Bubbler86 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, canderson said: Have outdoor concerts Friday and Saturday night. I'd rather not it be in a mudpit on the river. I bet. Do not take any of my enthusiasm as wanting mud for you. LOL. But think between the chance of the low coming a bit farther north and afternoon convection, even if it does not, we could get some beneficial rain Sat. If the low scoots out much farther south then not so much. Fri night looks fairly safe I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 A low of 59 here. Couple of nice days on tap before things turn a bit sticky again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 MU says "okay bubbler, you win again" @MUweather The radar may be quiet this morning, but a disturbance rotating southward through PA will cause it to “light up” with scattered showers and #thunderstorms between 3-10 p.m. Locally heavy downpours, lightning, and wind gusts up to 40 mph will be the main threats. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: MU says "okay bubbler, you win again" @MUweather The radar may be quiet this morning, but a disturbance rotating southward through PA will cause it to “light up” with scattered showers and #thunderstorms between 3-10 p.m. Locally heavy downpours, lightning, and wind gusts up to 40 mph will be the main threats. Wow, he is really gung ho. I am not trying to win I just want muh rains (for most of you as well). Has he commented on the weekend chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 19 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Wow, he is really gung ho. I am not trying to win I just want muh rains (for most of you as well). Has he commented on the weekend chance? who are you excluding? Asking for a friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 1 minute ago, sauss06 said: who are you excluding? Asking for a friend LOL. No one, just not the type of event that would seemingly get us all. Now if Enola, Lemoyne, Marysville, and Colonial Park all get 1/2" but Downtown gets nothing, I am going to be accused! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Wow, he is really gung ho. I am not trying to win I just want muh rains (for most of you as well). Has he commented on the weekend chance? He hasn't commented, but in his morning forecast he has a 30% chance of an "isolated shower" for Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: He hasn't commented, but in his morning forecast he has a 30% chance of an "isolated shower" for Saturday. Thanks. Makes sense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Saturday timing is not going to be right on the 12Z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Thanks. Makes sense. Speaking of showers, last night's GFS had a major cane striking Bermuda (direct hit) on 8/30. #Itshurricanetime arrives on 8/31 via ship... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Speaking of showers, last night's GFS had a major cane striking Bermuda (direct hit) on 8/30. #Itshurricanetime arrives on 8/31 via ship... Yea, hope that does not happen or your time away turns into a relief effort vs vaca. It is still amazing how quiet the tropics are. Mostly GFS one off's that disappear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Nooners 76 Partly Sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, paweather said: Nooners 76 Partly Sunny. Afternoon Delight. 77 and Mostly Sunny. Clouds gathering to the North East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Afternoon Delight. 77 and Mostly Sunny. Clouds gathering to the North East. Yep it sure is and clouds gathering here too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 The GFS is especially wet starting next Monday and on through the rest of the run. Summers back is broken as we head into Sept. Little in the way of AN temps before then. All just LR GFS talk though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The GFS is especially wet starting next Monday and on through the rest of the run. Summers back is broken as we head into Sept. Little in the way of AN temps before then. All just LR GFS talk though. Haven't looked but awesome I hope we don't pay for that in September and October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, paweather said: Haven't looked but awesome I hope we don't pay for that in September and October. The PAweather 540 line almost touches the US on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The PAweather 540 line almost touches the US on this run. Love it! Keep it coming down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 17, 2022 Author Share Posted August 17, 2022 For those who think AZ weather is boring, I give you this. My forecast has 3" of rain on the high end from now through Sunday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 16 minutes ago, Voyager said: For those who think AZ weather is boring, I give you this. My forecast has 3" of rain on the high end from now through Sunday. They were talking you up on TWC last night...throwing out stats on on much higer than normal your monsoon season has been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Put the outdoor cushions away lets see what happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 59 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The GFS is especially wet starting next Monday and on through the rest of the run. Summers back is broken as we head into Sept. Little in the way of AN temps before then. All just LR GFS talk though. Check out Texas' weather next week. Downright March-ish which is wild considering what they've had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 17, 2022 Author Share Posted August 17, 2022 19 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: They were talking you up on TWC last night...throwing out stats on on much higer than normal your monsoon season has been. According to our local news, this is the 16th wettest monsoon since modern records started being used. If you go to NWS PHX and read our forecast discussion, they're very bullish on this upcoming weekend. And it's ridiculously humid today. Currently 97/71 here... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, canderson said: Check out Texas' weather next week. Downright March-ish which is wild considering what they've had. N Texas some 50's lows next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Looks like light rain starting here shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: N Texas some 50's lows next weekend. It's fake winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Just now, canderson said: It's fake winter. Probably more heat in Sept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, paweather said: Looks like light rain starting here shortly. Your side of the river is lighting up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Probably more heat in Sept. Not sure the last time it was below 90 for the Red River Shootout in October - but it's very, very rare. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 how many more 90s can we get in 2022? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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