lee59 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 Picked up .60 inch of rain in about 25 minutes, similar to last night without the thunder and lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 Flash flooding in the bx..Pelham Pkwy..Laconia, williamsbridge rd. Pelham Pkwy subway station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 1.4" in not much more than a half hour. It was fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2022 Author Share Posted June 2, 2022 Another heavy downpour here in SW Suffolk. So the first two days of a June produced heavy downpours. The blocking and Great Lakes trough continues for the next few weeks on the EPS. So more chances for convection from time to time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 Are we done with the rain for this evening, or is there more to come? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 Picked up another 0.61” of rain from this storm so 2 day total is now at 1.66” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 1 hour ago, Rmine1 said: Are we done with the rain for this evening, or is there more to come? HRRR and 3K NAM have one last round overnight-not as heavy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 Missed everything here today...83° high with 0.19" overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 A cold front triggered heavy thunderstorms this evening producing highway flooding in parts of the New York City area and Westchester County. A few more showers and thundershowers are possible overnight into tomorrow morning. Afterward, a period of more seasonable temperatures will follow. During the closing week of May, the MJO moved through Phase 6 with an amplitude as high as 1.909. The only case with an MJO passage through Phase 6 with an amplitude of 1.500 or above during that timeframe was 1998. In 1998, the second half of June was noticeably warmer than the first half. The MJO's ongoing progression and the state of Atlantic blocking could impact the outcome for the second half of June. The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. Based on how the pattern has been evolving during the spring transition to summer, it is more likely than not that the warmest anomalies of the summer will likely occur in July and August with June being the coolest of the three months in the Northeast. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.0°C for the week centered around May 25. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.55°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -1.08°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the summer. The SOI was -13.57 today. That was the second consecutive day on which the SOI was below 0. The last time that happened was during February 13-16 when the SOI was negative for four consecutive days. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -2.646 today. The old daily record was -1.652 from 1993. On May 31 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 1.910 (RMM). The May 30-adjusted amplitude was 2.033 (RMM). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 3, 2022 Share Posted June 3, 2022 56 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: HRRR and 3K NAM have one last round overnight-not as heavy Ty. Looks like it’s in mid Pa right now. Humidity is brutal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 3, 2022 Share Posted June 3, 2022 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: HRRR and 3K NAM have one last round overnight-not as heavy NWS basically killed the second round chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted June 3, 2022 Share Posted June 3, 2022 0.62" Wed 0.18" Thurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 3, 2022 Share Posted June 3, 2022 13 hours ago, bluewave said: Another heavy downpour here in SW Suffolk. So the first two days of a June produced heavy downpours. The blocking and Great Lakes trough continues for the next few weeks on the EPS. Some hints of a slow moving closed low as we head into mid-June. So several more opportunities for heavy convection at times. Don’t tell @winterwarlock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 3, 2022 Share Posted June 3, 2022 Morning thoughts… Clouds, showers, and mist will give way to increasing sunshine. High temperatures will reach the upper 70s and lower 80s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 78° Newark: 81° Philadelphia: 83° Fair weather with near seasonable temperatures will continue into early next week. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 76.0°; 15-Year: 76.2° Newark: 30-Year: 77.8°; 15-Year: 78.2° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 79.4°; 15-Year: 79.9° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 3, 2022 Share Posted June 3, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 73degs.(64/82) or +2. Reached 76 here yesterday. Today: 72-77, wind variable e. to nw, cloudy early, then improving, 62 tomorrow AM. Still no 90's till mid-month. 65*(99%RH) here at 7am. FOG, about 1mi. 67* at 9am, same FOG. 66* at Noon, same FOG. 68* at 2pm, Fog Lifting? 69*/70* at 3pm, 4pm, fog mostly lifted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 3, 2022 Author Share Posted June 3, 2022 We are shifting the persistent June over the top warm pattern of the last 5 years. The record heat in the Upper Plains to Great Lakes is getting replaced by a cooler trough. So lower chances of any extended 90° heat for a while. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 3, 2022 Share Posted June 3, 2022 Looking like a gorgeous weekend (Fri 63 - tue 6/7) and start of early work week, before some unsettled weather arrives by mid next week and may linger. Temps capped in the upper 70s to low 80s the next 10 days or so. Its likely till fathers day weekend the next shot at summer heat (pegging Jun 17 as transition) / we'll see how the second half of June evolves. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted June 3, 2022 Share Posted June 3, 2022 7 hours ago, bluewave said: We are shifting the persistent June over the top warm pattern of the last 5 years. The record heat in the Upper Plains to Great Lakes is getting replaced by a cooler trough. So lower chances of any extended 90° heat for a while. NYC can still have a very hot summer even without ANY 90 degree days in June. Two cases in point, 1955, and 1977. WX/PT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 3, 2022 Share Posted June 3, 2022 14 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: NYC can still have a very hot summer even without ANY 90 degree days in June. Two cases in point, 1955, and 1977. WX/PT 1955 also saw the kind of strong blocking currently in place during the first 10 days of June. