StormchaserChuck! Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 30 minutes ago, forkyfork said: i'm loving monday's setup. good upper support with high dews and a warm front nearby +WPO's/+EPO's tend to be drier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 46 minutes ago, forkyfork said: i'm loving monday's setup. good upper support with high dews and a warm front nearby Warm fronts are great for the coast. Hopefully this breaks the drought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 78°F today So far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 That cell found it’s way down to me. Poured for 15 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 What's that line forming in eastern PA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Warm fronts are great for the coast. Hopefully this breaks the drought The record 2014 Islip deluge was a summer warm front. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 Almost .5" of rain in Central Park. pouring in Manhattan and bronx. Storms Missing me here in Lower Westchester just cloudy and humid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 Up to .87" in the park now temp down to 67* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 3PM roundup / rain New Brnswck: 91 / PHL: 88 TTN: 87 BLM: 84 ACY: 84 JFK: 84 LGA: 81 (0.1) EWR: 79 (0.09) ISP: 73 TEB: 72 (0.54) NYC: 72 (0.08) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 3PM roundup / rain New Brnswck: 91 / PHL: 88 TTN: 87 BLM: 84 ACY: 84 JFK: 84 LGA: 81 (0.1) EWR: 79 (0.09) ISP: 73 TEB: 72 (0.54) NYC: 72 (0.08) .88" in 20 minutes in the park temp down to 66* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 down to 72 in the park feels kinda cool.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 New York City (Central Park) has picked up 1.02" of rain so far this hour. The last time that happened was September 1, 2021 during the Ida-related floods. July accounts for 30% of New York City's 1" or above hourly rainfalls. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shades Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 North central Queens where a severe thunderstorm warning initiated. No rain gauge, but as a previous owner of a Davis, the rain rate would have filled the catching cup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 Not a drop here. It's so dry you can hear the crunching when you walk on the brown grass. Hopefully monday will work out. It looks good right now, but who knows with the luck we've been having. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shades Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 This was a classic setup for sea breeze and outflow boundaries from morning convective cells. The storms yesterday evening in central eastern LI were a precursor. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 https://hudsonvalley.news12.com/nws-confirms-ef-1-tornado-touched-down-in-ulster-county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 16, 2022 Author Share Posted July 16, 2022 Radar estimates of 2.00 inch rainfall amounts where the best training set up today. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 0.65 inches and still monsooning! In 20 mintues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 that rain out west better stay away, going to a concert at metlife. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: that rain out west better stay away, going to a concert at metlife. Would not be too concerned about the echoes out in central/eastern PA right now. You have to go back to the Susquehanna River to find amounts of more than 0.10” (generally speaking). Most places to the nearby south and west of Allentown are not measuring. There are a few spots near Lancaster and Harrisburg that are approaching 1” as of now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 My weatherflow in Smithtown recorded .78” of rain with that cell that came across north shore. My station is near PSV88 so curious if he’s similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 3 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Not a drop on the south shore. You know the deal having grown up in Long Beach. We call these secret days at Jones beach. It’s been sunny all day I'm at Long Beach today and it was nice avoid storms all day, first driving through heavy rain in northern Queens to seeing a storm pass just north then the east of here. Also the water is quite warm now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 A small but intense thunderstorm dumped 1.10" of rain on New York City this afternoon with 1.02" falling within an hour. That was this year's first hourly rainfall of 1.00" or more. During 1889-1999, New York City saw one such rainfall about once every 26.1 months. Since 2000, New York City has experienced such a rainfall once every 8.9 months. July accounts for 30% of such cases. August is second with 22% of such cases. Tomorrow will be a similar day. It will be variably cloudy and warm. Showers and thundershowers are possible. Another spell of heat is likely starting early next week. The potential exists for the longest heatwave so far this summer. Across the Atlantic, the extreme heat that has continued to topple daily, monthly and some all-time records in parts of Andorra, France, Spain, and Italy will spread into the United Kingdom. The national UK record could be challenged or broken on Monday and/or Tuesday. The possibility exists that the UK could see its first 40°C (104°F) temperature on record. During June 16-20, the MJO has been in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.500 or above. Of the six cases that saw such an outcome during June 15-25 (1988, 2003, 2010, 2012, 2017 and 2020), four had a warmer than normal July, one was somewhat cooler than normal and one was cooler than normal. The latest guidance all indicates that July will wind up among the warmer than normal cases. The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. Based on how the pattern has been evolving during the spring transition to summer, it is more likely than not that the warmest anomalies of the summer will likely occur in July and August with June being the coolest of the three months in the Northeast. The latest ECMWF monthly forecast indicates that July will be warmer than June relative to normal and that August will be the warmest summer month relative to normal. In addition, in the 6 past cases when the June AO averaged +0.750 or above (1950-2021), 50% of the following July cases were warmer than normal. 67% of the following August and September cases featured above normal temperatures. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around July 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.65°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the summer. The SOI was +3.32. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.226 today. On July 14 the MJO was in Phase 4 at an amplitude of 1.054 (RMM). The July 13-adjusted amplitude was 0.778 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 79% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.3° (1.8° above normal). 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 thursday has the hottest 850s but with sw flow so the 100+ potential will be from about queens west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted July 16, 2022 Share Posted July 16, 2022 2 hours ago, bluewave said: Radar estimates of 2.00 inch rainfall amounts where the best training set up today. 1.49” in N Syosset. Had 1.10” earlier this afternoon within 15-20 minutes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 17, 2022 Share Posted July 17, 2022 7/16 New Brnswck: 91 TTN: 89 PHL: 89 ACY: 85 BLM: 85 NYC: 85 JFK: 84 TEB: 84 LGA: 84 EWR: 83 ISP: 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 17, 2022 Share Posted July 17, 2022 .44 inch of much needed rain here this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted July 17, 2022 Share Posted July 17, 2022 Nice to have some rain today.... finally, but holy hell. Waiting 20 minutes for the subway in 90 degree dewpoints was something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted July 17, 2022 Share Posted July 17, 2022 maybe a little late night MCS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 17, 2022 Share Posted July 17, 2022 High for the day yesterday was 88, picked up 0.25" of rain for the day. Picked up 0.09" of rain so far today. Current temp 70/DP 67/RH 94% We should see additional showers & thunderstorms this afternoon w/locally heavy rainfall possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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