CoastalWx Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 Heavy heavy summer as far as the eye can see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 Mid to upper 90s this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Mid to upper 90s this weekend? Sunday the hottest? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 15 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Sunday the hottest? Seems that way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 1 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 2 hours ago, jbenedet said: In spring to early summer maybe. But fall and winter seems among the fastest. Averaging it, over course of a year we are among the fastest. What’s really interesting is we are at the tail of a cold water current, from the Arctic, whereas the UK is at the tail of a warm water tropical current. The UK has been seeing significantly warmer summers (++AN) but cold winters (N to AN); we have been seeing significantly warmer fall and winters (++AN) with warm summers (N to AN). The causality (net increase) is quite similar, but the seasonality is flipped. There may be a cogent physical explanation for this… I'd like to see the data supporting that....I find it hard to believe that the northeast US is warming faster than most of the rest of the globe. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 42 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Heavy heavy summer as far as the eye can see. there shouldn't be any complaints about this Summer at all. Everyone has gotten mostly what they wanted. I prefer COC days, others like the swampy ass dew days. Other than how dry it's been, I think this is one of the best summers I can recall 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 Might be kind of bunny to test the '9 by 9' then the later, the '10 after 10' rule of thumbs for making 100. Low probability for making that number, even though the 850s would support 99.7 ha. Looks like regional lows dropped more proficiently. All the way down to 68 at BED was not expected.. For heat enthusiastic trophy foisting, that's not an elevated enough launching temp for contention - usually. They have since quickly returned to 84 from that temp by 8:35 ...which is solid early performance comeback. BOS was 77, which is better. They've bounced to 86 by 8:35 already...so they got a shot at the 9 by 9 there. It's also really our first insert into W ejected air ...and the night clearly did not have this air mass under the decoupling - so that may cause for greater diurnals/surging. Those rule of thumbs are not limitations... Anyway, machine numbers from MEX and MAV are 97'ie as race winners, so it's long odds for KBDL/KFIT/KASH/KBED wearing hunderwear 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 29 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Might be kind of bunny to test the '9 by 9' then the later, the '10 after 10' rule of thumbs for making 100. Low probability for making that number, even though the 850s would support 99.7 ha. Looks like regional lows dropped more proficiently. All the way down to 68 at BED was not expected.. For heat enthusiastic trophy foisting, that's not an elevated enough launching temp for contention - usually. They have since quickly returned to 84 from that temp by 8:35 ...which is solid early performance comeback. BOS was 77, which is better. They've bounced to 86 by 8:35 already...so they got a shot at the 9 by 9 there. It's also really our first insert into W ejected air ...and the night clearly did not have this air mass under the decoupling - so that may cause for greater diurnals/surging. Those rule of thumbs are not limitations... Anyway, machine numbers from MEX and MAV are 97'ie as race winners, so it's long odds for KBDL/KFIT/KASH/KBED wearing hunderwear Yea, I remember hearing on the news that it would remain in the 70's, and then being surprised that it was already down to 70 a bit after midnight...got down to 66.0 IMBY....granted I radiate pretty well, but the night definitely didn't retain the heat as well as forecast even on a regional scale. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd like to see the data supporting that....I find it hard to believe that the northeast US is warming faster than most of the rest of the globe. Ditto Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 Why is it so fooking hard to get an EML in here. This is crab grass damn ridiculous. Just watching them fizzle out like the Maple Leafs in May. ughhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 Just now, weatherwiz said: Why is it so fooking hard to get an EML in here. This is crab grass damn ridiculous. Just watching them fizzle out like the Maple Leafs in May. ughhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh You need to either move, or find a new weather niche. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 20, 2022 Author Share Posted July 20, 2022 Hope everyone enjoys the 95-100 on Sunday! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: You need to either move, or find a new weather niche. If I moved everything would just shift east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Hope everyone enjoys the 95-100 on Sunday! Should be great with my AC down and won't get fixed until next week. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Hope everyone enjoys the 95-100 on Sunday! 