July 2022

[bluewave]

Sunday had the most 100° readings across the area in a long time. There were at least 11 stations that made it to 100°. Newark, Berkeley Twp, and Somerset County reached 102°. So the addition of these new micronet stations shows that Newark really isn’t that unique. People need to look at more than just the NWS hourly round up of major airports to get a full picture of the climate in our area.  So posters on twitter should feel free to join the fuller discussion in this thread rather than issue random tweets that don’t do reflect the actual conditions in our area.
 

NYC micronet

Tremont / Van Nest	101

Corona	101

Fresh Kills	100

OKX forecast zones

Data for July 24, 2022 through July 24, 2022
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

State	Name	Station Type	Highest Max Temperature
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	102
NJ	HARRISON	COOP	101

Philly forecast zones

 

Data for July 24, 2022 through July 24, 2022
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

State	Name	Station Type	Highest Max Temperature
NJ	SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT	WBAN	101
NJ	SOMERSET AIRPORT	WBAN	101
NJ	FREEHOLD-MARLBORO	COOP	101

 

▼ Hillsborough-Duke

NJ

2022-07-24

Mesonet

102

Berkeley Twp.

NJ

2022-07-24

Mesonet

102

▼ Toms River

NJ

2022-07-24

Mesonet

100

 

 

 

[winterwarlock]

9 hours ago, forkyfork said:

where is this from?

Its not accurate i can tell you that

[Cfa]

77/75 currently. Low was 76 which may be the warmest of the year so far.

[CIK62]

The last 7 days of July are averaging  83degs.(75/92) or +5.

Month to date is  79.8[+2.3].        July should end at  80.5[+3.0].

Reached 92 here late yesterday.

Today: 85-89, wind w., wind s., breezy, cloudy, rain late.

81*(85%RH) here at 7am.     83*(78%RH) at 9am.        86* at Noon.       Disappointing TS ^^^ around 3pm.....was  88*  but down to 79* at 3:30pm.

Got up to 90* at 5:15pm.

^^^Looked like this:

[bluewave]

The continuing marine heatwave in the NW Atlantic has helped Nantucket reach the warmest July on record so far. This part of the Atlantic is one of the fastest warming in the world. So it’s no surprise how many 70°+ Julys Nantucket has had in recent years. 
 

Time Series Summary for NANTUCKET MEMORIAL AP, MA - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	2022	72.8	7
2	2013	72.3	0
3	2010	72.2	0
4	1975	72.0	0
5	2021	71.6	1
-	1952	71.6	0
6	2012	71.2	0
-	1999	71.2	1
7	1949	71.0	0
8	1979	70.6	0
-	1971	70.6	0
9	2020	70.5	0
-	2019	70.5	0
-	2008	70.5	0
10	2015	70.2	0
11	2016	70.0	0
-	1980	70.0	0

[dmillz25]

83/71 here already sheesh

[donsutherland1]

Morning thoughts…

It will be variably cloudy and hot. Thunderstorms are likely as a cold front moves across the region. Some of the thunderstorms could be severe. High temperatures will reach the lower and middle 90s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 90°

Newark: 96°

Philadelphia: 93°

Tomorrow and Wednesday will be cooler.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 85.1°; 15-Year: 86.2°

Newark: 30-Year: 86.9°; 15-Year: 88.3°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 87.8°; 15-Year: 88.8°

[SACRUS]

Only a brief period of sun before clouds and storms.  Already clouds pushing into EPA and close to NJ.  We'll see if the 90s streak breaks for all or if any mid day clearing can push temps to continue the heat wave.   More storms overnight and into Tuesday, again ny period of clearing should push temps close to 90 Tue (7/26) and Wed (7/27) before more stronger heat builds back Thu (7/28).  Fri (7/29) more storms with front coming through before a dry/warm weekend as the Western Atlantic Ridge builds west.  Warm/humid and overall more rain chances through the end of the month and beyond.

[gravitylover]

I've had dense clouds since a little after 5:30 this morning and it's still 79/76. If you're thirsty just inhale deeply... 

[psv88]

Low of 77 here 

[bluewave]

Relative to the July rankings, several of our stations are at or near the top for July warmth. While Newark is in the lead, White Plains and Danbury are not far behind. A number of stations in the Mount Holly forecast zones are ranking very high also. We can see how many top ranking years there were since the summers became much warmer in 2010.
 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	2022	83.0	7
2	2011	82.7	0
3	1993	82.5	0
4	2010	82.3	0
5	1994	81.9	0

 

Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1999	78.5	1
2	2022	77.0	7
-	2013	77.0	0
-	2010	77.0	0
3	2020	76.9	0
4	2019	76.8	0
5	1966	76.7	0
-	1955	76.7	2

 

Time Series Summary for DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP, CT - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1999	76.4	8
2	2022	75.9	7
3	2013	75.7	0
4	2020	75.6	0
5	2010	74.7	0

 

Time Series Summary for PHILADELPHIA INTL AP, PA - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	2011	82.4	0
2	1994	82.1	0
3	2022	82.0	7
4	2020	81.9	0
5	2012	81.8	0

 

Time Series Summary for SOMERSET AIRPORT, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1999	78.5	1
2	2022	78.0	7
-	2020	78.0	0
3	2019	77.5	0
-	2011	77.5	0
4	2013	77.4	0
5	2012	76.9	0

 

Time Series Summary for New Brunswick Area, NJ (ThreadEx) - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	1999	79.7	0
-	1955	79.7	0
2	2022	79.1	7
-	2013	79.1	0
3	2020	79.0	0
-	2010	79.0	0
4	1901	78.7	0
5	2011	78.5	0

[wthrmn654]

Mostly sunny and 80°F with winds 15-25mph, gusting to 35 mph

72% humidity and Dewpoint is at 70.3°F

 

[LoboLeader1]

83 here, DP 74, RH 78%

[wthrmn654]

Hopefully this all pans out to give everyone some excitement today! 

