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July 2022


bluewave
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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

We had a mix of days this heatwave with lighter and stronger winds. But NYC temperatures were in line with the South Shore sea  breeze sites from JFK to ISP. So the high temperature cool bias has been pretty consistent across multiple patterns. I can still remember the old heatwaves like July 1977 when Central Park was one of the warmest sites. There are many more examples like the one below between recent years and before the mid to late 90s.
 

Monthly Data for July 2022 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Highest Max Temperature 
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 102
NJ HARRISON COOP 102
NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 98
NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 98
NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 98
NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 97
NY SHRUB OAK COOP 96
NY MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP WBAN 96
NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 96
NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 96
CT MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 96
NY PORT JERVIS COOP 96
CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 96
CT DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 95
NY CENTERPORT COOP 95
CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 95
NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 95
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 95


 

Monthly Data for July 1977 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Highest Max Temperature 
NY NEW YORK LAUREL HILL COOP 104
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 104
NY DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 103
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 102
CT NORWALK GAS PLANT COOP 102
NY WEST POINT COOP 101
NJ ESSEX FELLS SERVICE BLDG COOP 101
NY VANDERBILT MUSEUM COOP 101
NY MARYKNOLL COOP 100
NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 100
NJ CRANFORD COOP 100
NY NEW YORK AVE V BROOKLYN COOP 100
NY NY WESTERLEIGH STAT IS COOP 100
NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 100
CT STAMFORD 5 N COOP 100
NY SCARSDALE COOP 100
CT MIDDLETOWN 4 W COOP 100
CT NEW HAVEN COOP 100
NY SUFFERN COOP 99
NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 99
NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 99
NJ WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM COOP 99
CT DANBURY COOP 99
NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 99
NY SETAUKET STRONG COOP 99
CT GROTON COOP 99
NY WALDEN 1 ESE COOP 98
NY CARMEL COOP 98
CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 98
NY MIDDLETOWN 2 NW COOP 97
NJ JERSEY CITY COOP 97
NY MINEOLA COOP 97
NY YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 1W COOP 97
CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 97
CT MOUNT CARMEL COOP 97
NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 97
NY PATCHOGUE 2 N COOP 96
NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 96
NY PORT JERVIS COOP 95
NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 95
NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 95

There also seems to be a more wide spread list of 100 degrees readings in 1977 and the 2022 list seems to be just the eastern N.J. area around Newark.

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some select Newark and Central Park max temps thru the years...

date....Newark...NYC...

6/15/1994...101.....96

6/21/1953...100.....97

6/22/1988...101.....98

6/27/1966...101...101

6/30/2021...103.....98

7/01/1963...100.....98

7/03/1966...105...103

7/04/1949...105...102

7/08/1993...105...100

7/10/1993...105...102

7/14/1954...102...100

7/15/1995...104...102

7/18/2012...104...100

7/22/2011...108...104

7/27/2005...101.....97

7/31/1954...102...100

8/05/1944...102...101

8/09/2001...105...103

8/26/1948...103...103

9/02/1953...105...102

9/11/1983.....99.....99

 

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1 hour ago, wthrmn654 said:

Gfs has 100s August 8th. It's coming. 

Yes I posted a map like that late last night then this morning's run dropped it and 18Z brought it back. But it is very much in the time-frame during which the GFS is extremely poor and not to be relied upon. I posted to the map just to show what 100 degrees and the 3 H's would look like but we're nowhere near there yet. If the maps keep showing that and if other models jump on board, we will definitely have reason to talk it up some more and I do think it's possible that that may happen at some point in the next 8 weeks. Even though this current heatwave has ended in NYC we're still very much in an above normal temperature pattern.

WX/PT

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still an outside chance of cells firing overnight it looks like, maybe a few of us hit a lottery ticket

storm exiting off the jersey coast has been generating lightning for hours, i can see it like lighting up from 50 miles away in piscataway

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9 hours ago, lee59 said:

There also seems to be a more wide spread list of 100 degrees readings in 1977 and the 2022 list seems to be just the eastern N.J. area around Newark.

