice that additional activity will occur on the front...this cell is fast enough and small enough in area it should not kill the instability in the area 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 Just now, hooralph said: animated.mov 1022.85 kB · 0 downloads This part of NJ has done very well recently! Had .04" here a little bit ago as fast moving shower moved through. Expectations for rest of the day are low. SPS says 80% chance watch box will be issued for parts of NNJ into SNE. Think anything will be very localized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 20 minutes ago, dWave said: Severe t storm warning for NE NJ, Manhattan, Bronx, Queens Good afternoon dWave. I’m already hearing the rumbles in Brooklyn, 11231. Stay well, as always… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 looking forward fo temps to drop into the low 70's during this thunderstorm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 this thing is trying to rotate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 Edit nevermind, watch just issued So far no watch. Maybe they changed their minds since the activity is not widespread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 Bombs going off here in midtown right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, rclab said: Good afternoon dWave. I’m already hearing the rumbles in Brooklyn, 11231. Stay well, as always… starting to hear the thunder in manhattan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 21 minutes ago, Poker2015 said: Where in town are you? Behind my back fence is an area thats usually wet, looks like the moon too now. I'm behind Readington Brewery and "hop farm" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 Ewr made it to 90. Tomorrow has a shot too which would allow the heatwave to go through the rest of the month 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 1 minute ago, nycwinter said: starting to hear the thunder in manhattan Good afternoon nycw. A brief spit of rain, a nice breeze and sycamore snow. IMG_6125.MOV IMG_6125.MOV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 2 hours ago, uncle W said: oldies?... Not to get too political but it’s NJ’s main conservative radio station so they tend to play down anything that could be perceived as CC effects. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 92 for Hillsborough..day 14 of my heatwave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 1PM BLM: 90 New Brnswck: 90 ACY: 90 PHL: 89 EWR: 89 LGA: 88 TTN: 88 NYC: 85 JFK: 82 ISP: 82 TEB: 76 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 Weird looking watch "box" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 In regards to the Central Park issue, this was OKX's response when someone asked about it. Wow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 Kinda underwhelming here on Roosevelt Island. Some nice, soaking rain and a few decent lightning strikes over Manhattan, but nothing crazy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Weird looking watch "box" And such a huge areas, 39 million people in the watch area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Weird looking watch "box" I think the chances of any meaningful rainfall going forward today across NJ is very low. Not a good thing as rest of the week does not offer much. Parts of NJ are almost certainly going to bounce into D1 conditions this week or next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 38 minutes ago, Rjay said: I don't think anyone is tossing New Brunswick though. I think their numbers are accurate in 2022. I was in East Brunswick on Saturday and my car read 102 just after driving in a residential area. felt like it too I think EWR is actually a pretty good representation of the UHI and other densely populated areas in NE NJ as well as SI, Brooklyn, and Queens away from the immediate coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 unbelievable another day with a call of a slight risk and nada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, TWCCraig said: In regards to the Central Park issue, this was OKX's response when someone asked about it. Wow They are correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 15 minutes ago, TWCCraig said: In regards to the Central Park issue, this was OKX's response when someone asked about it. Wow except snow measurements... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 Since I am doing research involving the NYC data base, I would be interested in thoughts about how long the tree canopy issue has possibly been affecting temperatures and by what amount, also could we say it was an issue only during foliation season? How strong a wind negates it? My belief is that the July 1936 heat wave would have registered something well over 100 F even in today's setting, but that aside, I am looking at comparing data with urban effects considered, and this tree canopy issue is an urban effect in the opposite direction to the urban heat island. My comparisons assumed a gradual rise in the u.h.i. throughout the data set to 1980 and a level signal since 1980 (at some point the urban area gets so large that increases stop happening near its center and are observed further out). The adjustments are more relevant to minimum than maximum temperatures for urban heat islands (typically, if an urban heat island is on the order of 2 F deg, then the average increases will be 0.5 daytime and 3.5 overnight). So I am considering adjusting the urban filter that I applied to include this tree canopy issue, any suggestions? Or is there an argument to be made that larger tree canopies have spread through significant portions of the metropolitan area therefore this is just part of the historical trend and something not to be filtered out, since we don't filter out changes to the agriculture of the great plains etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 Hicksville area about to clocked again. Very strong downburst signature on the velocity scans. storm looks really nasty with a hook 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 I don't know why this is a mystery or a debate. Of course it is likely to be a few degrees cooler in Central Park. If you have gone in on a summer morning you can feel the temperature drop when you get in. Whether that is more reflective of the "natural" or "built" environment that people experience is open for interpretation. To Roger's point, I would also imagine this has been exacerbated over time. Bigger, mature trees in Central Park with likely continued pruning and building in the built areas. Anyone in the area knows that the trees in Riverside Park are becoming a serious problem - huge trees and branches fall with no provocation. My own pic... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 Where is the front currently located? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now