SouthCoastMA Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 12 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Bet the under I fully expect some sort of cave by the euro..but that might mean you get little and I get like .2 or something. wheee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 29, 2022 Author Share Posted July 29, 2022 Hopefully the rain misses everyone later on, wouldn't want to ruin a Friday night or a driest July ever. 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 Sometimes convection tends to rob the moisture so I’ll sell the euro to some extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 50 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: I fully expect some sort of cave by the euro..but that might mean you get little and I get like .2 or something. wheee 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sometimes convection tends to rob the moisture so I’ll sell the euro to some extent. I’m sure the euro will cave. I’m sure it’ll nail the pattern off the coast of Sri Lanka though. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 .21” at Phoenix month to date. I think that’s close to many around here lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 .88 at mi casa last night. More than an inch at CEF. A needed drink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 50 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: .21” at Phoenix month to date. I think that’s close to many around here lol. Las Vegas got absolutely crushed last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 I had .22" in a brief downpour last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QCD17 Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 0.00" yesterday and 1.49" for the month. Getting nervous. Not going to plan on rain tonight, that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 awt Euro cave. nice little preview of the winter .1-.25 seems like a good guess 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 We pray 3k nammy finds a nut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 Okay now this drought thing is getting worrisome.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 hope we get some water... these last three convection windows have left much to be desired, regionally. And tomorrow, looking over guidance', it appears we'll still make the mid 80s but with a return of that desiccating air mass type. DPs of 50 with d-slope additional katabatic drying, waving through fields and trees in operation water sucking life right out of the background environment... dry begets dry. I've always hated that statement, ... quite likely because it appears to be so true and it's my own petty hang-up. empirically, though, the data is what it is. Maybe just perception, I dunno. A dry period is dry so long as it stays dry or event roll out that way off the dice. And just like the crappes table, you can have successive lucky roles. Or maybe there are real physics at play. Maybe it's both - probably. Call it whatever we will, trend also is a valid prognostic philosophy. So we should go ahead and assume the drier side until such time as the erstwhile mode has quite obviously changed. When? Oh ...probably when the first synoptic nor'easter in Sept or more likely nearing Halloween - which may snow again by the way ... We'll be back to no drought condition by thanks giggedy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 purely supposition ... I would not presume this to be an EC expression year for tropical demographics - heh... even more boring than the climate signal. The battle will rage on deeper ... probably until mid Met autumn ( Oct ides-), between the subtropical/HC expansion while the La Nina failing circulation mode above mid latitudes keeps trying to pancake the flow with a shallow trough from ORD to NF. This latter stretching of the field will ensure a active recurving mode to anything nearing the Bahamas - That's more just a feeling. So, big heat. shut down. Re-hydration. shut down. TC season. Albeit rare for us anyway, shut down. It just seems there is another trend, buried in all this snark, that seems very real though. There's a tendency to keep neutering all event profiles down to the least plausible uninspired and not interesting result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: 2.75" across the Androscoggin in Auburn. Meanwhile, 40 miles NNE, New Sharon had 2 of the 4 (out of 100 total) cocorahs observations with no measurable precip. (Other 2 were 80-90 miles east in Hancock County.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 27 minutes ago, kdxken said: Okay now this drought thing is getting worrisome.. Yup. Once the courses brown out, we worry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 No idea this was even happening... https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/29/weather/kentucky-appalachia-flooding-friday/index.html And that St Louis flooding last week? It's really been a stalled boundary in that vicinity. I remember reading this in my adolescence. "The American Weather Book?/Almanac?