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July 2022


bluewave
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45 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Pending on clouds / storms arrival, outside chance for more strong heat.   Storms in PA now moving closer to NJ

Take a look at the various CAMS from 00z/24 available to forecasters this afternoon. My model based guess: coming  across NJ and grazing NYC later this eve.  Some recent GFS cycles have had this event into NNJ. 12z/24 SPC HREF seems lackluster compared to reality.

 https://cams.nssl.noaa.gov/?model=wrf_nssl_3km-v3&product=qpf_006h&sector=spc_ne&postage_stamp=false

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3 minutes ago, psv88 said:

At the Mets game and LgA is now 94 degrees. No wind here. Absolutely unbearable 

Met offense as dry as Central NJ these days.

 

9PM Round up:

LGA: 94
EWR: 93
TEB: 92
New Brnswck: 90
NYC: 89

 

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Just 92* here today, 1500' from the ocean.

79*(83%RH) here at 7am.        83*(59%RH) at 9am.      85* at Noon.       89* at 1pm.      90* at 1:30pm.       91* at 2pm.     Same T collapse as yesterday, plus high thin clouds have appeared......86* at 3pm.         85*(75%RH) at 4pm---feels like 95*.        Back to 90* at 7pm.       New high for the day of 92*  near 7:30pm.      86*(72%RH) at 11pm---feels like 96*.

SREF is 0.75" for tomorrow, up from 0.60" on this morning's run.

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10 hours ago, wdrag said:

Take a look at the various CAMS from 00z/24 available to forecasters this afternoon. My model based guess: coming  across NJ and grazing NYC later this eve.  Some recent GFS cycles have had this event into NNJ. 12z/24 SPC HREF seems lackluster compared to reality.

 https://cams.nssl.noaa.gov/?model=wrf_nssl_3km-v3&product=qpf_006h&sector=spc_ne&postage_stamp=false

CAMS ended up too aggressive to the south edge except NSSL WRF, HRRR,  SPC HREF.

0.18 in Wantage. Looks like svr occurred just along the western border of NJ.

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