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 3, 2022 Author Share Posted June 3, 2022 51 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: NYC can still have a very hot summer even without ANY 90 degree days in June. Two cases in point, 1955, and 1977. WX/PT The 1955 and 1977 summers weren’t really that hot compared to recent standards. But the 1955 was much warmer than 1977. The summer of 1977 was mostly remembered for the famous 9 day heatwave in mid-July. JJA 1977 only finished +0.6 relative to that cooler era. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 3, 2022 Share Posted June 3, 2022 The weekend into early next week will feature abundant sunshine and close to seasonable temperatures. Sunday will likely be the coolest day. No excessive heat appears likely through at least most of next week. During the closing week of May, the MJO moved through Phase 6 with an amplitude as high as 1.909. The only case with an MJO passage through Phase 6 with an amplitude of 1.500 or above during that timeframe was 1998. In 1998, the second half of June was noticeably warmer than the first half. The MJO's ongoing progression and the state of Atlantic blocking could impact the outcome for the second half of June. The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. Based on how the pattern has been evolving during the spring transition to summer, it is more likely than not that the warmest anomalies of the summer will likely occur in July and August with June being the coolest of the three months in the Northeast. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.0°C for the week centered around May 25. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.55°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -1.08°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the summer. The SOI was +1.62 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -2.756 today. The previous daily record low was -1.770, which was set in 1985. On June 1 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 1.913 (RMM). The May 31-adjusted amplitude was 1.912 (RMM). 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 4, 2022 Share Posted June 4, 2022 4 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: NYC can still have a very hot summer even without ANY 90 degree days in June. Two cases in point, 1955, and 1977. WX/PT some NYC heat records... Hottest weeks...1977 is tied for the hottest week but had the highest ave max...1955 had two hot weeks on this list... high low mean max .. 98.0 76.9 87.4 102 7/07-7/13 1993 98.4 76.3 87.4 104 7/15-7/21 1977 98.3 76.0 87.1 102 8/29-9/04 1953 95.1 78.9 87.0 .98. 8/05-8/11 1896 95.7 77.9 86.8 104 7/18-7/24 2011 94.6 79.0 86.8 .98. 7/14-7/20 2013 95.3 78.0 86.7 .99. 8/09-8/15 1988 96.6 75.1 85.9 102 8/11-8/17 1944 96.1 75.2 85.7 100 8/01-8/07 1955 95.3 75.9 85.6 103 8/04-8/10 2001 94.9 76.1 85.5 102 7/16-7/22 1980 97.3 73.6 85.4 102 7/17-7/23 1991 95.7 75.1 85.4 .98. 8/28-9/03 1973 94.1 76.7 85.4 .96. 7/12-7/18 1981 94.3 76.4 85.4 103 7/04-7/10 2010 95.4 75.1 85.3 100 7/17-7/23 1955 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted June 4, 2022 Share Posted June 4, 2022 4 hours ago, bluewave said: The 1955 and 1977 summers weren’t really that hot compared to recent standards. But the 1955 was much warmer than 1977. The summer of 1977 was mostly remembered for the famous 9 day heatwave in mid-July. JJA 1977 only finished +0.6 relative to that cooler era. Isn't 1955 the record holder for 95 degree days though? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 4, 2022 Share Posted June 4, 2022 5 minutes ago, WarrenCtyWx said: Isn't 1955 the record holder for 95 degree days though? Yes. It had 16 such days. 1988 is second with 14. That’s at Central Park. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 4, 2022 Share Posted June 4, 2022 Extreme heat days 95 or higher..... 16 in 1955 14 in 1988 12 in 1953 12 in 1993 12 in 1999 12 in 2002 10 in 1944 10 in 1980 9.. in 2005 9.. in 1983 9.. in 1966 8.. in 1963 8.. in 1991 8.. in 2010 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted June 4, 2022 Share Posted June 4, 2022 This is fantasy range for the GFS but it may worth noting that this heat was gone on 3 out of the last 4 runs of the model. Let's wait a few more days before believing this kind of thing. If it's right, we will have 90+ days during the middle of June. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 4, 2022 Share Posted June 4, 2022 On 6/2/2022 at 5:53 PM, bluewave said: Another heavy downpour here in SW Suffolk. So the first two days of a June produced heavy downpours. The blocking and Great Lakes trough continues for the next few weeks on the EPS. So more chances for convection from time to time. It makes it very yucky and humid, Friday was disappointing, not much sun at all, I guess that was a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 4, 2022 Share Posted June 4, 2022 4 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Yes. It had 16 such days. 1988 is second with 14. That’s at Central Park. For JFK it's 2010 bar none..... 10 days of 95+ and 3 days of 100+ Is that the record year for the other airports too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 4, 2022 Share Posted June 4, 2022 9 hours ago, bluewave said: The 1955 and 1977 summers weren’t really that hot compared to recent standards. But the 1955 was much warmer than 1977. The summer of 1977 was mostly remembered for the famous 9 day heatwave in mid-July. JJA 1977 only finished +0.6 relative to that cooler era. 1977 had authentic blazing heat though, rather than just high min days The good old 11 year pattern! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 4, 2022 Share Posted June 4, 2022 10 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: 1955 also saw the kind of strong blocking currently in place during the first 10 days of June. and a lot of tropical activity. July 1955 set the average monthly temp record at NYC until July 2010 came along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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