Powerball Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 After a couple inches of rain at Midway, will be interesting to see if they still outperform ORD with temps in coming days. I'm not gonna bet against it. That place is magical.And we already have an answer…Currently MDW is ahead of ORD by 4°, and ahead of all other metro sites by 3-7°. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 18, 2022 Author Share Posted July 18, 2022 18 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: And we already have an answer… Currently MDW is ahead of ORD by 4°, and ahead of all other metro sites by 3-7°. Need to deposit a glacier there to make it more competitive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 A little summer has arrived in town, again. Right now it's in the mid 80's with a 70 dew. Last nights rain that moved through helping that out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 18, 2022 Author Share Posted July 18, 2022 Well, I recalibrated my circuitry so to speak in an effort to address the warm bias that I was having at ORD and MDW. Let's test it out for Tuesday. I'll go 90 at ORD and 92 at MDW. Will this turn out well or will I even be too cool somewhere?! Stay tuned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: Well, I recalibrated my circuitry so to speak in an effort to address the warm bias that I was having at ORD and MDW. Let's test it out for Tuesday. I'll go 90 at ORD and 92 at MDW. Will this turn out well or will I even be too cool somewhere?! Stay tuned. I'm guessing you'll adjust a bit given what both locations are topping out at today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 89 with a dew of 75. Even with mid level stratus moving through, it pretty warm out today. Scattered storms coming later. Peaked at 90 with 77 dew not long ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 18, 2022 Author Share Posted July 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: I'm guessing you'll adjust given what both locations are topping out at today. I may have to. I don't see a clear reason why tomorrow won't be a few degrees warmer than today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 18, 2022 Author Share Posted July 18, 2022 Redo for tomorrow. 91 ORD, 93 MDW Was tempted to go another degree higher, but I've been burned by going too warm in the past, so yeah... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 MDW the only location of note to get over 90 today, with a high of 91. 90°+ day tally for the year... 18 - MDW16 - RFD14 - Ex-Home12 - Current Home10 - ORD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted July 19, 2022 Share Posted July 19, 2022 High temps and high dews are perfect. Love waking up to mid 70s and steamy. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 19, 2022 Author Share Posted July 19, 2022 12z GFS has 850/925 mb temps around 24C/30C in Chicago metro on Saturday. Multiple "IFs", but if that happens and there isn't a big soaking on Friday, then triple digits would be possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 19, 2022 Author Share Posted July 19, 2022 On 7/18/2022 at 2:44 PM, Hoosier said: Well, I recalibrated my circuitry so to speak in an effort to address the warm bias that I was having at ORD and MDW. Let's test it out for Tuesday. I'll go 90 at ORD and 92 at MDW. Will this turn out well or will I even be too cool somewhere?! Stay tuned. This first call might have been nails before I was influenced by Chi Storm to change it. High of 90 at ORD, which should hold. 91 at MDW so we'll see if that's the final number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 3 hours ago, Hoosier said: This first call might have been nails before I was influenced by Chi Storm to change it. High of 90 at ORD, which should hold. 91 at MDW so we'll see if that's the final number. Those ended up being the final numbers for today. Yesterday it was only MDW/PWK/UGN (lol) to hit 90+, and today it was only MDW/ORD/PWK/UGN (lol) to do it. 90°+ day tally for the year... 19 - MDW16 - RFD14 - Ex-Home12 - Current Home11 - ORD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 it hit 90? didn't feel like it. That early season high heat raised the bar. Actually, felt pleasant out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 20, 2022 Author Share Posted July 20, 2022 4 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: Those ended up being the final numbers for today. Yesterday it was only MDW/PWK/UGN (lol) to hit 90+, and today it was only MDW/ORD/PWK/UGN (lol) to do it. 90°+ day tally for the year... 19 - MDW16 - RFD14 - Ex-Home12 - Current Home11 - ORD Wonder when the last time was that MDW only beat ORD by 1 degree on a day with S/SW flow (no lake influence). I'm pretty surprised that MDW didn't top Monday's high. Not sure if there were more clouds or what. The flow on Tuesday was passing over the localized area that really got dumped on south of MDW a couple days ago. Wonder if that could've played a role. