Ahoff Posted June 16, 2022 Author Share Posted June 16, 2022 Two in a row. Officially 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Looking at the HRRR and RAP they aren’t really showing much if any convective development this afternoon. Hires NAM shows it a bit more, but all of the models show a very broken line and large breaks right over us. Radar is starting to develop out in central Ohio. Looking a little more robust than the earlier runs of the models . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Homie J Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 We got a severe thunderstorm watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 31 minutes ago, Homie J said: We got a severe thunderstorm watch Surprised it's not a tornado watch, since the Day 1 outlook has us in the 5% zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted June 16, 2022 Author Share Posted June 16, 2022 12 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: Surprised it's not a tornado watch, since the Day 1 outlook has us in the 5% zone. There is one further east. Maybe the better dynamics have shifted that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Ping pong sized hail reported just west of Pgh in Mercer County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Just now, north pgh said: Mesoscale Discussion 1191 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 PM CDT Thu Jun 16 2022 Areas affected...northeastern Ohio into western Pennsylvania. Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 375... Valid 161931Z - 162100Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 375 continues. SUMMARY...Ongoing storms, will continue eastward with a risk for damaging wind gusts and hail. Storms with supercellular characteristics are maturing suggesting a localized greater severe potential downstream into PA. DISCUSSION...As of 1915 UTC, regional radar analysis showed scattered thunderstorms maturing ahead of a pre frontal trough/lake breeze boundary across portions of northeastern OH and northwestern PA. Supercell characteristics have emerged on two of the more dominant storms (Ashtabula/Trumbull and Wayne/Holmes counties) in OH suggesting a locally greater risk of damaging wind gusts and severe hail. While lapse rates are not particularly steep (7 C/km), 40+ kt of effective shear from the 19z PBZ special sounding should continue to support supercells capable damaging winds and potentially hail near 2 inches. Additional severe storm development will be possible farther west into central OH, though uncertainty remains higher. ..Lyons.. 06/16/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CTP...PBZ...CLE...ILN... LAT...LON 40847917 40357930 40257969 40128032 40148083 40148185 40118275 40358279 40848212 41528111 41848033 41947964 41887931 41727921 41537915 41077915 40847917 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 We MIGHT get lucky. The northern cluster will miss us to the north and that cluster in Ohio likely will go south. There is still rain and convection in between but not to the levels of those two other groups. Just will have to watch how it develops. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Yep…looks like we will split the gap here at least with this first cluster. Really good news. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Serious question. How does the convection split like that? What is the inhibiting factor that is causing nothing in between two very impressive lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted June 16, 2022 Author Share Posted June 16, 2022 21 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Yep…looks like we will split the gap here at least with this first cluster. Really good news. Yeah, that is good news. Would we like it to cool down quicker, sure, but I'd rather there be less damage and stay hot, than be comfortable and damage be crazy. That 74 degree may hold on through midnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 2 hours ago, Ahoff said: Yeah, that is good news. Would we like it to cool down quicker, sure, but I'd rather there be less damage and stay hot, than be comfortable and damage be crazy. That 74 degree may hold on through midnight. Going to be close but already 76 at PIT. Interesting that this thing was completely dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 13 minutes ago, TimB said: Going to be close but already 76 at PIT. Interesting that this thing was completely dry. Its not going to hold. The clouds and outflow dropped it enough that I’d be shocked if it didn’t drop to 74. The dew point is also down to 65 (as of the top of the hour) so leaves room to drop some more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 I still have no clue how it didn’t rain in AGC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 11 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: Its not going to hold. The clouds and outflow dropped it enough that I’d be shocked if it didn’t drop to 74. The dew point is also down to 65 (as of the top of the hour) so leaves room to drop some more. Indeed 74 was reached at 7:45. A few spectacular days ahead and the next climo thing to watch is Sunday morning’s record low of 46, and I think we could get close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 1 hour ago, MikeB_01 said: I still have no clue how it didn’t rain in AGC . We have a weird bubble around us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 1 hour ago, MikeB_01 said: I still have no clue how it didn’t rain in AGC . Surprised not even a drop of rain. Glad I watered the garden yesterday. Central / SW OH getting blasted again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 Anyone else noticing the yellow sky? Crazy how comfortable it is out there. Very odd looking sky with sunset reflecting off these clouds. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 33 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: Anyone else noticing the yellow sky? Crazy how comfortable it is out there. Very odd looking sky with sunset reflecting off these clouds. Truly a gorgeous night out there, and a spectacular 3-4 day period ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 Well reading NWS Facebook page and the weenies in the comments sound just like us. Why do storms always miss us... etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 Anyone else noticing the yellow sky? Crazy how comfortable it is out there. Very odd looking sky with sunset reflecting off these clouds. What a great picture of some mammatus. Don’t see that too often around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted June 19, 2022 Share Posted June 19, 2022 On 6/16/2022 at 8:02 PM, TimB said: Indeed 74 was reached at 7:45. A few spectacular days ahead and the next climo thing to watch is Sunday morning’s record low of 46, and I think we could get close. Low at PIT was 46. Record tied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted June 21, 2022 Author Share Posted June 21, 2022 HRRR has us in the low 90s today, and around 95 tomorrow. NAM 3km has us upper 80s today and about 90 tomorrow. We will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted June 21, 2022 Share Posted June 21, 2022 Amazing how tolerable 90 with a dewpoint of 56 is compared to last Wednesday/Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted June 21, 2022 Author Share Posted June 21, 2022 33 minutes ago, dj3 said: Amazing how tolerable 90 with a dewpoint of 56 is compared to last Wednesday/Thursday. Thought the same thing. I could take this weather all summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted June 21, 2022 Share Posted June 21, 2022 Looks like a hybrid/Miller B snowstorm map. Yellow is the 12"+ area. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted June 22, 2022 Share Posted June 22, 2022 HRRR says upper 90s possible downtown tomorrow, with mid 90s around the airport. Would normally say these readings are unlikely but given upstream readings (was 100F in Toledo today), I'd say these aren't unreasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted June 22, 2022 Author Share Posted June 22, 2022 10 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said: HRRR says upper 90s possible downtown tomorrow, with mid 90s around the airport. Would normally say these readings are unlikely but given upstream readings (was 100F in Toledo today), I'd say these aren't unreasonable. It was throwing that out earlier too. If storms hold off or form further east, we could see some pretty high temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted June 22, 2022 Share Posted June 22, 2022 17 hours ago, CoraopolisWx said: Looks like a hybrid/Miller B snowstorm map. Yellow is the 12"+ area. Can't we get a 50 mile bump to the NW? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now