mattie g Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Perhaps in response to HT strat water vapor in the Southern Hemisphere being picked up? And if there is a -NAO, can it pair up with a favorable or non-hostile Pac at times? Interesting. If...IF that were to go down like that, then that would imply the potential for some interesting weather around the holidays. Pair that with the cold that some folks are calling for in December into January, and that might be fun. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 @40/70 Benchmark This Niña is definitely basin wide now. Every region is solidly in a Niña Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 WB EURO 10/1 seasonal maps for December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 57 minutes ago, snowman19 said: @40/70 Benchmark This Niña is definitely basin wide now. Every region is solidly in a Niña Yea, totally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 52 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB EURO 10/1 seasonal maps for December Looks just like December 2000: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks just like December 2000: If that’s correct….if….then December most likely ends up colder and snowier than normal 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: If that’s correct….if….then December most likely ends up colder and snowier than normal That's been my my feeling all along. Maybe not too far from normal cold..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 58 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks just like December 2000 NYC will love hearing that. They got hit pretty hard by a jumper in Dec 00. We of course got screwed. Because it was a jumper. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 NYC will love hearing that. They got hit pretty hard by a jumper in Dec 00. We of course got screwed. Because it was a jumper. 12/30/00 I think? DC got skunked, Philly got like 7 and of course NYC got buriedSent from my SM-F711U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 2 hours ago, snowman19 said: If that’s correct….if….then December most likely ends up colder and snowier than normal Eskimo Express for a White Christmas confirmed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 1 hour ago, alexderiemer said: 12/30/00 I think? DC got skunked, Philly got like 7 and of course NYC got buried Sent from my SM-F711U using Tapatalk Link to the 12/30/00 event: http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2001/30-Dec-00.html 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 6 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Link to the 12/30/00 event: http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2001/30-Dec-00.html I know I've been spoiled over the past near 30 years when I don't even remember this storm. Crazy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, totally. Looks like a moderate peak is a good call: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: Link to the 12/30/00 event: http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2001/30-Dec-00.html I was a kid for that storm, the thing I remember besides helping my Dad shovel was the extremely heavy snowfall rates. It had to be 2-3 inches+ per hour for a few hours at one point during that storm, definitely some of the heaviest snow I ever saw in my life 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 Just now, midatlanticweather said: Good sign... in that it makes a 2011-12 repeat less likely. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 Does this look like we’re getting closer to a +pdo?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 16 hours ago, snowman19 said: Looks like a moderate peak is a good call: First time it has dropped in like 5 months...about time if it is indeed going to make moderate. Yea, for all of the bickering and back and forth we have done, we have always agreed that it should peak as moderate....you just hedge a bitter higher end moderate than I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: First time it has dropped in like 5 months...about time if it is indeed going to make moderate. Yea, for all of the bickering and back and forth we have done, we have always agreed that it should peak as moderate....you just hedge a bitter higher end moderate than I. This is the last push of strengthening, probably through late November/early December then we start marching toward neutral. Then the warming really starts to pickup this coming spring….probably in an El Niño by late summer IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 7 minutes ago, snowman19 said: This is the last push of strengthening, probably through late November/early December then we start marching toward neutral. Then the warming really starts to pickup this coming spring….probably in an El Niño by late summer IMO I actually think it will be early summer.....maybe even June, which will allow it to induce and couple with the IOD very well. I expect it to be another neg IOD event, since this should be a modoki el nino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 19 hours ago, midatlanticweather said: 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 I would be in total shock if this event goes strong over the next 2 months but there are still mets who think it does: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 On 10/5/2022 at 5:12 PM, midatlanticweather said: Peed my pants a little reading that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 On 10/5/2022 at 1:21 PM, alexderiemer said: 12/30/00 I think? DC got skunked, Philly got like 7 and of course NYC got buried Sent from my SM-F711U using Tapatalk This was the first event I experienced after joining the wx community. About a week or two prior there was a massive cold front and blocking formed. Dec 30 2000 was originally a Miller A HECS on the models in the medium to long range, then it morphed into the Miller B it became. I remember texting Ji at around 3am the day of the event and him saying he couldn’t see a cloud in the sky which definitely didn’t bode well lmao. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 3 hours ago, Heisy said: This was the first event I experienced after joining the wx community. About a week or two prior there was a massive cold front and blocking formed. Dec 30 2000 was originally a Miller A HECS on the models in the medium to long range, then it morphed into the Miller B it became. I remember texting Ji at around 3am the day of the event and him saying he couldn’t see a cloud in the sky which definitely didn’t bode well lmao. At one point they were comparing 12/30/00 to the Blizzard of ‘96 and the Megalopolis Blizzard of ‘83, the media hype was out of control for DC-BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 4 hours ago, snowman19 said: At one point they were comparing 12/30/00 to the Blizzard of ‘96 and the Megalopolis Blizzard of ‘83, the media hype was out of control for DC-BOS Had it slowed down by 12 to 18 hours, it would've been a classic powderfest from EZF to BOS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 3 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: Had it slowed down by 12 to 18 hours, it would've been a classic powderfest from EZF to BOS. Storm was largely a bust for Boston...it hugged too closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 17 hours ago, snowman19 said: I would be in total shock if this event goes strong over the next 2 months but there are still mets who think it does: There are a lot of idiots on Twitter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 25 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Storm was largely a bust for Boston...it hugged too closely. Rockland County got a solid 16-18 inches as I remember 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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