The network that I used doesn’t cover the NYC micronet and the NJ mesonet . So we have to use micronet sources for the 5 boroughs of NYC. Several of the COOPs around NYC in 1977 closed. There were multiple 100° days in the 5 boroughs during this heatwave. 

https://www2.nysmesonet.org/networks/nyc

7-20

Brownsville 100°

Corona 100°

Tremont 102°

7-22

Brownsville 100°

Corona 100°

Tremont 100°


7-23

Brownsville 101°

Corona 100°

South Ozone Park 100°

Tremont 101°


7-24

Corona 101°

Fresh Kills 100°

Tremont 101°

 

 

 

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The next 8 days are averaging  82degs.(74/90) or +4.

Month to date is  79.8[+2.3].       July should end at  80.2[+2.7].

Reached 91 here late,  88 before TS.  lol

Today:  82-88, p. sunny, wind sw.-variable, breezy.

Clouds this week hold down T till the northern tier HW takes over Week 1 of August.     Could reach us too.

74*(65%RH) here at 7am.       77* at 9am.        80* at Noon.      79* at 12:30pm.      82* at 3pm.

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Morning thoughts…

It will be variably cloudy and cooler. High temperatures will reach the lower and middle 80s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 84°

Newark: 89°

Philadelphia: 84°

Tomorrow will be fair and pleasant.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 85.1°; 15-Year: 86.2°

Newark: 30-Year: 86.8°; 15-Year: 88.2°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 87.7°; 15-Year: 88.7°

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The tree growth covering the Central Park ASOS has made its highest temperatures closer to Suffolk County than the rest of our urbanized areas since 2013. Central Park hasn’t reached 99° since the 2013 summer. Islip has come closer to 100 than NYC over these years. The list below is our highest summer temperatures since 2013. The multiple 100° days at the NYC micronet stations aren’t on this list since it’s on  a separate network. So this is the 2nd longest streak below 99° in NYC since 1873.

 

Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature < 99 
for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Run Length
Ending Date
Period of record: 1873-01-01 to 2022-07-25
1 4022 1977-07-17
2 3659 2022-07-25
3 3260 1894-06-24
4 2844 1911-07-02
5 2212 1917-07-30
6 1786 2010-07-04
7 1763 1988-07-09
8 1761 1962-05-18
9 1476 1923-07-19
10 1475 1948-08-25

 

Data for January 1, 2013 through July 25, 2022
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Highest Max Temperature 
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 103
NJ HARRISON COOP 102
NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 101
CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 101
NJ CRANFORD COOP 100
NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 100
NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 100
NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 100
NY SETAUKET STRONG COOP 100
NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 100
NJ RINGWOOD COOP 99
NY WEST POINT COOP 99
NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 99
CT STAMFORD 5 N COOP 99
CT PUTNAM LAKE COOP 99
CT IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT WBAN 99
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 98
NY MATTITUCK COOP 98
NY MOUNT SINAI COOP 98
CT MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 98
NY CENTERPORT COOP 98
NY SHRUB OAK COOP 97
NY BRONX COOP 97
CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 97
CT ANSONIA 1 NE COOP 97
NY WESTHAMPTON GABRESKI AP WBAN 97
NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 97
NY SHIRLEY BROOKHAVEN AIRPORT WBAN 97
NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 97
NY BAITING HOLLOW COOP 97
NY UPTON COOP - NWSFO NEW YORK COOP 97
CT DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 97
NY YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 1W COOP 97
NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 97
NY PORT JERVIS COOP 96
NJ ESSEX FELLS SERVICE BLDG COOP 96
CT MOUNT CARMEL COOP 96
NY MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP WBAN 96
CT SAUGATUCK RESERVOIR COOP 96
CT DANBURY COOP 96
CT BRIDGEPORT-SUCCESS HILL COOP 96
NY SYOSSET COOP 96
NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 95
CT GROTON NEW LONDON AP WBAN 95
NY GREENPORT POWER HOUSE COOP 95
NY ORIENT POINT STATE PARK COOP 95
CT GUILFORD COOP 95
CT MIDDLETOWN 4 W COOP 95
CT OXFORD WATERBURY WBAN 95
NJ WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM COOP 94
NY MOLLOY CERCOM COOP 94
NY BRIDGEHAMPTON COOP 94
NY MONTAUK AIRPORT WBAN 94
NY WALDEN 1 ESE COOP 93
CT GROTON COOP 93
NY WEST NYACK COOP 92
NY CARMEL 4N COOP 92
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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

