HoarfrostHubb Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 Zzzzzzz. Some typical summer incoming. We take. We pool 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 Yawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 38 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Let's hope! Shear actually doesn't look terrible. If we destabilize as the NAM shows there should be some decent storms about. NAM showing some pretty steep low-level lapse rates which would help with wind potential. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Let's hope! Shear actually doesn't look terrible. If we destabilize as the NAM shows there should be some decent storms about. NAM showing some pretty steep low-level lapse rates which would help with wind potential. Feeling any better today about this “threat” as opposed to yesterday, Wiz? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 13 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Feeling any better today about this “threat” as opposed to yesterday, Wiz? I guess there is two ways to look at it...convective potential vs. severe potential. In terms of convective potential, it looks pretty solid to get an organized line to develop (or at least a broken line). I'm excited for this aspect. In terms of severe potential I don't think it's anything to write home about. There will probably be scattered wind damage with the line but nothing widespread. Despite the fact that mid-level lapse rates are poor and the strongest shortwave forcing is along/north of the International border, if low-level winds were like 10-15 knots stronger, given how steep the low-level lapse rates may become we may of had room for a bit more in the way of wind damage potential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 15 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I guess there is two ways to look at it...convective potential vs. severe potential. In terms of convective potential, it looks pretty solid to get an organized line to develop (or at least a broken line). I'm excited for this aspect. In terms of severe potential I don't think it's anything to write home about. There will probably be scattered wind damage with the line but nothing widespread. Despite the fact that mid-level lapse rates are poor and the strongest shortwave forcing is along/north of the International border, if low-level winds were like 10-15 knots stronger, given how steep the low-level lapse rates may become we may of had room for a bit more in the way of wind damage potential. I’d honestly settle for a gusty tstorm at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 8 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: I’d honestly settle for a gusty tstorm at this point I just really want lots of lightning/thunder and a nice looking shelf cloud. Anything else is always a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 Just now, weatherwiz said: I just really want lots of lightning/thunder and a nice looking shelf cloud. Anything else is always a bonus. Maybe you’ll see anvil cirrus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe you’ll see anvil cirrus. As long as I get to see the anvil too! I'll be in Hartford for the Yard Goats game Saturday evening. Stadium has an amazing view to the north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe you’ll see anvil cirrus. That's about the ceiling for this time of year...lay out on the naked and hope to view an ominous cloud that will look not so ominous as it makes it over the ORH hills on approach. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: As long as I get to see the anus too! I'll be in Hartford slammn' some Yard Goats Saturday evening. Should be an amazing view I must confess. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 2 hours ago, weatherwiz said: I just really want lots of lightning/thunder and a nice looking shelf cloud. Anything else is always a bonus. This is like a winter weenie in Pensacola hoping to just see a flake fall through the deck light. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 30, 2022 Author Share Posted June 30, 2022 crushing on Saturday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 49 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: crushing on Saturday Everyone gets an EF0? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 Stein watching out for us. Really starting to become dire straits 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 30, 2022 Author Share Posted June 30, 2022 yeah wow, remember when people said Stein was no big deal, not worth watching...now here we are 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: yeah wow, remember when people said Stein was no big deal, not worth watching...now here we are NE is burning 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 Edibles. Lots of them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: yeah wow, remember when people said Stein was no big deal, not worth watching...now here we are drier than average does not equal drought, no matter what that clown tweets out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 Got some water coming for someone Friday night through Saturday. Models are scatter plot with QPF but the take home message is there should be some water around. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 1, 2022 Author Share Posted July 1, 2022 bang this tomorrow, great song Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 Into that time of year when sustained heat arrives. Wish the one day heat of 80s would persist through the weekend to be honest. Highs in the low to mid 70s on the zone forecast Sunday through Thursday. In this age of AGW, you expect a torch 24/7 but it just hasn't been there and really no hemispheric signs that it materializes through the 7-10 day. Friday... Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Warmer with highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent. Saturday... Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent. Sunday... Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Sunday Night Through Monday Night... Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Tuesday... Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Wednesday... Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Wednesday Night And Thursday... Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 1, 2022 Author Share Posted July 1, 2022 Temperatures... An unremarkable temperature forecast for the extended forecast period, with no big intrusions of especially hot or cold air expected. 850 mb temps hover around 12-13C each day which will lead to surface highs in the 80s each day, perhaps a bit cooler behind Tuesday`s shortwave. oh only 80's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 80s in July. I am shocked. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: 80s in July. I am shocked. Everybody will need to stay very safe. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 Decent dews incoming for a day or so. Near 70 for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 28 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Decent dews incoming for a day or so. Near 70 for some. We just need to find a way thru it with minimal damage somehow. Deep prayers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 Just about to the time of year when 80s are climo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 27 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just about to the time of year when 80s are climo. Yea and I think the peak is July 20th too and the first half of the month still does not have a big heat signal. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea and I think the peak is July 20th too and the first half of the month still does not have a big heat signal. Someone on here opined a while back that the May heat blast might have been the biggest one for the season. I doubt that happens but it would be interesting if it did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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