Cfa Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: The shallow Great South Bay made it to 86° today. My first time at a GSB beach the water felt as hot as the air temp (upper 80’s). I was shocked and confused. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 98° high...sea breeze moved in around 3:30 and dropped temp down to 90°....Dew point went from 60 to 69 with wind shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 Any fire issues in central NJ with the heat and lack of rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 Down to 84 here in Sheepshead Bay now with the sea breeze after a high of 95 at 1pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 The hottest temperatures of the year are likely this weekend. Widespread high temperatures of 95°-100° with higher figures in the lower 100s are likely. Monday will be slightly cooler, but temperatures will still reach the lower 90s across much of the region. Afterward, temperatures will become several degrees cooler through midweek. During June 16-20, the MJO has been in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.500 or above. Of the six cases that saw such an outcome during June 15-25 (1988, 2003, 2010, 2012, 2017 and 2020), four had a warmer than normal July, one was somewhat cooler than normal and one was cooler than normal. The latest guidance all indicates that July will wind up solidly among the warmer than normal cases. The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. Based on how the pattern has been evolving during the spring transition to summer, it is more likely than not that the warmest anomalies of the summer will likely occur in July and August with June being the coolest of the three months in the Northeast. The latest ECMWF monthly forecast indicates that July will be warmer than June relative to normal and that August will be the warmest summer month relative to normal. In addition, in the 6 past cases when the June AO averaged +0.750 or above (1950-2021), 50% of the following July cases were warmer than normal. 67% of the following August and September cases featured above normal temperatures. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around July 13. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.40°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.60°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the summer. The SOI was -2.89. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.260 today. On July 20 the MJO was in Phase 8 at an amplitude of 0.690 (RMM). The July 19-adjusted amplitude was 0.128 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 95% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 80.0° (2.5° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 31 minutes ago, psv88 said: Any fire issues in central NJ with the heat and lack of rain? No but they just enacted a campfire ban Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 88 after high of 95. Now darkening skies with t storms in the area again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 22, 2022 Author Share Posted July 22, 2022 49 minutes ago, Cfa said: My first time at a GSB beach the water felt as hot as the air temp (upper 80’s). I was shocked and confused. Yeah, much of the bay is so shallow that it heats up like a backyard swimming pool. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 2 hours ago, tdp146 said: Or it should have a dew point component. When it’s 89 and a DP of 75, it’s hot. End of story. Agreed, I had a dewpoint of 78 with that high of 86 and it felt way worse out there compared to today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Yes they are Yet when you click on the excessive heat warnings it shows up blank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Yes they are Go to Philly on nws page it says heat advisory in effect lol. Someone's really screwed up Philly nws page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 look like more storms for nyc have we become miami this week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 99 in Hillsborough....just couldn't complete the trifecta of 3 straight 100 days.. we try tomorrow day 11 of my heatwave churns forward 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 98 three days in a row imby is a real heat wave...its been dry here so the humidity is much lower in my hood except for a drop or two a little while ago...a drop in the bucket so to speak...down to 88 now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 7 hours ago, psv88 said: 91/69 here, day 4 of the heatwave. Cant remember the last 7 day heatwave here. 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 High temp was 98 today, but as I said it didn't feel that bad with the dewpoint dropping down into the 50s here. I went for a 5 mile run this afternoon and it didn't feel bad running even though the temp was in the 90s. Amazing the difference a little lower humidity makes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 in July 1966 NYC had 13 of 14 days above 90 with a few 100's for good measure but dew points averaged mid 60's at best... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 7/22 EWR: 100 BLM: 97 New Brnswck: 97 PHL: 97 TTN: 96 ACY: 96 LGA: 96 TEB: 96 JFK: 95 NYC: 94 ISP: 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzLuv Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 1 hour ago, winterwarlock said: 99 in Hillsborough....just couldn't complete the trifecta of 3 straight 100 days.. we try tomorrow day 11 of my heatwave churns forward Was wondering if we would get there todayl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 22 minutes ago, BlizzLuv said: Was wondering if we would get there todayl You in the Boro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Neighbors canceled a party due to the heat and air quality and it turned out to be a very pleasant evening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Yup.... not too bad out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 57 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 7/22 EWR: 100 BLM: 97 New Brnswck: 97 PHL: 97 TTN: 96 ACY: 96 LGA: 96 TEB: 96 JFK: 95 NYC: 94 ISP: 91 Ewr lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 The ongoing heatwave has now qualified as an Extreme Heat Event (EHE) in Newark. At least 3 days have seen the maximum temperature exceed the 97.5th percentile (98° or above), the average high during that period exceeded the 97.5th percentile, and all high temperatures exceeded the 81st percentile (90° or above) in June-August high temperatures for the 1971-2000 base period (Clarke, et al.,2014). 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 9 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: The ongoing heatwave has now qualified as an Extreme Heat Event (EHE) in Newark. At least 3 days have seen the maximum temperature exceed the 97.5th percentile (98° or above), the average high during that period exceeded the 97.5th percentile, and all high temperatures exceeded the 81st percentile (90° or above) in June-August high temperatures for the 1971-2000 base period (Clarke, et al.,2014). 1966 wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 8 minutes ago, Allsnow said: 1966 wow And 53 so late in the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 High for the day was 100 here again. Current temp 82/DP 68/RH 79% 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 56 minutes ago, Allsnow said: 1966 wow this month is 2.5 degrees warmer so far 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Ewr lol Somerville and Harrison also hit 100 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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