Anduril Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 The line does seem to be filling in a bit as it sags into State College area. Wonder if it'll survive to Harrisburg or completely skip us again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted June 16, 2022 Author Share Posted June 16, 2022 46 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: This is definitely one of the better summertime significant severe/tornadic type setups I’ve seen recently around these parts, at least “on paper”. Lots of heat, high dewpoints (at or above 70), large CAPE, high LI, decent shear, BRN values supportive of discrete supercells, etc. The combination of these has all the composite indices (supercell, hail size, significant tornado parameters) very high today on the mesoanalysis. The radar split is definitely notable right now, as the hole figures to translate into the portion of PA that has some of the best severe indices. With that said, the portion of PA between here and Harrisburg really needs to be watched for discrete cell action if it does fire up as the EHI values being generated there honestly concern me a bit. A 0-1km EHI of 1 is enough for possible tornadoes. 4+ is significant. And the 0-3km values are stupid high. This ribbon does extend up into northern PA where current action (and the Elk County tornado warned cell) are moving towards. I’d also look for the Sus Valley to become more favorable with the late clearing this afternoon. 0-1km EHI 0-3km EHI Significant tornado parameter $64 question. Does any of it have a chance to make it to the eastern portion of State College's CWA or am I shit out of luck over here. The overcast just doesn't want to give up it's grip here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 What a beautiful Night for a tornado watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Damn didn't know the dew point was 70 right now. It's a bit nasty out there lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Warmest it's been all day here - hazy and 83. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Hmm apparently my weather station hasnt been reporting for 3 days. Welp...not fixing it tonight lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Warmest it's been all day here - hazy and 83. Yeah it is not really a beautiful night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 First round just come through. Picked up 0.28” of rain. Manual rain gauge. Still a lot of lightning and thunder. 80 for the high today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted June 16, 2022 Author Share Posted June 16, 2022 45 minutes ago, Voyager said: $64 question. Does any of it have a chance to make it to the eastern portion of State College's CWA or am I shit out of luck over here. The overcast just doesn't want to give up it's grip here. My guess is that it'll be like this morning. Four flashes, two booms, and about a quarter inch of rain...if I'm lucky. This year is REALLY making me HATE living on the eastern side of the state. Back door fronts, CAD, poor instability due to persistent cloud cover, and whatever else.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 I’m so damn tired of watering. And tonight mosquitos are so bad I got chewed up. Sidenote: I don’t think I recall mosquitos this prevalent. Which is weird cause it’s been so very dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 11 minutes ago, canderson said: I’m so damn tired of watering. And tonight mosquitos are so bad I got chewed up. Sidenote: I don’t think I recall mosquitos this prevalent. Which is weird cause it’s been so very dry. Not a cold winter and pretty sure we had a wet spring...bugs gonna be BAD. And they have been bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 1 hour ago, Voyager said: $64 question. Does any of it have a chance to make it to the eastern portion of State College's CWA or am I shit out of luck over here. The overcast just doesn't want to give up it's grip here. I would imagine you’ll get a piece of the stuff that’s just east of State College, but likely what you said with maybe some heavier rain and thunder/lightning. Mixed layer CAPE is trying to build into eastern PA but there’s also a good amount of CIN (convective inhibition) from the lingering cloud cover/much lower surface temps on that end of the state (not to mention current convection is shooting a lot of high clouds eastward. Really surprised at the lack of initiation of convection in south central PA though (west of the Sus where the sun really broke out). I thought that to be a ticking time bomb this afternoon given parameters and approaching front. SPC did trim but maintain the tornado watch, likely a hat tip to said parameters which are still good, but I’m not as concerned as I was this afternoon. There was really a split in convection between the north central PA stuff and the more robust stuff sagging south just west of Pittsburgh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted June 16, 2022 Author Share Posted June 16, 2022 Thanks MAG! Looking at current radar, the storms and precipitation are practically evaporating east and north of Sunbury. Unless some new activity forms, it looks like what's left of that line goes southwest of me. Maybe I'll see some "heat lightning"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 Just got a tornado warning on my phone until 9:15 pm but I can't find anymore information on it anywhere. It specifically said Warning and not Watch unless something screwed up but other people I know got the same warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 1 minute ago, TheDreamTraveler said: Just got a tornado warning on my phone until 9:15 pm but I can't find anymore information on it anywhere. It specifically said Warning and not Watch unless something screwed up but other people I know got the same warning Mifflin and Perry County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 Tornado Warning Tornado Warning PAC067-099-170115- /O.NEW.KCTP.TO.W.0003.220617T0021Z-220617T0115Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service State College PA 821 PM EDT Thu Jun 16 2022 The National Weather Service in State College PA has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Central Juniata County in central Pennsylvania... Central Perry County in south central Pennsylvania... * Until 915 PM EDT. * At 821 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Mexico, moving southeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and hail up to two inches in diameter. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... New Bloomfield and Newport around 840 PM EDT. Shermansdale and Duncannon around 900 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Thompsontown, Port Royal, Landisburg and Mifflintown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 2 Tornado Warnings for me already this season…. Hopefully it’s another miss for my neighborhood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 7 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Mifflin and Perry County Ah makes sense. I couldn't find it for some reason. I'm literally on the border of Perry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 Storm exploded and had some spin on radar 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 8 minutes ago, canderson said: Storm exploded and had some spin on radar How close to Marysville is the rotation that you are seeing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 This storm is INSANE looking. Goddamn lol some really impressive lightning. I had to go inside because one of the strikes was uncomfortably close to me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: How close to Marysville is the rotation that you are seeing? Don’t see any on recent scans. It was right south of Newport it appeared. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 Still hail in that storm though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 My friend told me she’s in her basement NW Perry county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 The rotation from Ickesburg to New Bloomfield was impressive then died. Honestly was getting a bit worried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 They prob cancel that tor warning - or at least don’t advance it. Shear is non existent immediate downstream atm. Duncannon about to be in what looks like the hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 Looks like the worst is the Newport Duncanon Middletown line probably some hail based on coefficient returns and decent wind gusts but probably not severe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 Just now, Anduril said: Looks like the worst is the Newport Duncanon Middletown line probably some hail based on coefficient returns and decent wind gusts but probably not severe That hail core imo warrants severe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, sauss06 said: My friend told me she’s in her basement NW Perry county Oof that sucks. I hope they're okay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 Actually sneaky line of hail might impact Mechanicsburg hopefully everyone is home from jubilee day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now