100 or bust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 10 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Hope everyone enjoys the 95-100 on Sunday! Enjoy this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd like to see the data supporting that....I find it hard to believe that the northeast US is warming faster than most of the rest of the globe. https://www.bostonglobe.com/2021/12/30/science/new-england-is-warming-faster-than-rest-planet-new-study-finds/#:~:text=The scientists attributed the warming,of water on the planet. https://news.climate.columbia.edu/2021/09/23/the-u-s-northeast-coast-is-a-global-warming-hot-spot-says-study/ https://www.providencejournal.com/story/news/2022/02/18/climate-change-status-each-new-england-state-noaa/6813339001/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Mid to upper 90s this weekend? Have only seen the operational Euro and GGEM solutions from 00z ... GGEM is as usual between 1 and 3C cooler at 850 mb ...all regions, comparing to the Euro by the time Sunday rolls around in that guidance comparison. Not sure if that actually atones for a 'cool bias' per se - or if the Euro is warm bias but it is what it is as of 00z. I haven't seen the GFS yet ...because of it's remarkable ability to construct solutions that are insidiously antithetic to my personal analysis... No but as far as the Euro, it has 23 C at 850 mb, by Sunday evening, along a Newark NJ to Portlandia Maine axis. For the general audience, the adiabat from that sigma level runs down to 38C @ 1000mb ... as the gross read. That does not take into consideration the slope temp at the very bottom, where the 2-meter low income class spouse beater temperature roasts tolerances. Taking into consideration those 'realities' ... that 38C(101.4) would likely max 104.. or even '06, if unadulterated sun and idealized wind trajectories manifest at at LGA and BOS ... (hint, think about the civility that exists between those points). Heat's fragile as a guided metric... One cirrus plume poorly timed and it's a 97 instead.. Or if the wind is very light, so much thermal restoring force causing the winds to back SSE for 10 minutes and its game over. The last time we saw 850s of that Euro modeled genera, along with the fact that it also has <50% 700, 500, and 300 mb RH ( meaning, pure sun) was in 2011, when 103 was registered at Logan. Another aspect I am noticing in the Euro and GGEM and the GFS as of late .. .they are all tending to elevated the WAR heights. In fact, this Euro run beyond D3 really tries to have the heights hemispheric nodal geopotential 'dome' over Bermuda. Meanwhile, the flow super structure is some kind of N based quasi +PNA of modest construction. You have a hot pattern below 45N being compressed by an eastern Canadian cool circulation mode. The GGEM can't resist and suppresses all heat - which is unlikely. The Euro may be too excessive. Perhaps the GFS will be a compromise.. Off to go analyze it and it's ens mean to ferret out it's myriad of interesting ways it tries to mock me without being noticed... You know your life is fulfilled with worthy- riveting substantive value when you're being trolled by a f'n forecast model - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 18 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Why is it so fooking hard to get an EML in here. This is crab grass damn ridiculous. Just watching them fizzle out like the Maple Leafs Bruins in May. ughhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh FYP 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 clouds hanging in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 83/74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 28 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I remember hearing on the news that it would remain in the 70's, and then being surprised that it was already down to 70 a bit after midnight...got down to 66.0 IMBY....granted I radiate pretty well, but the night definitely didn't retain the heat as well as forecast even on a regional scale. Radiated surprisingly well here. Today's launch point is almost 10° lower than yesterday's low of 66, though today starts drier so may heat faster. That 66 minimum is the first 60+ morning of the year. Only 2009, the summer of stratiform rains, had to wait longer, to 7/28, for a 60+. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 86/73 here at the 10 am mark....it feels quite warm out atm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 83/74 Ya’ 83/72 here. Swamp azz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 33 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Why is it so fooking hard to get an EML in here. This is crab grass damn ridiculous. Just watching them fizzle out like the Maple Leafs in May. ughhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh Dispersing in the atmosphere like a puff of the weed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 86/70 at HFD 88.7/73 at home (apartment, not the new house) I know the dew is high, but the air temp tends to track very well with HFD even when off to a faster start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Heavy heavy summer as far as the eye can see. Back's broken. We step down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 Wiz .... do you seriously need to ask the question, 'why so hard to get an EML in here,' or are you just hand throwing - We are the farthest from the source. That is why. That was always why. That will always BE why - for ever. Until such time as a plate displacement event ... reorders the surface of the Earth such that SNE ends up where Chicago is, we will always get the leftover stench after a 2000 mile journey span of ill-reputing air masses ... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 20, 2022 Share Posted July 20, 2022 32 minutes ago, kdxken said: Back's broken. We step down. Beer? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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