pawatch Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 12:33 PM, Bubbler86 said: I think there are two different influences there but the front itself would be in MD per the models...where the energy would be to interact with the heating. The Central PA area seems to be in the gap. Expand Bub we always seem to be in the gap. Looks like mostly south...Few stray sprinkles maybe. We get the wind. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 1:19 PM, pawatch said: Bub we always seem to be in the gap. Looks like mostly south...Few stray sprinkles maybe. We get the wind. Expand Believe it or not, this mess shouldn't bring much wind. The paramaters for severe weather in this region are meh at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 Wow...SE portions of our area just got upgraded to ENH: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 3:18 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Wow...SE portions of our area just got upgraded to ENH: Expand Looks like the biggest threat is winds...SPC going with 30%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 3:20 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Looks like the biggest threat is winds...SPC going with 30%. Expand A few of the 12Z models are focusing the qpf on the LSV now as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 3:20 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Looks like the biggest threat is winds...SPC going with 30%. Expand Interesting timing scenario - I think most all of us are in the middle but could see some issues down that way in York/Lancaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 GFS drops a 2.75" bomb on the Delmarva. SPC going with possible watches for LSV https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1454.html Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...The overall severe threat should gradually increase into the afternoon, with both damaging winds and hail possible. One or more Severe Thunderstorm Watches will probably be needed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 12, 2022 Author Share Posted July 12, 2022 Theres's been too many previous letdowns for me to get excited about this. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 4:02 PM, Voyager said: Theres's been too many previous letdowns for me to get excited about this. Expand I personally do not think it is something to get excited about but its also not a dry day for everyone....so I am saying there is a chance. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 4:29 PM, Bubbler86 said: I personally do not think it is something to get excited about but its also not a dry day for everyone....so I am saying there is a chance. LOL Expand Pretty much every single poster in this thread has completely written today off. Not just in terms of severe, but getting any rain at all included. Keep the good fight. Some areas at least look to get something out of this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 4:30 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Pretty much every single poster in this thread has completely written today off. Not just in terms of severe, but getting any rain at all included. Keep the good fight. Some areas at least look to get something out of this. Expand Edit: Blizz never wrote it off. Then again, he'll be watching for some mixing after the front passes. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 4:30 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Pretty much every single poster in this thread has completely written today off. Not just in terms of severe, but getting any rain at all included. Keep the good fight. Some areas at least look to get something out of this. Expand i actually think we have chance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 4:32 PM, sauss06 said: i actually think we have chance. Expand I just instructed my wife via text to stop watering. She said why. I said because Jon said so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 4:34 PM, Itstrainingtime said: I just instructed my wife via text to stop watering. She said why. I said because Jon said so. Expand When a fireperson says you do not need to water, that is a good indication as he is our SME on water. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 How about that GFS pipedream of highs in the mid to upper 60's on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 4:40 PM, Bubbler86 said: How about that GFS pipedream of highs in the mid to upper 60's on Saturday. Expand Some people aren't going to like that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 4:40 PM, Bubbler86 said: How about that GFS pipedream of highs in the mid to upper 60's on Saturday. Expand GFS is very chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 4:43 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Some people aren't going to like that... Expand CMC is in the mid to upper 80's same time so just a talking fun talking point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 4:43 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Some people aren't going to like that... Expand Calling Voyager. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 Trashcan down! Yesterday was pickup day so it was light but my trashcan is down for the first time in a while. We are gusting into the upper 20's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 4:40 PM, Bubbler86 said: How about that GFS pipedream of highs in the mid to upper 60's on Saturday. Expand its on crack, toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 4:53 PM, Bubbler86 said: Trashcan down! Yesterday was pickup day so it was light but my trashcan is down for the first time in a while. We are gusting into the upper 20's. Expand Severe watch now up for NE PA. Storms are starting to fire out west...scattered in nature so far, let's see if they congeal into a line as the trek east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 5:01 PM, sauss06 said: its on crack, toss it. Expand Hopefully not Pillows crack! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/10/2022 at 10:58 AM, mahantango#1 said: And no the thermometers are not off. Yes lots of sun. I was roto tilling yesterday morning in our big garden for 2 hrs and I was drenched in sweat. And we went up to Sunbury around 4:30 yesterday (gates opened at 5) at Spyglass winery to see Jeff Dunham (great show by the way!) the sweat was just rolling off of my wife and I, and running down my a** crack too. I thought that it would be cooler up there being it was a little further north of us by 23 miles. But that was not the case. Also I noticed that the field corn the leaves are pointed up. That is a sign that the crop needs rain. Expand On 7/12/2022 at 5:01 PM, sauss06 said: its on crack, toss it. Expand What is it with cracks lately? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 Peruse as you wish: https://www.millersville.edu/weathercenter/forecasts/weather-discussion.php 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 Thunder in the distance and sky getting dark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 It’s definitely gusty out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 5:29 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Peruse as you wish: https://www.millersville.edu/weathercenter/forecasts/weather-discussion.php Expand Always like his discussions. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 12, 2022 Author Share Posted July 12, 2022 On 7/12/2022 at 4:43 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Some people aren't going to like that... Expand Namely me...lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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