Weather Will Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 Will it be a rainy July 4th weekend? WB 12Z GFS and EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted June 25, 2022 Author Share Posted June 25, 2022 WB 0Z GEFS extended through July 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted June 27, 2022 Author Share Posted June 27, 2022 WB 18Z GFS. 4th dries out on the latest run after a wet Sat afternoon and Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 27, 2022 Share Posted June 27, 2022 Really looking like the year without a summer at this point. Guess we have some remnant blocking that should erode just in time for winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted June 28, 2022 Share Posted June 28, 2022 20 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: Really looking like the year without a summer at this point. Guess we have some remnant blocking that should erode just in time for winter. Is there an analog for winters following a year without a summer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 28, 2022 Share Posted June 28, 2022 1 hour ago, IronTy said: Is there an analog for winters following a year without a summer? 2009 largely had no summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 28, 2022 Share Posted June 28, 2022 6 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: 2009 largely had no summer. So you're calling for a 2009-2010 winter repeat. Got it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 28, 2022 Share Posted June 28, 2022 20 minutes ago, yoda said: So you're calling for a 2009-2010 winter repeat. Got it I mean I've seen some tasty CFS runs recently 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted June 28, 2022 Share Posted June 28, 2022 2 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: 2009 largely had no summer. Come again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 Sorry, but temps in the 80s = summer. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
understudyhero Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 You guys have a weird idea of what pleasant is if you think this has been pleasant. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 Compared to what it could be, yes I will definitely take it! If we have a year without a summer, we'll probably have a year without a winter. Aka mid 40s at night. With rain. Peepers by the creek (instead of sleigh bells)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 On 6/28/2022 at 9:32 PM, understudyhero said: You guys have a weird idea of what pleasant is if you think this has been pleasant. KOKV has had 14 days in June with highs in the 70’s. That’s pretty damn pleasant lol 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 On 6/28/2022 at 7:52 PM, IronTy said: Come again? (Anecdote alert) I used to use a tarp-like cover on my air conditioner unit in winter. In 2009, I didn't even have to uncover the A/C until late June, and I only ran it just before the July 4 holiday just to make sure it was working before the inevitable hot weather arrived. BWI temp departures May thru Oct: -0.7, -2.1, -3.7, +0.4, -2.6, -2.1 (Only Aug was positive) BWI didn't hit 90f until July 12. Hit 94 a few days later, and that was the highest temp of the summer. Remarkable summer, by our standards. This year has been rather cool, but we've already had highs in the upper 90s. Not really comparable IMO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 2009 and 2014 are the gold standards for summer in these parts I think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 1 hour ago, EastCoast NPZ said: 2009 and 2014 are the gold standards for summer in these parts I think. Both leading to cold, winters. 9-10 snowiest winter on record. Feb 2015 2nd coldest on record (BWI) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 2 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said: 2009 and 2014 are the gold standards for summer in these parts I think. 2004 also, going back a bit further. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JW21 Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 Was 1996 a cool summer? I remember the 4th of July that year being particularly pleasant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 I've seen worse patterns heading into the heart of summer. This look would likely produce temps around average for the MA. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 Next week looks potentially active with a frontal boundary in the area and a series of subtle shortwaves moving through the northwesterly flow aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 2 hours ago, CAPE said: I've seen worse patterns heading into the heart of summer. This look would likely produce temps around average for the MA. Actually, it would evolve pretty above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 9 hours ago, GramaxRefugee said: (Anecdote alert) I used to use a tarp-like cover on my air conditioner unit in winter. In 2009, I didn't even have to uncover the A/C until late June, and I only ran it just before the July 4 holiday just to make sure it was working before the inevitable hot weather arrived. BWI temp departures May thru Oct: -0.7, -2.1, -3.7, +0.4, -2.6, -2.1 (Only Aug was positive) BWI didn't hit 90f until July 12. Hit 94 a few days later, and that was the highest temp of the summer. Remarkable summer, by our standards. This year has been rather cool, but we've already had highs in the upper 90s. Not really comparable IMO. Shoosh, you're ruining the fun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 2 hours ago, CAPE said: Next week looks potentially active with a frontal boundary in the area and a series of subtle shortwaves moving through the northwesterly flow aloft. Post that in the severe thread and bring home an MCS! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 And it continues. After a couple days of warm and muggy this week, heat gets knocked back as another trough digs in over eastern Canada, with an upper ridge building well to our west. Looks a bit unsettled Friday with a potential disturbance moving along the front, possibly lingering into Saturday. Potentially a really nice weekend with temps in the low 80s. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 3 hours ago, CAPE said: And it continues. After a couple days of warm and muggy this week, heat gets knocked back as another trough digs in over eastern Canada, with an upper ridge building well to our west. Looks a bit unsettled Friday with a potential disturbance moving along the front, possibly lingering into Saturday. Potentially a really nice weekend with temps in the low 80s. August warmup likely ahead … 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 Chuck? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 6 hours ago, CAPE said: And it continues. After a couple days of warm and muggy this week, heat gets knocked back as another trough digs in over eastern Canada, with an upper ridge building well to our west. Looks a bit unsettled Friday with a potential disturbance moving along the front, possibly lingering into Saturday. Potentially a really nice weekend with temps in the low 80s. That's going to verify warmer.. I love +EPO's, especially with 591dm ridge under it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Having that coincide with climo peak heat would be very nice. Some sort of torch is nearly inevitable during summer - but if we can have that happen more towards later summer when we can pair it with reducing climo maxes it blunts the heat of summer a bit. 90 is even fine with me. But avoiding 95 and 68+ dewpoints would be great. All in all I haven't melted this summer so far. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted July 7, 2022 Author Share Posted July 7, 2022 WB 12z ensembles seem to hint at warmer drier period ss we head into the 3rd week of July Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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