gravitylover Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 .3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Picked up 0.60" of rain so far today. Current temp 75/DP 64/RH 70% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 .03 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 2 hours ago, BucksCO_PA said: 1.93" this morning, monsoon between 8:30-9:00 dropped over an inch Big dump in Bucks County just west of Trenton. I had 0.95” with the worst conditions around 8:00 AM. Nonstop lightning and thunder for 2 hours here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Much of central and NE Pennsylvania under a tornado watch now with the exception of the Mt. Holly CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Tatamy said: Much of central and NE Pennsylvania under a tornado watch now with the exception of the Mt. Holly CWA. Much of central and northern New York (west of the Adirondacks) also under a tornado watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Looks like some big hailers across NE Ohio and NW PA at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Two tornado warned storms along the north shore of Lake Ontario near Belleville, ON as shown on Reed Timmer’s FB page. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 16, 2022 Author Share Posted June 16, 2022 Friday will be another one of our brief warm up days. Then the low temperatures fall into the 50s by Sunday morning. So a continuation of the blocking pattern for a while longer. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Historic cold this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 16, 2022 Author Share Posted June 16, 2022 First model guess for the start of July Is a ridge in the Rockies and Plains. Some hint of a continuing trough near New England. Also a bit of a -EPO +PNA pattern. The wild card may how much blocking verifies SE of Greenland. Stronger blocking there would keep more of a trough in New England. But a weaker block in the North Atlantic could allow a stronger WAR to link up with the ridge to our west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 53 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Historic cold this weekend? Central park's record low is 52 Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 14 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Central park's record low is 52 Sunday we should raise all the record lows by 5 degrees so we can reach them again 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, forkyfork said: we should raise all the record lows by 5 degrees so we can reach them again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 the lowest temp so far this month in CP is 57...one of the warmest on record...its possible NYC could see 56 over the weekend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 28 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Central park's record low is 52 Sunday Not often you see low 50s this time of year. Probably won't see that again until late August or September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Newark NJ record lows for the week... 6/16 52 in 1946 53 in 1933 54 in 1961 6/17 52 in 1950 52 in 1948 53 in 1965+ 6/18 49 in 1950 52 in 1959 53 in 1958+ 6/19 53 in 1954 54 in 1965 55 in 1956+ 6/20 52 in 1956 53 in 1940 54 in 1959 6/21 46 in 1940 54 in 1968 56 in 1947 6/22 48 in 1940 52 in 1947 54 in 1992 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Not often you see low 50s this time of year. Probably won't see that again until late August or September. I doubt they drop much below 60 but they'll probably have a high in the upper 60s Saturday barring a midnight high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Newark NJ record low max for the week... 6/16 65 in 1965 65 in 1959 65 in 1954 6/17 62 in 1959 65 in 1978 66 in 2003+ 6/18 64 in 1947 66 in 1932 67 in 2009+ 6/19 58 in 1935 64 in 1950 67 in 1991+ 6/20 62 in 1958 65 in 1946 68 in 1956 6/21 63 in 2003 66 in 1958 66 in 1952 6/22 63 in 1952 67 in 1992 68 in 2003+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Line looks pretty lame right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Crazy to think it's been cooler then most have expected up to now, minus a couple of warm days/ weeks. We have been fairly close to average, with no big sustained heat in the 10 day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 First 15 days now versus last year, we're warmer last year ironically. We're at 1.9+ for islip so far. 0.7+ for lugardia 1.5+ Kennedy 1.2+ central park 3.6+ Newark area, big jump 1.6+ okx/ Upton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 16, 2022 Share Posted June 16, 2022 Tomorrow will be a very warm day with readings reaching the upper 80s in New York City and perhaps lower 90s in Newark and Philadelphia. Much cooler air will return for the weekend. The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. Based on how the pattern has been evolving during the spring transition to summer, it is more likely than not that the warmest anomalies of the summer will likely occur in July and August with June being the coolest of the three months in the Northeast. The latest ECMWF monthly forecast indicates that July will be warmer than June relative to normal and that August will be the warmest summer month relative to normal. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around June 8. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.28°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -1.00°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the summer. The SOI was +16.52 today. The SOI was unchanged from yesterday. The last time that happened was December 24-25, 2020. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.056 today. On June 14 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.587 (RMM). The June 13-adjusted amplitude was 1.338 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 52% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 72.2° (0.2° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 Islip low temperatures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 It's going to feel like October on Saturday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 bust on tonights rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 i might have to wear a hoodie and a jacket on saturday and have the heat turned on saturday night.. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 Low 70s for father's day on the models for the NYC area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 17, 2022 Share Posted June 17, 2022 Morning thoughts… Today will be mostly sunny and very warm. High temperatures will reach the upper 80s and lower 90s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 89° Newark: 94° Philadelphia: 95° Much cooler air will arrive for the weekend. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 80.3°; 15-Year: 80.1° Newark: 30-Year: 82.5°; 15-Year: 82.5° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 83.8°; 15-Year: 84.0° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 17, 2022 Author Share Posted June 17, 2022 While today will be one of our few 90° days this month, we have had a top 10 warmest June 1st to 15th. The new much warmer 1991-2020 climate normals really reduces the departures. In our new warmer climate, a lack of extended heat makes things feel cooler. Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Jun 15 Missing Count 1 2008-06-15 71.8 0 2 1999-06-15 71.7 0 3 1973-06-15 71.4 0 4 1984-06-15 71.2 0 5 2005-06-15 70.1 0 6 2021-06-15 69.1 0 7 2010-06-15 68.8 0 8 2011-06-15 68.7 0 9 2022-06-15 68.6 0 - 1991-06-15 68.6 0 10 2014-06-15 68.5 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Jun 15 Missing Count 1 1973-06-15 76.9 0 2 1984-06-15 76.2 0 3 2008-06-15 76.1 0 4 2005-06-15 75.9 0 5 1994-06-15 75.2 0 6 2021-06-15 74.9 0 7 1999-06-15 74.5 0 8 2022-06-15 73.9 0 9 1992-06-15 73.6 0 10 2010-06-15 73.5 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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