/Atlas?" - can't recall which ending in the title. It was thick-ass 3 incher, packed with essays and photos and weather charts that described every phenomenon there is in weather and climate, associating maps... gray cover. Awesome. Hours of focus like a late Millennial walking off curbs over an iPhone enthralling... but 1979's version of the distraction: actual books. Yeah, gaslight intended... But there was a discussion in there about how the greatest floods come from either tropical disturbances, or... stalled frontal boundaries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 19 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yup. Once the courses brown out, we worry. Save the precip for December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 37 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: purely supposition ... I would not presume this to be an EC expression year for tropical demographics - heh... even more boring than the climate signal. The battle will rage on deeper ... probably until mid Met autumn ( Oct ides-), between the subtropical/HC expansion while the La Nina failing circulation mode above mid latitudes keeps trying to pancake the flow with a shallow trough from ORD to NF. This latter stretching of the field will ensure a active recurving mode to anything nearing the Bahamas - That's more just a feeling. So, big heat. shut down. Re-hydration. shut down. TC season. Albeit rare for us anyway, shut down. It just seems there is another trend, buried in all this snark, that seems very real though. There's a tendency to keep neutering all event profiles down to the least plausible uninspired and not interesting result. I know Cosgrove is favoring some east coast activity later this season...we'll see. That is always a long shot, but following his musings for a few years and he has been about as skilled as they come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: No idea this was even happening... https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/29/weather/kentucky-appalachia-flooding-friday/index.html And that St Louis flooding last week? It's really been a stalled boundary in that vicinity. I remember reading this in my adolescence. "The American Weather Book?/Almanac?/Atlas?" - can't recall which ending in the title. It was thick-ass 3 incher, packed with essays and photos and weather charts that described every phenomenon there is in weather and climate, associating maps... gray cover. Awesome. Hours of focus like a late Millennial walking off curbs over an iPhone enthralling... but 1979's version of the distraction: actual books. Yeah, gaslight intended... But there was a discussion in there about how the greatest floods come from either tropical disturbances, or... stalled frontal boundaries. It was quite the boundary for sure with an extensive temperature/moisture gradient. Despite how significant the flooding was in the St. Louis area and the devastating flooding that resulted in Kentucky I had thought we would see even more flooding occur this week. That boundary really did not move much either over the course of the week. I think what helped prevent a more widespread significant episode was the precipitation ended up coming in more batches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said: awt Euro cave. nice little preview of the winter .1-.25 seems like a good guess But but but but it nailed the 500!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 75/55 humidity gone. Breezy. Refreshing after yesterdays swamp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 hope we get some water... these last three convection windows have left much to be desired, regionally. And tomorrow, looking over guidance', it appears we'll still make the mid 80s but with a return of that desiccating air mass type. DPs of 50 with d-slope additional katabatic drying, waving through fields and trees in operation water sucking life right out of the background environment... dry begets dry. I've always hated that statement, ... quite likely because it appears to be so true and it's my own petty hang-up. empirically, though, the data is what it is. Maybe just perception, I dunno. A dry period is dry so long as it stays dry or event roll out that way off the dice. And just like the crappes table, you can have successive lucky roles. Or maybe there are real physics at play. Maybe it's both - probably. Call it whatever we will, trend also is a valid prognostic philosophy. So we should go ahead and assume the drier side until such time as the erstwhile mode has quite obviously changed. When? Oh ...probably when the first synoptic nor'easter in Sept or more likely nearing Halloween - which may snow again by the way ... We'll be back to no drought condition by thanks giggedy. Gee I hope we get a High Sierra scenario, where the first precip event of fall is snow. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 hot out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 31 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: hot out 86/62 regular old summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 Now the GFS is back east with the thermal ridging... not sure I buy it with all this instability and squabbling against it's own ensemble mean. I still lean warmer than normal - no comment as to the extend of what that will mean for civility. Although..I do sense that we may have two days of 90s, then a half-assed relaxation for two days, then a longer heat wave ... all fitting inside the next 10 days to two weeks. ...something sorta like that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 5 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Las Vegas got absolutely crushed last night. I stayed up for an hour last night watching Vegas web cams of lightning.. It was incredible 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Save the precip for December. TBlzz will get his drought busting rains in winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 93F @ TAN 88.4F @ mi casa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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