Bubbler86 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Better start seeing some more activity pop up soon. Models have that area in Western PA dying off and a new line forming in Central PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Getting brighter out here. Going to be a booming afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 8 minutes ago, Voyager said: Yup. But when a monsoon storm hits, it's a sight and experience to behold. I am not sure where in AZ but checked Phoenix and they only get 8-9" a year. There are storms that drop more than that in the Northeast on (rare) occasion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 18, 2022 Author Share Posted July 18, 2022 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I am not sure where in AZ but checked Phoenix and they only get 8-9" a year. There are storms that drop more than that in the Northeast on (rare) occasion. Just hit up YouTube and search Phoenix monsoons. If you get under a potent one, you can get 80 to 100 mph winds and 2-4 inches of rain. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 41 minutes ago, Voyager said: Just hit up YouTube and search Phoenix monsoons. If you get under a potent one, you can get 80 to 100 mph winds and 2-4 inches of rain. So like a Saturday night at the Candersons. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Interesting convo on the heat wave classification during one of my morning calls. Pretty much 100% agreement that getting 3 degrees over normal is not a heat wave. LOL. The thought was in mid to late July, it would need to hit 100 at MDT to get into Heat Wave area OR change the classification to HI. SVR Watch for SE PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Sun came out here earlier for a bit I will say though that that dew point of 72 is brutal though. It feels awful out there despite it being 85 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Interesting convo on the heat wave classification during one of my morning calls. Pretty much 100% agreement that getting 3 degrees over normal is not a heat wave. LOL. The thought was in mid to late July, it would need to hit 100 at MDT to get into Heat Wave area OR change the classification to HI. SVR Watch for SE PA. In total agreement.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Radar is totally lame at the moment… Yeah there are storms in MD, but the are going to stay down there. Nothing is going up in Central PA… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, Storm Clouds said: Radar is totally lame at the moment… Yeah there are storms in MD, but the are going to stay down there. Nothing is going up in Central PA… That's not what'll pop storms for us. We're looking a little later - roughly 5 to 9 pm for activity to pop, It'll be hit or miss type stuff moreso than last night I thiiiiink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 12 minutes ago, Storm Clouds said: Radar is totally lame at the moment… Yeah there are storms in MD, but the are going to stay down there. Nothing is going up in Central PA… HRRR actually has the MD stuff cut over York at its Northern Extent. But I agree it does not look overly enthusiastic for a big squall line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Quick 12z GFS glance seems it is leaning into the Team Euro heat train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, canderson said: Quick 12z GFS glance seems it is leaning into the Team Euro heat train. Next week is where I am really worried. Can it be 77 at MDT and 100 at Dulles? Counting on rain is always a worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 TOR warned cell about to cross the border into S York County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 The 3K and HRRR are now saying it is mostly over for us S Central PA people...maybe a stray storm crops up but they have removed the line concept from their depictions. Voyager may have been right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The 3K and HRRR are now saying it is mostly over for us S Central PA people...maybe a stray storm crops up but they have removed the line concept from their depictions. Voyager may have been right. Is it over if it never started? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 High of 82 here today. That runs my current streak of at or below normal days to 30 consecutive using MDT standards. The last above normal day was June 17th. Wed may break that streak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, canderson said: Is it over if it never started? Well...lol. It may not even be over. Just reporting the models sudden drop of a sig line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Well...lol. It may not even be over. Just reporting the models sudden drop of a sig line. Think maybe that little disturbance up near CT killed the shear we had earlier and stabilized our region mostly. Maybe we didn't get enough afternoon heating to reamp it north of say Rt 30 and east of 81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 1 minute ago, canderson said: Think maybe that little disturbance up near CT killed the shear we had earlier and stabilized our region mostly. Maybe we didn't get enough afternoon heating to reamp it north of say Rt 30 and east of 81. Yea, something put the wham jam on this being a big event. Score one for Voyager. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Wouldn’t be surprised if we see heat advisories Wed and Thu in the LSV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Yea, something put the wham jam on this being a big event. Score one for Voyager. I noticed my dewpoints dropped into the upper 50s and thought, that was a problem for future storms.Now they are back into the 70s.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Definitely looks like a dud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Wouldn’t be surprised if we see heat advisories Wed and Thu in the LSV Agreed.I’m thinking how many days in a row our hotter stations can hit 90F plus.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 North MD was the place to be this afternoon… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 20 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Agreed. I’m thinking how many days in a row our hotter stations can hit 90F plus. . CXY just perked up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 34 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Agreed. I’m thinking how many days in a row our hotter stations can hit 90F plus. . Looking and more and more like a potential 10+ day stretch of 90+. Hell it might last two weeks. The edge seems to let that hot Midwest air here with no escape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 Temp is increasing over here. It's 87 with a DP of 72. It's also starting to get cloudy again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, canderson said: Looking and more and more like a potential 10+ day stretch of 90+. Hell it might last two weeks. The edge seems to let that hot Midwest air here with no escape. LOL. I am definitely taking under on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 18, 2022 Share Posted July 18, 2022 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: LOL. I am definitely taking under on that. That heats gotta get here at some point. My parents have had 37 iirc days over 100 now. 107 today, no day below 103 in their 10 day. It was 98 Saturday, first day in 2 weeks ot wasn’t 100+ I believe. That’s not remotely normal, even for Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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