The network that I used doesn’t cover the NYC micronet and the NJ mesonet . So we have to use micronet sources for the 5 boroughs of NYC. Several of the COOPs around NYC in 1977 closed. There were multiple 100° days in the 5 boroughs during this heatwave. 

https://www2.nysmesonet.org/networks/nyc

7-20

Brownsville 100°

Corona 100°

Tremont 102°

7-22

Brownsville 100°

Corona 100°

Tremont 100°


7-23

Brownsville 101°

Corona 100°

South Ozone Park 100°

Tremont 101°


7-24

Corona 101°

Fresh Kills 100°

Tremont 101°

 

 

 

That "Fresh Kills" station is in the town of Travis on Staten Island btw and is just a stones throw from my station. 

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34 minutes ago, doncat said:

That "Fresh Kills" station is in the town of Travis on Staten Island btw and is just a stones throw from my station. 

It runs a little cooler than interior Queens.

Fresh Kills

Wed, Jul 20, 2022 99 77 88 67 69 32 51 0.00 S 5
19
5:00pm
Thu, Jul 21, 2022 99 78 89 70 85 31 57 0.00 S 6
28
5:05pm
Fri, Jul 22, 2022 98 75 86 64 77 26 51 0.00 S* 4
22
6:30pm
Sat, Jul 23, 2022 99 77 88 65 73 22 49 0.00 S 4
20
4:30pm
Sun, Jul 24, 2022 100 79 89 65 73 28 48 0.00 S 6
24
7:10pm


 

Corona


 

Wed, Jul 20, 2022 100 80 88 68 64 35 51 0.00    
 
Thu, Jul 21, 2022 96 76 87 71 96 35 62 0.72    
 
Fri, Jul 22, 2022 100 82 88 64 58 24 47 0.00    
 
Sat, Jul 23, 2022 100 82 88 65 71 26 49 0.00    
 
Sun, Jul 24, 2022 101 82 89 68 74 29 52 0.00
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8 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It runs a little cooler than interior Queens.

Fresh Kills

Wed, Jul 20, 2022 99 77 88 67 69 32 51 0.00 S 5
19
5:00pm
Thu, Jul 21, 2022 99 78 89 70 85 31 57 0.00 S 6
28
5:05pm
Fri, Jul 22, 2022 98 75 86 64 77 26 51 0.00 S* 4
22
6:30pm
Sat, Jul 23, 2022 99 77 88 65 73 22 49 0.00 S 4
20
4:30pm
Sun, Jul 24, 2022 100 79 89 65 73 28 48 0.00 S 6
24
7:10pm


 

Corona


 

Wed, Jul 20, 2022 100 80 88 68 64 35 51 0.00    
 
Thu, Jul 21, 2022 96 76 87 71 96 35 62 0.72    
 
Fri, Jul 22, 2022 100 82 88 64 58 24 47 0.00    
 
Sat, Jul 23, 2022 100 82 88 65 71 26 49 0.00    
 
Sun, Jul 24, 2022 101 82 89 68 74 29 52 0.00

Yeah it's a pretty suburban location. 

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The many stations under .50 of rain are having one of their driest July 1 to 25 periods on record.

