SACRUS Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 10AM Roundup EWR: 84 ACY: 81 PHL: 81 New Brnswck: 81 LGA: 80 JFK: 79 TTN: 79 BLM: 79 TEB: 79 ISP: 76 NYC: 76 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 54 minutes ago, FPizz said: It’ll be sad to see the strong storms over NJ hit the sea breeze wall and collapse later. Maybe we can salvage a few showers east of the city. Looking like a coastal drought summer developing, delayed but not denied. Until the WAR can build west I think the gorgeous but largely boring pattern continues. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 32 minutes ago, jm1220 said: It’ll be sad to see the strong storms over NJ hit the sea breeze wall and collapse later. Maybe we can salvage a few showers east of the city. Looking like a coastal drought summer developing, delayed but not denied. Until the WAR can build west I think the gorgeous but largely boring pattern continues. and models seem to be pushing that back and back...kind of like winter where the big pattern is modeled but never shows up. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Big Ambrose Jet day as the best heat sets up over NJ and interior SE NY again. Much cooler near the South Shore with wind gusts to 35mph. So plenty of blowing sand and dangerous rip currents at the beach today. They should issue dangerous flying umbrella warnings today! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 If/ when the WAR pushs westward does that potential setup greatly increase for possible tropical systems to come up the coast then? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 9 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: If/ when the WAR pushs westward does that potential setup greatly increase for possible tropical systems to come up the coast then? It depends on exactly how far westward it builds, and what exact position the ridge is in. It can push storms into the coast over the southeastern states or allow them to move up the coast or even force them (less likely) into the Gulf of Mexico. Or if the ridge is too strong, it can even hinder the development of tropical systems. Rules do not usually work in the world of weather because there are so many factors. La Nina ridge usually favors an active Atlantic tropical season but there are exceptions. WX/PT 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 84/65 with clear skies here currently. West wind around 10 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/11/2022 at 10:37 AM, uncle W said: I remember back in July 1963 during a breezy cool morning when fallen leaves were blowing around as if it was the Fall...this dry period is a nuisance... I’m seeing some grumbling about 2000-2001 being a possible analog for this year, which I can see for the triple dip La Niña, and also the -PDO, however, the QBO was going in the opposite direction from what is it now, it was going negative into winter, this year we are going positive and I’m not sure of the solar state back then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 Gonna be a big upwelling day along the beaches. Cold surf coming back? Dropped down into the 50s last time this happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 14 hours ago, Brian5671 said: my guy skipped my brown lawn this week We got most in last week but this week is the issue. Will probably end up doing maybe 50% of our lawns this week. Even the ones with sprinklers are dried out because they are the most damaged by fertilizers Have not seen things go this dry imby in well over a decade maybe 2 decades There was a year in the mid 90s that was brutal? 95/96 maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 Nam or hrrr? Take your pick 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1454.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 44 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said: Gonna be a big upwelling day along the beaches. Cold surf coming back? Dropped down into the 50s last time this happened. These big onshore flow days actually depress upwelling. The offshore flow days where the heat makes it to the shore actually help upwelling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 12, 2022 Author Share Posted July 12, 2022 1 hour ago, wthrmn654 said: They should issue dangerous flying umbrella warnings today! Yeah, already gusting close to 30 mph on the South Shore as the sea breeze cranks up. Wantagh N/A 77 70 78 S14G28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 The models playing catch-up and getting stronger with the Niña as we get closer in time to fall….shades of the last 2 summers: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 1 hour ago, winterwarlock said: We got most in last week but this week is the issue. Will probably end up doing maybe 50% of our lawns this week. Even the ones with sprinklers are dried out because they are the most damaged by fertilizers Have not seen things go this dry imby in well over a decade maybe 2 decades There was a year in the mid 90s that was brutal? 95/96 maybe? Yes it's very crispy here in Hillsborough. I think we had one 0.2" storm two weekends ago and that is it. I've been watering my lawn but it's just not enough and have given up as there is no point in wasting water. Just let the dormancy prevail until we get a change. Sucks for your business though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: These big onshore flow days actually depress upwelling. The offshore flow days where the heat makes it to the shore actually help upwelling. He’s actually correct for the Jersey shore assuming the flow was a little more SW. But you are correct for the island, strong south flow (Ambrose jet) events pile up the warm surface water. Nothing better then a late day body surf sesh in 6 foot wind chop with bathtub warm water! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 Big waves today 36mph so far out here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 42 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: He’s actually correct for the Jersey shore assuming the flow was a little more SW. But you are correct for the island, strong south flow (Ambrose jet) events pile up the warm surface water. Nothing better then a late day body surf sesh in 6 foot wind chop with bathtub warm water! Yeah your warm water was our 54 degree water over the holiday weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: The models playing catch-up and getting stronger with the Niña as we get closer in time to fall….shades of the last 2 summers: As a cold and snow lover, I massively dislike this trend, but it’s kinda tough to bet against it right now. Since the super Niño, we seem to have established a weak to moderate Niña as our base state and the atmosphere has behaved as if we were in a Niña regardless. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 Hard to get The dew points above 70ﾟ even with a strong southerly flow ahead of a cold front. The summer without dews continues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 EWR was 93 last hour about 1 or 2 degrees warmer than other stations, now at 3 they've surged to 97 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 82/73 at my station in Sheepshead Bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 35 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: EWR was 93 last hour about 1 or 2 degrees warmer than other stations, now at 3 they've surged to 97 Do quick Google search and it's amazing how many results give explanations why it's so warm there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 if it were erroneous the nws would do something about it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 Current temp 93/DP 70/RH 48% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 i like thursday better than today for the immediate metro. light southerly flow is usually good for us based on what i've observed over the years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 84 here with winds off the sound Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 Got to 79 today. Not much to write about lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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