winterwarlock Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Another night of downpours. another??? there really havent been that many imby and its not doing anything right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 7 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: another??? there really havent been that many imby and its not doing anything right now Under a flash flood warning now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 Constant low rumbles of thunder here with the cell just south of Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 pouring now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 .75 and pouring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 Just now, Allsnow said: .75 and pouring 0.71 so far with moderate rain currently. Have a little more to move thru yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 comfy night of thunder and rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 Round 2 incoming for N Nassau and Suffolk. Also looks like a very slow moving cell around Hempstead/Uniondale. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 .89 here so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 Slipping to the south and east finally: Only a few cloud to ground strikes near me. Started near 8pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Yeah I don't expect much. Pretty stable out there too Tomorrow might be better but I have a feeling it'll miss north tonight and then miss south tomorrow. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 love it. nighttime rain and thunder boomers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 Some pretty good lightning strikes and maybe some gusts to 30 mph with the storm passing through 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 38 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: 0.71 so far with moderate rain currently. Have a little more to move thru yet. Yup. Getting close to a inch now. @winterwarlock how much did you get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 Just picked up .60 inch of rain in a half hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 Extended rounds of t storms continue. Some scattered pockets of power outages around as well, from lightening strikes I'm assuming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 I wonder if that other line working through East-Central PA will make it here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 Had some heavy rain and intense lightning/thunder when the storms began to move thru around 9:30 pm. Picked up 1.06" of rain for the day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 Looks like the rain is over for now, picked up 1.05” of rain here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Yup. Getting close to a inch now. @winterwarlock how much did you get? It has been one downpour after another tonight. Most of them brief, but it has added up to 1.25 here so far. A decent amount of lightning too, but not much wind. Nothing like the strong storm we had last night with the 40 to 50mph wind gusts, but a good soaking tonight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 15 hours ago, bluewave said: The effective range of most ensemble guidance is only about 7 to sometimes 15 days. We have been experiencing some very big swings in our weather recently. So trying to figure out the patterns beyond 2 weeks is usually pretty low skill. why has the skill continued to be so low at this range? It's disappointing how little advancement we've seen over the past 20 years in medium to long range forecasting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 Picked up 0.40" of rain so far today. Two day total of 1.46" Current temp 62 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 Morning thoughts… Today will be mostly cloudy with afternoon or evening thunderstorms, some of which could be strong or severe. High temperatures will reach the upper 70s and lower 80s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 77° Newark: 80° Philadelphia: 85° Fair weather with near seasonable temperatures will develop tomorrow and continue into early next week. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 75.7°; 15-Year: 76.0° Newark: 30-Year: 77.4°; 15-Year: 77.9° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 79.1°; 15-Year: 79.6° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 0.81” in the rain gauge since yesterday evening. Looks like another potentially active day today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 72degs.(64/80) or +1. Reached 68 here yesterday. Today: 72-78, wind w. to n. to e., rain 2pm-8pm, 64 tomorrow AM. 64*(99%RH) here at 7am.{was 61 at midnight} 68* at 9am. 70* at 11am. 72* at Noon. 75* at 3pm. 77* at 4pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 .93 inch of rain from last nights storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2022 Author Share Posted June 2, 2022 Wettest start to meteorological summer at JFK since 2003. The 1.36 nearly tied the daily record. So heavy rains just one day after the record heat. Data for June 1 - JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Date Max Temperature Min Temperature Precipitation Snowfall Snow Depth 2003-06-01 66 54 1.37 0.0 0 2022-06-01 67 59 1.36 M M 1975-06-01 75 66 1.35 0.0 0 2018-06-01 75 63 1.18 0.0 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 9 hours ago, Allsnow said: Yup. Getting close to a inch now. @winterwarlock how much did you get? .75 about total from 2 showers. Hardly earthshattering. It had been almost 5 days since previous rain so I am still wondering about the "another night of downpours" comment Also im looking at the forecasts for next 7-10 days and it looks seasonal with plenty of nice days with the usual rain chances every so often. A gorgeous stretch of 3 days beginning Friday 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted June 2, 2022 Share Posted June 2, 2022 .75 in the rain gauge here from t-storms overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2022 Author Share Posted June 2, 2022 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: why has the skill continued to be so low at this range? It's disappointing how little advancement we've seen over the past 20 years in medium to long range forecasting Models were lucky to get the forecast right a day or two in advance during the 70s and 80s. Then the Euro did really well with the March 1993 storm of the century and January 1996 blizzard. Sometimes the Euro seasonal can do well with a 3 month forecast like it did last summer. But winter seasonal forecasts have much less skill. Probably too difficult to get the state of the polar vortex and MJO correct very far in advance. AI may need to be added to the models to have a chance at pushing beyond the 2 week limit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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