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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2022 OBS Thread


Maxwell03
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We could do no better than 89.3 yesterday in East Nantmeal which ended our 90 degree streak at just 1 day. So at least here in East Nantmeal no heat waves this year....and none since July 19-21, 2020. However, the KMQS Airport did report 4 straight days over 90 during this hot streak.
Good chance at some much needed t-storms across the County today. Our farmers and gardeners will appreciate any and all rainfall since last Monday the 18th.
Our record high for today is 96 degrees set back in 1921. The record low is 47 degrees set back during the Bicentennial celebration in 1976. Record daily rainfall is the 2.00" that fell today back in 2016.
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 You can fire as many phasers (rain showers) at it and they just get absorbed in the dry shield around the LV. The line of t showers hits the LV and is done for. 20 drops at my house. Fricking unbelievable as the storm line separates again , goes south and north for the upteenth  time this summer. Any storm line that hits the LV at 10 am is done for too  All we get are stratus debris clouds from the storms with a few drops. By the time the line gets to philly area and south, they will be regenerating with  raging t-storms again.  The sun will come out soon and we will be in the 90's again with no heat advisory -typical screw job

 

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Albedoman said:

 By the time the line gets to philly area and south, they will be regenerating with  raging t-storms again.  The sun will come out soon and we will be in the 90's again with no heat advisory -typical screw job

I am in NW Philly and have had exactly 0.5" of rain for the entire month of July IMBY, and at this point, I expect whatever line drops down here with the front, will evaporate enough to form dry slots just as they approach my part of the city.  I welcome anything I can get but expect I'll be back out with the hose again in a few days (deep watered last on Friday).

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Looks like areas N and E will be the favored area's for severe today. From SPC:

 

Quote
 Mesoscale Discussion 1588
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1025 AM CDT Mon Jul 25 2022

   Areas affected...far eastern PA and northern NJ into southern New
   England

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 251525Z - 251700Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorms coverage and intensity is expected to
   increase over the next 1-2 hours from eastern PA and northern NJ
   into southern New England. Damaging gusts and hail are the main
   hazards expected with this activity.

   DISCUSSION...Convection is rapidly increasing in intensity late this
   morning. Broken cloudiness has allowed temperatures to warm into the
   80s amid 70s surface dewpoints. This is aiding in moderate
   instability across the region amid strong southwesterly vertical
   shear ahead of an eastward-advancing cold front. Forecast soundings
   and regional VWP data suggest wind profiles favorable for supercells
   and line segments. Steepening low-level lapse rates and
   strengthening 0-3 km MLCAPE will support strong gusts with this
   activity. Meanwhile, modest midlevel lapse rates and elongated
   hodographs above 3 km may support sporadic large hail with stronger
   semi-discrete cells. Favorable low-level shear and somewhat small,
   but favorably curved low-level hodographs also will support a risk
   for a tornado given a very moist boundary-layer and increasing
   low-level vorticity along/just ahead of the surface cold front,
   though damaging gusts are expected to be the main hazard. 

   Given recent increase in convective intensity and expected increase
   in thunderstorm coverage with time into early afternoon, a watch
   will likely be needed in the next hour or so.

   ..Leitman/Guyer.. 07/25/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...

   LAT...LON   40657273 40377382 40377443 40467500 40557538 40707550
               40847550 41047532 41847445 42477376 42827306 43477173
               43547149 43537119 43457086 43307057 43087044 42507051
               41807103 41107189 40657273 

 

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On 7/24/2022 at 5:22 AM, Hurricane Agnes said:

I didn't even see any Brood X here last year either - and the last time I believe that brood was out was around a year after one of my sisters had moved into her Montco house.  She had a couple stragglers crawling up her shed near the creek at the bottom of her backyard, and that was the first time I had ever seen a "red-eyed" cicada.

There were stragglers of that Brood emerging I believe, 4 years prior, which would have made them 13 year cicadas.  Maybe that's how the 13 year broods evolved.

Still no summer cicada songs on this super muggy noontime near the D&R Canal.  DP 72, temp near 90.

RIP Rachel Carson - we may need someone to document Silent Summer.  At least the nighttime katydids made it. 

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SPC up with the Thunderstorm Watches -

 

Quote

 

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 503
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
145 PM EDT MON JUL 25 2022

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 503 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

PAC001-017-029-045-071-091-101-133-260200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0503.220725T1745Z-220726T0200Z/

PA
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS                BUCKS               CHESTER
DELAWARE             LANCASTER           MONTGOMERY
PHILADELPHIA         YORK
$$

 

Quote

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 503
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
145 PM EDT MON JUL 25 2022

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 503 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-019-021-023-025-029-033-035-260200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0503.220725T1745Z-220726T0200Z/

NJ
.    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATLANTIC             BURLINGTON          CAMDEN
CAPE MAY             CUMBERLAND          GLOUCESTER
HUNTERDON            MERCER              MIDDLESEX
MONMOUTH             OCEAN               SALEM
SOMERSET
$$

 

Quote

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 503
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
145 PM EDT MON JUL 25 2022

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 503 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

DEC001-003-005-260200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0503.220725T1745Z-220726T0200Z/

DE
.    DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

KENT                 NEW CASTLE          SUSSEX
$$

Currently overcast with breaks of sun still and 88 with dp 76.

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1 hour ago, stemwinder said:

There were stragglers of that Brood emerging I believe, 4 years prior, which would have made them 13 year cicadas.  Maybe that's how the 13 year broods evolved.

Still no summer cicada songs on this super muggy noontime near the D&R Canal.  DP 72, temp near 90.

RIP Rachel Carlson - we may need someone to document Silent Summer.  At least the nighttime katydids made it. 

I know there are supposedly the mix of the 13 & 17 year broods but like you note, I'm missing the annual giganto, non-red-eyed ones.  The kind that you don't want to be in the way when they are flying somewhere fast. I remember getting smacked in the head by one while sitting at the top of the slide to our swing set back when I was a kid! :lol:

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Checked the forecast before work this morning and it said t-storms all afternoon. We had maybe two drops of rain, and now it's looking like the sun's wanting to come out. I can see that everything is developing south and east, but what I want to know is why did this forecast bust so hard for Berks?

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Looking like another dud for rain today for most of SE PA. Best forcing and instability look to be north and south of us. This sad line of sprinkles is likely it for most of the area. I'm currently at .71" for July with .6" of that falling in 20 minutes so it just immediately ran off. This is the antithesis of last summer where it never wanted to stop raining... 

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20 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Looking like another dud for rain today for most of SE PA. Best forcing and instability look to be north and south of us. This sad line of sprinkles is likely it for most of the area. I'm currently at .71" for July with .6" of that falling in 20 minutes so it just immediately ran off. This is the antithesis of last summer where it never wanted to stop rining... 

Couple showers. Pretty much bust, sun is poking through. Rainbow? Critters?

Been watching videos on Lake Mead:

 

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1 hour ago, JTA66 said:

Is he doing local TV anywhere again? I remember him being on Ch17 during the winter of 1995-96--perfect met for that winter!

Agree about him being the perfect TV met for that winter. He was the first to sniff out the blizzard of 1996 a full week in advance. Pretty impressive for the technology at that time.

 

Whatever he is doing now it is in Houston TX. I went back and forth with a member of the board that is in Houston on the tropical forum.

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