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July 2022 Disco/obs/etc


Torch Tiger
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44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I love folks posting GFS means to verify their arguments :lol:

Ha, at least some folks try looking at data throughout the day.  It's easier to just not look at the models all together for sure.

Deterministic long range or Ensembles?  What's your model of choice at longer lead times? 

Also, this isn't an argument trying to be proven... it's a daily commentary on the future weather.  If it torches we'll talk about that too.

The torch looks like it would be later in the month, past Day 8-10.

gem-ens_T850aMean_us_5.thumb.png.efb0e6ea7d05047a1af24f1b3fc53204.png

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45 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

ORH at 78/41 for 28% RH.

Untitled.jpg.d18ce24c88d1c5b5d587f827d09a9fee.jpg

That’s some Yore for July 9th with widespread RH below 30% in mid-summer.

Up here the max at MVL is 70F so far under full sunshine, late September climo.

I used to think those yore obs had bad instrumentation, but I guess it is possible to pull 80s over 30s in July. Lots of mid 40s on MOS at the rad pits tonight. Mid 30s for Alex maybe?

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1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

That is terrible. Horrifically depressing. We may as well just skip to December 

Personally I am suspicious that CC's may be forcing circulation modal changes ...

Those that want to say summers used to be this way routinely decades ago, don't really abase that idea - those summers got here through a different means that did not require 595 non-hydrostatic bulge and us being so calved while still having heights nearing 582 ...  ( hint, we've been routinely 90/70 at that height in those distancing summers)

It's a silent example -

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25 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Car said 51F getting home at 10pm.  We mount up.

SLK and HIE already in the 40s… Alex should see 30s.

High of 71.4° off a low of 47.3° and currently 51.3°. This was just about as perfect a day as I could draw up. 

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3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Was outdoor at fun BBQ Today /tonite . Met some people who were all just having fun and got along , played some yard games. I need to do this more. Was a blast .

Wait, they were outside in the brutal cold? How did they survive?

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