Voyager Posted August 19, 2022 Author Share Posted August 19, 2022 Missed me by about 2 miles... https://www.fox10phoenix.com/weather/another-round-of-high-winds-rain-and-thunderstorms-for-arizona-live-radar-updates 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: That is the first and last thing they teach in public met school. Range, range, range. LOL. 4-8" snow? Not enough. Go 4-10! 2009-10 was the winter of last minute north trends but razor sharp cutoffs in snow totals. Of the 3 big dog storms (12/18, 2/5 and 2/10) I was fortunate to be inside the snow zone for all 3. Well, the December storm was really supposed to be a mid-atlantic special in the days leading up to the event. It wasn't until the final 36-48 hours that it seemed certain the southern tier would get anything of significance. At any rate...there was a local met (name withheld) who put out a forecast before the storm for 0-24" across Lanco. That later got refined; obviously, but in 56 years I've never seen a snowfall accumulation prediction quite like that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 16 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 2009-10 was the winter of last minute north trends but razor sharp cutoffs in snow totals. Of the 3 big dog storms (12/18, 2/5 and 2/10) I was fortunate to be inside the snow zone for all 3. Well, the December storm was really supposed to be a mid-atlantic special in the days leading up to the event. It wasn't until the final 36-48 hours that it seemed certain the southern tier would get anything of significance. At any rate...there was a local met (name withheld) who put out a forecast before the storm for 0-24" across Lanco. That later got refined; obviously, but in 56 years I've never seen a snowfall accumulation prediction quite like that one. Chuck Rhodes listened well in school! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 35 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I did not realize how dire things had gotten in southern NE...wow. Leaves have started turning up there already. It's bad. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 HRRR's afternoon into the night rain totals....lottery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 Sunny and 78 at 10am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Sunny and 78 at 10am. 71/65 over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 74 and sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 14 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 71/65 over here. You're only going to reach the low 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: You're only going to reach the low 80s. Yea, maybe. Definitely not getting 90 here but that was assumed after this summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 Some 1/2-1" lollipops showing on some 12Z Meso's for this afternoon into the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 11:00am - Sunny and 82. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 Early Bird Nooners-77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 23 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Early Bird Nooners-77 85.2 here under full sun - based on current satellite, 90 is looking like a pretty good bet here right now. Hoping for that GFS rain later on tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 85.2 here under full sun - based on current satellite, 90 is looking like a pretty good bet here right now. Hoping for that GFS rain later on tonight. American models FTW! LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 Nooners 83 and sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 Nice rains early next week: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 CTP doesn’t mention rain at all today in my grid. 30% tmrw afternoon. 87 at 1 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 17 minutes ago, canderson said: CTP doesn’t mention rain at all today in my grid. 30% tmrw afternoon. 87 at 1 pm Yea, I am just going by the atmosphere and models. It has actually already rained here but just a T so I did not say anything. Getting rain on Mostly Sunny zones has been fairly normal this year. The cell that came by here (I am up in N Franklin right now) is moving up into Cumberland right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 MDT is steaming this afternoon. They already hit 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: MDT is steaming this afternoon. They already hit 90. Warmer than CXY which is at 87. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 Just now, canderson said: Warmer than CXY which is at 87. Yea, strange Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 17 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, strange That SE gust might’ve done it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 25 minutes ago, canderson said: That SE gust might’ve done it Someone said they saw a fireman at the end of a runway with a magnifying glass pointing it at an object. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 Sun and 88 - only a 1 degree rise over the past 90 minutes. It's a win though - now within my 87-92 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 90 at 2:50. 28th(?) I think time to hit it. Probably get another degree or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 Just now, canderson said: 90 at 2:50. 28th(?) I think time to hit it. Probably get another degree or two. I was already at 28, so we are now tied. Probably for 2nd place behind Pillow who is like at 50 or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 You 90's guys keeping count, did you notice that 35 is the tops for MDT so that is your goal I guess. MDT only has 22 this Summer counting today. That is another question, are you counting summer or year? MDT's numbers and records are for summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: You 90's guys keeping count, did you notice that 35 is the tops for MDT so that is your goal I guess. MDT only has 22 this Summer counting today. That is another question, are you counting summer or year? MDT's numbers and records are for summer. I don't say it every time I reach 90, but I've said many times that my count is for 2022 and not just for the summer. Speaking of which...it's 90 on the button! Today is #29 for the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: You 90's guys keeping count, did you notice that 35 is the tops for MDT so that is your goal I guess. MDT only has 22 this Summer counting today. That is another question, are you counting summer or year? MDT's numbers and records are for summer. Year. Had a few in May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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