The approach of a cold front to the west will bring the potential
for strong to severe scattered thunderstorms today. A warm and moist
boundary layer will support strong instability with 1500 - 3000 J/kg
of CAPE by the late morning and into the early afternoon. With 0-6
km shear of 30-40 kt, thunderstorms will have ample opportunity to
remain organized and become strong to severe. There remains ample
surface and upper level forcing with an upper level jet streak
allowing for divergence aloft, an approaching vorticity maximum in
the mid-levels, and a surface cold front allowing for lift
through the entire atmosphere. This will likely result in the
development of scattered thunderstorms as early as late morning.
Thunderstorms likely become more widespread and more intense
into the afternoon as instability is maximized. The primary
threat for thunderstorms is damaging wind gusts, though hail,
and a tornado can not be ruled out.

Additionally, PWAT values on the order of 2 - 2.3 inches will allow
for any thunderstorm that develops to produce heavy rainfall with
rates up to or exceeding 1" per hour. This may result in
localized flash flooding, especially in more urban and
vulnerable areas. Poor drainage flooding can be expected in any
thunderstorm. WPC has the area in a marginal risk for excessive
rainfall today.

[forkyfork]

i want to see storms over pa at 2 pm not 9 am

[BlizzLuv]

I hope the storms pan out for us too. We really need the rain. We were in a dry gap with last week's storms and probably has been a month or more since we received significant rainfall in Hillsborough.

I saw the MIllstone River near Griggstown was a peculiar shade of bright green on Saturday, and later saw an online article that there is toxic algae bloom. It actually is a bacteria and not algae. I presume the heat and lack of rain have help cultivate that and believe a strong rain will flush it out.

[SnowGoose69]

17 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

i want to see storms over pa at 2 pm not 9 am

 

Yeah too much junk on the PFT if you ask me.   Last few HRRR runs try to pop stuff 21-23z with the actual front but not much.  I almost think the PFT may be the best shot now...even with the clouds in place it gets here late enough there may be enough heating for it to become more convective

[Cfa]

I tend to temper my expectations when we’re under a Slight Risk.

82/77 here. Another 90+ would be nice.

[SACRUS]

 

[Allsnow]

13 minutes ago, Cfa said:

I tend to temper my expectations when we’re under a Slight Risk.

Every slight risk has been a disappointment this summer. Just hopeful for more then .05 today….set the bar low 

[SACRUS]

[Stormlover74]

Newark NJ thermometer just hit 100° five days in a row – but it’s wrong

https://nj1015.com/newark-nj-thermometer-just-hit-100-five-days-in-a-row-but-its-wrong/

[Gravity Wave]

7 minutes ago, Cfa said:

I tend to temper my expectations when we’re under a Slight Risk.

82/77 here. Another 90+ would be nice.

Our best severe outbreaks usually happen under slight risks. I admit this isn't the most favorable setup given the PFT timing.

[SACRUS]

Still a good 4 - 5 hours before this batch of storms/clouds pushes through and that is assuming no new storms pop.  Bottom line its going to be close for more 90s today.  But 850 temps are still >20c and any sun could do it.

 

http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

[Allsnow]

11 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Newark NJ thermometer just hit 100° five days in a row – but it’s wrong

https://nj1015.com/newark-nj-thermometer-just-hit-100-five-days-in-a-row-but-its-wrong/

Wow!!! 
So this confirms the working theory that since approximately March 2021, in more months than not, Newark temperatures have been running 2 to 3 degrees warmer than reality.

Read More: Newark NJ thermometer hit 100° five days in a row, but it's wrong | https://nj1015.com/newark-nj-thermometer-just-hit-100-five-days-in-a-row-but-its-wrong/?utm_source=tsmclip&utm_medium=referral

[Allsnow]

So why would Newark's weather station trend noticeably warmer over the last 15 months? There are two possibilities. One, changes to the local landscape that warmer the microclimate around the Newark Airport station. Or two, which is more likely, the thermistor equipment has drifted a couple degrees warmer and needs to be calibrated or replaced.

Bottom line: Unfortunately, the temperature bias puts a big asterisk on our recent climate record in Newark. More specifically, our recent stretch of five consecutive 100-degree days is suspicious. While we're only talking about approximately a 2 to 3 degree drift, that would make all the difference in whether we hit 100 or not five days in a row.

Read More: Newark NJ thermometer hit 100° five days in a row, but it's wrong | https://nj1015.com/newark-nj-thermometer-just-hit-100-five-days-in-a-row-but-its-wrong/?utm_source=tsmclip&utm_medium=referral

[forkyfork]

22 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Newark NJ thermometer just hit 100° five days in a row – but it’s wrong

https://nj1015.com/newark-nj-thermometer-just-hit-100-five-days-in-a-row-but-its-wrong/

1.) Intuition from a Real Live Meteorologist 

I selected six stations in the region to compare to Newark's monthly mean maximum (high temperature. That included four ASOS stations at Trenton-Mercer Airport, Atlantic City International Airport, Central Park in New York City, and Philadelphia International Airport. 

tossed

 

[gravitylover]

The sun popped through for about 4 minutes and the temp jumped 5°. Now the wind is up as the clouds fill back in. 

[uncle W]

NYC has 3.45" of rainfall this month...Newark 0.39"...big reason for the Newark area being so hot...

[CIK62]

BURN YOUR FERN TIME DURING WEEK 1 OF AUGUST?