Cary67 Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 51 minutes ago, Baum said: should I water the flowers? Was hoping for a good soaking, but the board optimism seems to waning a bit. Watered the lawn last night anticipating convection weakening as it arrives here today. Wondering if we miss tonight NE as LLJ points more to southern lower MI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 9 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Watered the lawn last night anticipating convection weakening as it arrives here today. Wondering if we miss tonight NE as LLJ points more to southern lower MI yeah, sort of my thoughts as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 Nice soaker here and in the QC. Picked up 1.02" here, with over 2" for parts of the QC. Had some nice soaking downpours with lots of thunder. AC getting a nice break today as temps are near 70. Gonna be working overtime tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 Cool, wet Fourth. Been a while since we have had a July 4 so soggy and cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 4, 2022 Author Share Posted July 4, 2022 Obviously take with about 100 grains of salt especially near the areas of convection as there's huge bust potential, but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 I wonder where tonights convective train sets up. I want that rain bullseye so bad the anxiety feels similar to anticipating a good snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 Storm went full monsoon overhead. 1.15” in 20 minutes 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 There's a soupy 84 degree dew point at Denison Iowa right now. I think it's tied for the highest (USA) dew point I've seen on a weather map, ever. Le Mars Iowa says dew point of 91 but I honestly believe this is an error. In fact, Le Mars 99/91 would result in a heat index of 149.9 if it were true. Le Mars has had a really screwed up weather sensor with temp of 138, dew of 138, H.I. of 613. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 4, 2022 Author Share Posted July 4, 2022 NAM is really bullish on heat around Chicago tomorrow. Obviously it's a very low confidence scenario though as would need to avoid convection/outflow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 NAM is really bullish on heat around Chicago tomorrow. Obviously it's a very low confidence scenario though as would need to avoid convection/outflow.Given it hasn’t handled activity today correctly, and odds are won’t tonight either, probably easily undercut whatever it shows around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 4, 2022 Author Share Posted July 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Given it hasn’t handled activity today correctly, and odds are won’t tonight either, probably easily undercut whatever it shows around here. Euro is pretty hot too. How has it been handling today? Personally, I'm going with 82-102 across the area for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 Dew up to 79 at MLI with 100 degree heat index. Big change from the early afternoon rain and low 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 Euro is pretty hot too. How has it been handling today? Personally, I'm going with 82-102 across the area for tomorrow.It handled during the day better than the NAM, but still not the best. It has nothing tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 Missed out on the rains Friday afternoon/evening, 0.5” in roughly one month at the homestead. It is bone dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 Gonna top out in low 80s tomorrow Blessed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 5, 2022 Author Share Posted July 5, 2022 2 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: It handled during the day better than the NAM, but still not the best. It has nothing tonight. 18z Euro did shift cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 Been pretty impressed with the high-res Canadian model this year so far (HRDPS). From what I've seen it's handled convection better than the HRRR and NEST NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 Lost power under severe tstorm warning. Looks to be training over us for the next few hrs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 As expected tonight's activity missed well northeast. SPC did a poor job yet again for the DVN area. I guess it's just habit and tradition to look at their page everyday, but it's almost as useless as the Farmer's Almanac these days. MLI still with a 92 degree heat index at midnight. If it weren't for the heavy rains today we may have had a shot at 100 tomorrow, but the wet soils may coc k block that potential. Another 97-98 on the way, meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 .82" but not even close to a drought buster. Best rainfall whiffed just barely southwest as is typical here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 Hrrr initiates this afternoon over same areas that got it last night which fits 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 morning update: "Lightning flashed ; thunder roared ; the wind howled ; rain fell in torrents" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 2.3" rainfall last night. At one point we had a water main break on our street with no running water and power was out last night. Village workers were there in some nasty weather finishing the repair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 Quote Of potentially greater concern is the flash flood threat with this activity. Lake augmented/enhanced front will likely become NW/SE oriented from extreme northwest Indiana to north central Illinois. The orientation of the boundary over northern Illinois should become parallel with mean winds and expected storm motion which raises concerns about a period of training convection before cold pool development shoves the effective front farther south. Given the PWATs over 2 inches and threat for at least temporarily training convection, wouldn`t be hard to envision isolated rainfall totals of 3-5" in less than 2 hours. The threat area looks to be over areas that saw heavy rain Monday evening and over the urban corridor that is more susceptible to flash flooding. Still mulling it over, but may issue a small flash flood watch to address this threat. hot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 Low of 83 this morning in STL, which will probably hold through the rest of the day (1 am CDT). This ties the daily record from 2012. I looked at STL's F-6 from July 2012...can't believe how hot that month was there. 15 days of 100+, including a max/min of 108/86 on July 25th. Average high/low for the month was 98.6/77.5, about 8 degrees above normal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 worst climo^ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 5, 2022 Author Share Posted July 5, 2022 Already 91 at MDW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 5 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Hrrr initiates this afternoon over same areas that got it last night which fits A very clear front lies from northeast Iowa to Chicago. Models are pretty unanimously lighting up the front out ahead of the SD MCS this evening. There should be some good rain totals in that corridor. It looks like the back half of an MCS may sweep through my area more quickly, with much less rain in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 Heat wave cancel. Heat Advisory that was supposed to be in effect in the next hour has already been dropped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 classic mid summer stuff 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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