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 20, 2022 Author Share Posted July 20, 2022 3 hours ago, Baum said: it hit 90? didn't feel like it. That early season high heat raised the bar. Actually, felt pleasant out there. Buckle up on Saturday. Maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 20, 2022 Author Share Posted July 20, 2022 So file this one under "looking for anything kind of interesting when it's boring." We have the cold frontal passage today and 850 mb flow turns out of the northwest, but that actually advects in some warmer air tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 When I was looking into the Labor Day forecast for the Holiday thread, I took a closer look at the patterns for the next couple months. What a see-saw I'm seeing for our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 22 hours ago, Hoosier said: This first call might have been nails before I was influenced by Chi Storm to change it. High of 90 at ORD, which should hold. 91 at MDW so we'll see if that's the final number. 14 hours ago, Hoosier said: Wonder when the last time was that MDW only beat ORD by 1 degree on a day with S/SW flow (no lake influence). I'm pretty surprised that MDW didn't top Monday's high. Not sure if there were more clouds or what. The flow on Tuesday was passing over the localized area that really got dumped on south of MDW a couple days ago. Wonder if that could've played a role. Re: Temps yesterday under-performing... Looks like it was due to a combination of DP's being a few degrees higher, and a change in mixing depths. DVN soundings show mixing was deeper there on Monday compared to yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted July 21, 2022 Share Posted July 21, 2022 What happend to the concept of a brief afternoon thundershower on a steamy, hot, summer day emanating from a towering cumulo-nimbus with steam rising from the streets in it's wake? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 21, 2022 Share Posted July 21, 2022 20 minutes ago, Baum said: What happend to the concept of a brief afternoon thundershower on a steamy, hot, summer day emanating from a towering cumulo-nimbus with steam rising from the streets in it's wake? i want 2 to go back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 21, 2022 Share Posted July 21, 2022 waiting on the next super nino to shake things up 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 21, 2022 Author Share Posted July 21, 2022 A splotchy affair Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 21, 2022 Share Posted July 21, 2022 6 hours ago, Baum said: What happend to the concept of a brief afternoon thundershower on a steamy, hot, summer day emanating from a towering cumulo-nimbus with steam rising from the streets in it's wake? Have to visit Florida for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted July 21, 2022 Share Posted July 21, 2022 11 minutes ago, Powerball said: Have to visit Florida for that. Yep. Spent many a summer there. Still, used to get those in these parts as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 21, 2022 Author Share Posted July 21, 2022 Some notable bust potential with temps around here on Saturday. Seems like there is an increasing signal in guidance for convection in the LOT cwa on Fri night into Sat. Questions revolve around the path, duration and how much overturning it will cause. In a most extreme case with robust convection lingering into a good part of Saturday, temps would struggle to recover out of the 80s. On the other hand, if convection doesn't materialize for some reason or misses north, then the thermal profiles that would be in place on Sat would result in highs deep into the 90s. Probably have to go with a middle ground solution as of now with some morning convection but enough of a recovery for highs of 90+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 21, 2022 Share Posted July 21, 2022 hoping to pop a shower here later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 21, 2022 Author Share Posted July 21, 2022 On 7/20/2022 at 2:38 PM, Chicago Storm said: Re: Temps yesterday under-performing... Looks like it was due to a combination of DP's being a few degrees higher, and a change in mixing depths. DVN soundings show mixing was deeper there on Monday compared to yesterday. The Midway that we know and love is back, with a 3 degree lead over ORD currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted July 21, 2022 Share Posted July 21, 2022 3 hours ago, Hoosier said: Some notable bust potential with temps around here on Saturday. Seems like there is an increasing signal in guidance for convection in the LOT cwa on Fri night into Sat. Questions revolve around the path, duration and how much overturning it will cause. In a most extreme case with robust convection lingering into a good part of Saturday, temps would struggle to recover out of the 80s. On the other hand, if convection doesn't materialize for some reason or misses north, then the thermal profiles that would be in place on Sat would result in highs deep into the 90s. Probably have to go with a middle ground solution as of now with some morning convection but enough of a recovery for highs of 90+ might be a good thing. Had my driveway newly repaved. Worried with too much heat it'll catch fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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