Mount Joy Snowman Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 4 hours ago, mahantango#1 said: Good thunderstorm here @4:00am rained .84 in 15 min! Wow good stuff, just .01" here. A low of 65 and currently sitting at 71/69, feels like summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Going to Wolf Trap Wednesday for a concert and was hoping the not oppressive weather would hold but it looks unlikely. Hot and humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 40 minutes ago, canderson said: Going to Wolf Trap Wednesday for a concert and was hoping the not oppressive weather would hold but it looks unlikely. Hot and humid. looks hot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 I'm really curious to see how this MCS unfolds late tonight through tomorrow morning. The NAM is still insistent on bringing it right over most of our territory but almost all other guidance keeps the bulk of it just to our southwest. Developing situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 9 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I'm really curious to see how this MCS unfolds late tonight through tomorrow morning. The NAM is still insistent on bringing it right over most of our territory but almost all other guidance keeps the bulk of it just to our southwest. Developing situation. I was just discussing this with a friend who is worried about it. I guess we will have to keep an on it through this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted June 13, 2022 Author Share Posted June 13, 2022 23 minutes ago, sauss06 said: I was just discussing this with a friend who is worried about it. I guess we will have to keep an on it through this evening. Aren't these things capable of ending up tracking up to a couple hundred miles off of general modeled concensus? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 12 minutes ago, Voyager said: Aren't these things capable of ending up tracking up to a couple hundred miles off of general modeled concensus? Yes, but aren’t some of the ingredients somewhat lacking in C PA even if it does track that way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 12 minutes ago, Voyager said: Aren't these things capable of ending up tracking up to a couple hundred miles off of general modeled concensus? yes, i believe you're correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 1 hour ago, Voyager said: Aren't these things capable of ending up tracking up to a couple hundred miles off of general modeled concensus? 1 hour ago, TimB said: Yes, but aren’t some of the ingredients somewhat lacking in C PA even if it does track that way? Yes to both. I don't see this being anything more than a typical t-storm here, if it even happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 16 minutes ago, canderson said: Yes to both. I don't see this being anything more than a typical t-storm here, if it even happens. One thing different could be duration. HRRR and 3K both have it lasting about 7-8 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: One thing different could be duration. HRRR and 3K both have it lasting about 7-8 hours. Looked to me like the GFS really dampened the thing out once it reached PA but I'm not the best model reader. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Euro is mid to high 90s by next Wednesday across the southern tier, with temps WELL over 100 down in VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Euro is mid to high 90s by next Wednesday across the southern tier, with temps WELL over 100 down in VA. When will summer ever start!! LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: When will summer ever start!! LOL Well... Next Wednesday would be the first full day of traditional summer. Quite a way to welcome the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Well... Next Wednesday would be the first full day of traditional summer. Quite a way to welcome the season. GFS is not too far off but not as extreme and a bit delayed. Several nights of 40's before that though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 18Z HRRR and 3K are very well aligned in direction and location of "the low" tomorrow AM. Less MCS like on both though the HRRR has a long period of rain. Both are limited qpf wise for the LSV. NAM12K has conceded west but is more MCS like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 45 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 18Z HRRR and 3K are very well aligned in direction and location of "the low" tomorrow AM. Less MCS like on both though the HRRR has a long period of rain. Both are limited qpf wise for the LSV. NAM12K has conceded west but is more MCS like. Best case scenario for me would be a period of steady rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Almost hit 90F in Lanco today. Think we have a couple of chances this week before the cool off this weekend.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 26 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Almost hit 90F in Lanco today. Think we have a couple of chances this week before the cool off this weekend. . The area Hot spot did hit 91 or 92: CXY. 4-6 degrees higher than all other stations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 90 was my high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Overachieving high of 90 today. 7th time to reach that mark this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Overachieving high of 90 today. 7th time to reach that mark this year. You and Canderson are slackers compared to Cap City. LOL. 86 here. Cap City hit 93 on the 5 min readings but have to wait and see what the metric converters at the NWS come up with for their real temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 My porch thermometer hit 95F but it is direct sunlight and surrounded by concrete.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 27 minutes ago, Superstorm said: My porch thermometer hit 95F but it is direct sunlight and surrounded by concrete. . Haha well that’s less than ideal. I’m actually surprised you didn’t go higher with those conditions. 89 for a high here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 13 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Haha well that’s less than ideal. I’m actually surprised you didn’t go higher with those conditions. 89 for a high here. Now we need to get CXY to admit they have the same issue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 47 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: You and Canderson are slackers compared to Cap City. LOL. 86 here. Cap City hit 93 on the 5 min readings but have to wait and see what the metric converters at the NWS come up with for their real temp. It felt hotter than 90, that's for sure. You're going to need some 2 point conversions to catch up. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 92 for my high today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Just now, mahantango#1 said: 92 for my high today. CXY even beat you! A rare day indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: It felt hotter than 90, that's for sure. You're going to need some 2 point conversions to catch up. LOL Just got in from grilling some chicken and veggies. It was in the shade but I’m pouring sweat. It’s quite awful out today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 4 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Euro is mid to high 90s by next Wednesday across the southern tier, with temps WELL over 100 down in VA. Perfect day to start my vacation In OCMD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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