Snownado Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 40 minutes ago, Hoosier said: The answer is yes. 100 at Cairo. And don't give me the bs about 37.7C being 99.9F KCIR 132055Z AUTO 26009G15KT 10SM CLR 38/22 A2987 RMK AO2 T03770219 I'm not even sure Cairo is considered East of the MS River.Part of the MS River is East of Cairo and part of it is West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 13, 2022 Author Share Posted June 13, 2022 15 minutes ago, Snownado said: I'm not even sure Cairo is considered East of the MS River.Part of the MS River is East of Cairo and part of it is West. Yeah the geography there is a little funky. Since a portion of the river lies to the west of Cairo, this is good enough in my book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 89/81/110 imby. Soup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Dew hit 80 earlier, also at MLI. Temps only made it to 93 though at both locations as clouds obstructed the max potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 107 in Nebraska. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 100 is looking in question now for this area. Euro knocked a few degrees off of both tomorrow and Wed. Today's temps underachieved a bit as well, so this little heat wave may end up being kinda meh for here. 100 or bust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 16 minutes ago, hardypalmguy said: 107 in Nebraska. . Make that 108…North Platte 108/36/101. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 A welcome 1.5+ before the mini torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 Looking forward to our usual Iowa sloppy seconds Wednesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 3 hours ago, cyclone77 said: 100 is looking in question now for this area. Euro knocked a few degrees off of both tomorrow and Wed. Today's temps underachieved a bit as well, so this little heat wave may end up being kinda meh for here. 100 or bust. Was probably never realistically going to hit 100 out there anyway. The Euro was off it's rocker with the more widespread 100's, with unreasonable mixing. STL was the 100 or bust location, and they did manage to hit it today...With two more shots to go, to better that number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 14, 2022 Author Share Posted June 14, 2022 ORD got some decent rain today, but MDW did not (only 0.04" there). This brings me to tomorrow and my thoughts on hitting 100F in Chicago. ORD is the official observation site of course, but we pay attention to MDW too. 850 mb temps in the mid 20s C and mixing to that level would support 100F temps, but the issue is that progged mixing heights look to be a bit below that level. Based on this being such a marginal setup to begin with, today's rains, and temperature performance at ORD so far this warm season, I do not believe that ORD has a meaningful chance to hit the century mark tomorrow. MDW is a more interesting one. Given the lack of recent rain and it tending to run warmer than ORD, I believe there's a shot of touching 100 there... I'd give it maybe about a 40% chance at this point. Here's some "benchmark" temps that I'd want to see if MDW is to have a good chance of triple digits: 10 am: 89 Noon: 95 2 pm: 98 These are not hard rules, and failure to meet those marks wouldn't necessarily preclude a high of 100, but I think it's a pretty good guideline of target numbers to try to reach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: ORD got some decent rain today, but MDW did not (only 0.04" there). This brings me to tomorrow and my thoughts on hitting 100F in Chicago. ORD is the official observation site of course, but we pay attention to MDW too. 850 mb temps in the mid 20s C and mixing to that level would support 100F temps, but the issue is that progged mixing heights look to be a bit below that level. Based on this being such a marginal setup to begin with, today's rains, and temperature performance at ORD so far this warm season, I do not believe that ORD has a meaningful chance to hit the century mark tomorrow. MDW is a more interesting one. Given the lack of recent rain and it tending to run warmer than ORD, I believe there's a shot of touching 100 there... I'd give it maybe about a 40% chance at this point. Here's some "benchmark" temps that I'd want to see if MDW is to have a good chance of triple digits: 10 am: 89 Noon: 95 2 pm: 98 These are not hard rules, and failure to meet those marks wouldn't necessarily preclude a high of 100, but I think it's a pretty good guideline of target numbers to try to reach. I'll go 95 ORD and 98 MDW for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 14, 2022 Author Share Posted June 14, 2022 11 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: I'll go 95 ORD and 98 MDW for tomorrow. I am deathly afraid that MDW will get 99'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 14, 2022 Author Share Posted June 14, 2022 The 00z ILX RAOB had an 850 mb temp of 27.2C. That is a record for so early in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 91/79/108 was the best KIND could do before the MCS rolled through. Was kind of oppressive outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 14, 2022 Author Share Posted June 14, 2022 After a respite earlier (relatively speaking), the swamp azz air has advected back in here with temps/dews both near 80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 2 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: Was probably never realistically going to hit 100 out there anyway. The Euro was off it's rocker with the more widespread 100's, with unreasonable mixing. STL was the 100 or bust location, and they did manage to hit it today...With two more shots to go, to better that number. Still think there's a slight chance, but not as enthused about it as yesterday. What I meant by bust was if it doesn't hit 100 it's just kind of eh. We've already hit 96-97, so 98-99 doesn't really do much for me lol. Still impressive/significant, but gotta get those triples to excite me at this point. MLI has a heat index of 92 at midnight. Don't know how peeps survived this before AC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 14, 2022 Author Share Posted June 14, 2022 We'll see, but I wonder if early next week starts to bump hotter than it currently appears. It has more of a westerly component in the low level flow than what we are seeing now and in the short term, and in general and without regard to any localized influences, those days with more of a westerly aspect have tended to perform well wrt big heat in previous years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 on to the dust bowl of 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 maybe 4 u 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 For Hoosier… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 Still think there's a slight chance, but not as enthused about it as yesterday. What I meant by bust was if it doesn't hit 100 it's just kind of eh. We've already hit 96-97, so 98-99 doesn't really do much for me lol. Still impressive/significant, but gotta get those triples to excite me at this point. MLI has a heat index of 92 at midnight. Don't know how peeps survived this before AC. I keep forgetting a bit that there was that mid-May heat wave, as I wasn’t around for it.I’d obviously take any heat, but I do get your point. Just don’t get 99’d. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 i'll take that 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 got a beach party this afternoon for the last day of school at cps, conditions look ideal for being in the water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 ORD bottomed out at 65° last night/this morning, and is ‘only’ up to 69° as of 6AM. Looks like the warm front was kicked back south a bit across N IL overnight.Will be interesting to see how hot it gets and how accurate the HRRR is with a 98/99° high temp there for today. Can’t imagine there are many days around here that have started in the mid-upper 60’s, and finished near 100°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 gonna be a let down if we end up 94 or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 21 hours ago, beavis1729 said: This airmass is crazy for the heart of summer, but especially mid-June. Low this morning of 81 in Paducah KY, which ties the all-time June record warm min (81 on 6/23/2016). Low this morning of 83 in St. Louis MO, which is an all-time Jume record warm min (82 on 6/25/1988). And, it's already 86/78/98 at 8 AM. I'm assuming these mins will hold through midnight...which should be no problem given the capping there. Jume is my new fav month. I like the sound of that. After the clouds rolled back in mid-afternoon yesterday like they seem to around here, its nice to see my forecast bust hard for this morning. Blue skies instead of light rain and more of the grey effluence. I thought this was possible due to the encouraging trends on radar late last night. May that bump my highs up, I'm sick of feeling cold in Jume. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 10 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Looking forward to our usual Iowa sloppy seconds Wednesday night. I get sloppy seconds too. Good thing it at least comes with rain for the plants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 DVN had a low of 80 this morning, and MLI had a heat index of 90 at 3am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: got a beach party this afternoon for the last day of school at cps, conditions look ideal for being in the water Still in school? My kids were out May 20th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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