 

 

Monthly Data for July 2022 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Total Precipitation 
NJ MONTCLAIR 0.7 NNE CoCoRaHS 0.00
CT FAIRFIELD 1.5 NE CoCoRaHS 0.00
NY JACKSON HEIGHTS 0.3 WSW CoCoRaHS 0.13
CT IVORYTON 0.9 WSW CoCoRaHS 0.15
NY BLUE POINT 0.4 E CoCoRaHS 0.15
NJ LINDEN 2.2 NW CoCoRaHS 0.16
NY LARCHMONT 1.1 NNE CoCoRaHS 0.18
NY SETAUKET-EAST SETAUKET 0.7 SSW CoCoRaHS 0.19
NY COPIAGUE 0.4 ENE CoCoRaHS 0.21
NY SAYVILLE 1.0 SSE CoCoRaHS 0.22
NJ GLEN ROCK 0.7 SSE CoCoRaHS 0.24
NY AMITYVILLE 0.1 WSW CoCoRaHS 0.26
NJ RINGWOOD 3.0 SSE CoCoRaHS 0.26
NY MASSAPEQUA 1.1 SE CoCoRaHS 0.28
NY SAYVILLE 0.2 SE CoCoRaHS 0.30
NY WESTHAMPTON GABRESKI AP WBAN 0.30
CT GRISWOLD 0.9 N CoCoRaHS 0.31
NY PATCHOGUE 0.9 SE CoCoRaHS 0.31
CT MYSTIC 3.4 NW CoCoRaHS 0.32
NY REMSENBURG-SPEONK 0.9 NE CoCoRaHS 0.32
NY BROOKLYN 3.1 NW CoCoRaHS 0.34
NY AMITYVILLE 0.6 NNE CoCoRaHS 0.35
NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 0.37
NY WANTAGH 0.3 ESE CoCoRaHS 0.37
CT NORWICH 2.5 NNE CoCoRaHS 0.39
CT NEW HAVEN 2.9 NNW CoCoRaHS 0.39
NY STATEN ISLAND 1.4 SE CoCoRaHS 0.41
NY BRIGHTWATERS 0.5 NNE CoCoRaHS 0.41
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 0.42
NY MASSAPEQUA PARK 1.2 N CoCoRaHS 0.44
NY BAY SHORE 0.5 ESE CoCoRaHS 0.46
NY LOCUST VALLEY 0.3 E CoCoRaHS 0.46


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Jul 25
Missing Count
1 1939-07-25 0.20 0
2 2022-07-25 0.42 0
3 1932-07-25 0.43 0
4 1966-07-25 0.45 0
5 1980-07-25 0.85 0
6 1998-07-25 0.87 0
- 1957-07-25 0.87 0
7 1999-07-25 1.00 0
8 1970-07-25 1.01 0
9 1955-07-25 1.14 0
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Break in the heat and depending on how much clearing today, end of the string of 90 degree readings for most who didnt end on Monday.  Wed (7/27) remains warm and sun should push temps near 90 and above at the warmer spots.   The Western Atl Ridge builds west and A push of stronger heat and humid air  comes through Thu (7/28) and into Fri (7/29) but  with it more storms and and showers, so temperatures should be capped in the lower 90s.  We'll see if Thu/Fri can get rains to those who hve been missing.

 The weekend looks warm and dry , a few spots can get to 90 with recent dryness but overall mid/upper 80s.

Beyond

Overall warmer pattern building over much of the nation as Rockies ridge and Western Atlanic ridge connect and stronger heat looks to setup nd push east by early August.

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8 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

Tonight it's WAR doing it. GFS seems determined to attain the 3 H's and that 100 degree heat at Central Park.

WX/PT

gfs_z500_mslp_us_41.png

 

Growing signal on ECM/GFS for that period to have strong ridging into the GL/OV and into the EC.  Still in the 8-10 day range, will see how it progresses.   WOnder if the tropics can wake up.

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6 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Growing signal on ECM/GFS for that period to have strong ridging into the GL/OV into the EC.  Still in the 8-10 day range

That will be our next chance of 100s with widespread 850 mb temperatures from +20C to +24C.


1934DA48-E059-470A-8D09-C7CF33C78908.thumb.png.04886f631ce2a1b31518440688452606.png

 

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