Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Some 2.5” totals showing up for one hour rainfall I am literally watching the southern wave fall apart before my eyes. Glad I have received some rain this week and this was not an uber disappointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I am literally watching the southern wave fall apart before my eyes. Glad I have received some rain this week and this was not an uber disappointment. That northern band has my attention 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Tornado watch 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: That northern band has my attention It just keeps getting banged back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 9 minutes ago, sauss06 said: Tornado watch No Tornado watch a couple thousand feet to my south so if one comes, I will take a stroll and watch from there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: No Tornado watch a couple thousand feet to my south so if one comes, I will take a stroll and watch from there. Another warning for about the same southern Franklin as first storm. Maybe this one is yours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted June 16, 2022 Author Share Posted June 16, 2022 I'm at the farthest east extent of the watch and under cool and overcast conditions. Not sure I'm going to see anything significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Friday afternoon into Saturday gonna be windy around these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 It remains cloudy and 75. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, canderson said: Friday afternoon into Saturday gonna be windy around these parts. Local forecaster said this might be one of the windiest periods in June that we'll ever see outside of stormy weather. Very unusual to have a long duration wind event during the 2nd half of June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 34 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Another warning for about the same southern Franklin as first storm. Maybe this one is yours Feels like the D all over again. Zippo from second one. I am the MJS of Franklin county. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Getting Brighter out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Feels like the D all over again. Zippo from second one. I am the MJS of Franklin county. Hit a brick wall. Pretty clear where the stalled boundary set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Hit a brick wall. Pretty clear where the stalled boundary set up. The great valley strikes again. My farmer friend told me if would be my mortal summer enemy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 15 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Feels like the D all over again. Zippo from second one. I am the MJS of Franklin county. 10 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Hit a brick wall. Pretty clear where the stalled boundary set up. It sucks - rain is really beneficial right now. I wonder what will happen to the line in NW PA as it moves into our area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted June 16, 2022 Author Share Posted June 16, 2022 30 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Local forecaster said this might be one of the windiest periods in June that we'll ever see outside of stormy weather. Very unusual to have a long duration wind event during the 2nd half of June. That's the thing. The summers of my youth usually consisted of a period of 90s followed by a week front and then a dop back to about 80 degrees, and then repeat. This current pattern is more like a winter pattern with a strong front followed by a wrapped up maritime low and a tight gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: It sucks - rain is really beneficial right now. I wonder what will happen to the line in NW PA as it moves into our area? Fingers crossed we all score some beneficial yard wetness. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Voyager said: That's the thing. The summers of my youth usually consisted of a period of 90s followed by a week front and then a dop back to about 80 degrees, and then repeat. This current pattern is more like a winter pattern with a strong front followed by a wrapped up maritime low and a tight gradient. Very true, good analogy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 CTP is already backing off the heat train for next week - they've shaved 10 degrees off my forecast high for Wednesday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 It sucks - rain is really beneficial right now. I wonder what will happen to the line in NW PA as it moves into our area?Evaporate like a line of storms moving into Long Island or SNE.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 14 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Evaporate like a line of storms moving into Long Island or SNE. . That's what I'm afraid of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 10 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: CTP is already backing off the heat train for next week - they've shaved 10 degrees off my forecast high for Wednesday. Euro definitely backed off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Local forecaster said this might be one of the windiest periods in June that we'll ever see outside of stormy weather. Very unusual to have a long duration wind event during the 2nd half of June. That just seems to be the norm for years now. It's actually weird how windy it's been. Especially outside of winter and early spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 16 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Evaporate like a line of storms moving into Long Island or SNE. . The "line" advancing towards us already has large gaps in it - doesn't instill a lot of confidence at this point. Maybe it will surprise. 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Euro definitely backed off Euro backing off on heat? Nah. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: The "line" advancing towards us already has large gaps in it - doesn't instill a lot of confidence at this point. Maybe it will surprise. Euro backing off on heat? Nah. LOL Wgal futurecast looked sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: The "line" advancing towards us already has large gaps in it - doesn't instill a lot of confidence at this point. Maybe it will surprise. Euro backing off on heat? Nah. LOL It did indeed. What was 100+ is now 80+. LOL. But would not take much shift to get back into the 90's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Suns out and up to 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted June 16, 2022 Author Share Posted June 16, 2022 19 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: The "line" advancing towards us already has large gaps in it - doesn't instill a lot of confidence at this point. Maybe it will surprise. Euro backing off on heat? Nah. LOL Accu-Weather future radar, for what it's worth, has the line dying out along the US220 corridor between State College and Williamsport by 7:00pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Tornado warning for Elk County, very solid radar signature with an impressive hook and moving SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 This is definitely one of the better summertime significant severe/tornadic type setups I’ve seen recently around these parts, at least “on paper”. Lots of heat, high dewpoints (at or above 70), large CAPE, high LI, decent shear, BRN values supportive of discrete supercells, etc. The combination of these has all the composite indices (supercell, hail size, significant tornado parameters) very high today on the mesoanalysis. The radar split is definitely notable right now, as the hole figures to translate into the portion of PA that has some of the best severe indices. With that said, the portion of PA between here and Harrisburg really needs to be watched for discrete cell action if it does fire up as the EHI values being generated there honestly concern me a bit. A 0-1km EHI of 1 is enough for possible tornadoes. 4+ is significant. And the 0-3km values are stupid high. This ribbon does extend up into northern PA where current action (and the Elk County tornado warned cell) are moving towards. I’d also look for the Sus Valley to become more favorable with the late clearing this afternoon. 0-1km EHI 0-3km EHI Significant tornado parameter 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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