CheeselandSkies Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 Showers made it into Dane County on fumes, no lightning left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 29, 2022 Author Share Posted June 29, 2022 6 hours ago, Hoosier said: Mid 90s look to be in play on Thursday around Chicago, probably even at ORD but certainly at least MDW. What the heck, I'll take a crack. Deep mixing and dry(ing) ground should allow for getting the most out of this airmass even with 850 mb temps probably just below 20C. I'll go 96 at MDW and 94 at ORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 Nice light show in the northern sky right now as the decaying Iowa sloppy seconds try to slink south into this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 Managed an early am soak 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 15 hours ago, frostfern said: A few models show a general half-inch, but GRR isn't buying it. I still say better chance of a spoiler with around 0.25" area wide, but could be lower locally. Cellular activity often finds a way to dance around GRR this year. Even the north side of town isn't quite so parched as the southeast because of some more hefty nocturnal cells just barely missing around the 13th/14th. 0.53" this morning at GRR. So much for less than 1" of rain in June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 .37 inches of water from last night's decaying mess. Better than nothing I guess. Would really appreciate more t-storms though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 29, 2022 Author Share Posted June 29, 2022 About this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 29, 2022 Author Share Posted June 29, 2022 Midway is killing it. 850 mb temps around 15-16C, not even getting an opportunity at full heating with the lake breeze moving through and they're still flirting with 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted June 29, 2022 Share Posted June 29, 2022 What the heck, I'll take a crack. Deep mixing and dry(ing) ground should allow for getting the most out of this airmass even with 850 mb temps probably just below 20C. I'll go 96 at MDW and 94 at ORD.I went 95 MDW, 94 RFD, and 93 ORD. Your call is definitely reasonable. The two degree difference between MDW and ORD seems about right. Today they were more uniform because the lake breeze went through MDW slightly earlier than ORD. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 29, 2022 Author Share Posted June 29, 2022 17 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: I went 95 MDW, 94 RFD, and 93 ORD. Your call is definitely reasonable. The two degree difference between MDW and ORD seems about right. Today they were more uniform because the lake breeze went through MDW slightly earlier than ORD. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk I was contemplating 95 and 93 but ultimately went a degree higher. Can't really go wrong too much as tomorrow is a pretty high confidence/low potential spread kind of day with full sun (or almost full sun) and good mixing. I would be a bit surprised if the highs are anything other than 93/94 at ORD and 95/96 at MDW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 There remains a signal within the various model output that the environment may become marginally conducive to organized convection, including supercells, in a narrow corridor north of the international border (across parts of southeastern Ontario into the St. Lawrence Valley) by late Friday afternoon. However, given the rather weak forecast boundary-layer instability across this region, it seems probable that this activity will tend to weak as it spreads into a less unstable air mass near and southeast of the international border Friday evening. July 1 in S/E ON. I got 6.6 mm of rain this morning. Nice evening now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 89'd both here and MLI today. EDIT: Ended up tagging 90 here after all. MLI underachieved again. If MLI had the MDW sensor they would have prob hit 92 lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 Just heard first cicada. Think it's even earlier than last year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 93 at Wilmar MN at 1:15am ob from heat burst. Very impressive winds associated with heat burst the past few hours up in that area, with one of the AWOS stations west of Wilmar hitting 75mph a bit earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 30, 2022 Author Share Posted June 30, 2022 More colorful this week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 MDW and ORD both at 89° currently. An area of cirrus moving through, leveling the playing field a bit.So it appears sunny days with S-SW-W winds is when MDW outperforms all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 30, 2022 Author Share Posted June 30, 2022 52 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: MDW and ORD both at 89° currently. An area of cirrus moving through, leveling the playing field a bit. So it appears sunny days with S-SW-W winds is when MDW outperforms all. MDW out to a lead again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 30, 2022 Author Share Posted June 30, 2022 92 MDW, 90 ORD Something I noticed is that dews are still in the upper 50s at the Chicago sites. The more aggressive guidance had them mixed out into the mid 50s by now. Not a huge difference, but I wonder if it's an indication of mixing depth lacking just a hair up to this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 Dryline weather again. Windy with low dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 Mid 80's here today with low dews on a gusty W/SW wind. Feels real nice. But it looks like 70's after today for a few days. Even some upper 60's here in town with some of that lake wind forecast. Upper 70's is the norm max temp this time of year. June precip norm is 4.23", and we ended up at 3.02". For YTD the norm is 13.89", and we are at 15.57". So we are doing ok here. Temp average for the YTD is 34.5F, and we stand at 29.9F, which reflects how cold the start of the year was into the spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: 92 MDW, 90 ORD Something I noticed is that dews are still in the upper 50s at the Chicago sites. The more aggressive guidance had them mixed out into the mid 50s by now. Not a huge difference, but I wonder if it's an indication of mixing depth lacking just a hair up to this point. 94 MDW and 91 ORD currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 On 6/29/2022 at 8:18 AM, WestMichigan said: 0.53" this morning at GRR. So much for less than 1" of rain in June. And all it did was make the stat record more boring. It's not like the pattern will change for July. We need like three inches to really put a dent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 GRR mentioned anomalously high mid-level pressure over the south pushing all the gulf moisture the into the SW US. The monsoon started way early in the desert SW. Colorado front range could see flooding storms at some point. That's where our moisture is being stolen to. They need the rain too... but it's kind of a weird pattern and it's supposed to persist for at least another week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 Final high temps for today across the area... 94 MDW 92 ORD 92 RFD 94 Ex-Home 90°+ day tally for the year... 15 - MDW15 - RFD12 - Ex-Home11 - Current Home9 - ORD Edit: Also, had a sneaky high of 90 at ex-home yesterday as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 30, 2022 Author Share Posted June 30, 2022 16 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Final high temps for today across the area... 94 MDW 92 ORD 92 RFD 94 Ex-Home 90°+ day tally for the year... 15 - MDW15 - RFD11 - Current Home11 - Ex-Home9 - ORD I've been 1-2 degrees too high at the airports like 3 times in a row now. A little annoying, but that is probably easier to "fix" than missing in both directions. Noted for next time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 90 at MLI and also here today. Corn is 5-6ft tall in most fields now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 Final high temps for today across the area... 94 MDW 92 ORD 92 RFD 94 Ex-Home 90°+ day tally for the year... 15 - MDW15 - RFD11 - Current Home11 - Ex-Home9 - ORDBy the way, I can confirm ORD did not run cool today.MDW is clearly just doing something special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 Today makes #14 AOA 90 here. Last I looked MLI was a few ahead so they are prob 15-16ish. Next year we should have a poll for how many 89s at ORD and other sites lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 1, 2022 Author Share Posted July 1, 2022 June finished +1.6 at ORD and +1.1 at RFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 On 6/30/2022 at 11:19 AM, Hoosier said: More colorful this week Wow, I didn't realize how dry it's been over such a large expanse. I was just looking at the numbers since around June 14/15, and parts of multiple states have seen essentially no rainfall over that period. Erie, PA (0.02"), several sites in Indiana with only a few hundredths of an inch, Detroit, MI (0.11"). Most sites under a quarter of an inch, with a few 1"+ but those were generally from one or two hit-or-miss events over that stretch. Even in eastern IA, it looks better with 2"+ generally but almost all of that from a single day. And other locations (i.e., Burlington) show little if any rain over that stretch (0.17"). The dryness extends all the way into western New York - Buffalo has had less than 1/3 of an inch since June 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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