moneypitmike Posted June 22, 2022 Share Posted June 22, 2022 The sun's finally come out. Better late than never. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 22, 2022 Share Posted June 22, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Tooorrccchh!! He musta been using the NAM then 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 22, 2022 Share Posted June 22, 2022 rounds of heavy rain here-never cracked 60 today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 22, 2022 Share Posted June 22, 2022 9 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: rounds of heavy rain here-never cracked 60 today. Never Phil ‘d McCracken? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted June 22, 2022 Share Posted June 22, 2022 30 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: rounds of heavy rain here-never cracked 60 today. Likely a midnight high at BDL, -19. Low will be -1 or so. Should just about erase the monthly positive departure, if briefly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted June 22, 2022 Share Posted June 22, 2022 39 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: rounds of heavy rain here-never cracked 60 today. Ended up with 1.12” High of 61. 6.13” of rain on the month somehow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 22, 2022 Share Posted June 22, 2022 22 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Ended up with 1.12” High of 61. 6.13” of rain on the month somehow. crappy day-we've had warmer days in Feb this year...LOL At least it was a workday and not a weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22, 2022 Share Posted June 22, 2022 58 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Ended up with 1.12” High of 61. 6.13” of rain on the month somehow. Better to get that precip now vs winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22, 2022 Share Posted June 22, 2022 And a wet May there too. The only anti stein Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 22, 2022 Share Posted June 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: And a wet May there too. The only anti stein Only 2 wet spots in SNE is SW CT and Ginx area in SE CT . Everyone else Stein Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted June 22, 2022 Share Posted June 22, 2022 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Only 2 wet spots in SNE is SW CT and Ginx area in SE CT . Everyone else Stein Pretty much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 22, 2022 Share Posted June 22, 2022 We got zero sun today. Clouds and drizzle with occasional heavier showers. .60” the past 24 hours. Weekend temperatures keep creeping higher and higher for the CRV. I’m helping out with the Green River Festival this weekend. If we are doing 92/68 there should be plenty of heat exhaustion to keep the medical tent busy. Maybe pull a 95 somewhere in Connecticut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Pretty much Look at the MT Tolland Jack . Glad it’s not winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 19 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Pretty much Yeah it’s been pretty dry here. The rain is welcome. At the very least it’s a change of pace. Clearly I wouldn’t do well in San Diego. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 22 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Pretty much Without even looking at my data, that jives with the feel of what has been going on here in SVT. Every rain event seems to be .14"-- barely wetting the ground under trees. Wouldn't mind some dews to maybe get some storms at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 At what level does Stein kick in? Is it anything below normal or is there like a standard deviation level where you are “Steined?” Sometimes it seems everyone who isn’t seeing well above normal water is seeing Stein . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 22 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said: Without even looking at my data, that jives with the feel of what has been going on here in SVT. Every rain event seems to be .14"-- barely wetting the ground under trees. Wouldn't mind some dews to maybe get some storms at least. We’ve got a bigger departure than Mt Tolland up here but it hasn’t felt that way for sure. Weymouth only at -0.29” too? I figured SNE was a desert from the posts here. Looks like NNE/CNE is worse . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 19 minutes ago, powderfreak said: At what level does Stein kick in? Is it anything below normal or is there like a standard deviation level where you are “Steined?” Sometimes it seems everyone who isn’t seeing well above normal water is seeing Stein . : 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 30 minutes ago, powderfreak said: At what level does Stein kick in? Is it anything below normal or is there like a standard deviation level where you are “Steined?” Sometimes it seems everyone who isn’t seeing well above normal water is seeing Stein . It's ridiculous. We got enough rain for 4 years last year. Relax... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: We got zero sun today. Clouds and drizzle with occasional heavier showers. .60” the past 24 hours. Weekend temperatures keep creeping higher and higher for the CRV. I’m helping out with the Green River Festival this weekend. If we are doing 92/68 there should be plenty of heat exhaustion to keep the medical tent busy. Maybe pull a 95 somewhere in Connecticut? Looking like 90/64 for Sat/Sun. deep deep summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Pretty much In the last 30 days the Btown coop is at 4.28" not including today's rainfall. That's probably AOA. Kudos to BOX for getting that data online. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 Little time sensitive but present IR channels reveal a sizeable warm eddy seclusion has severed and meandered N of the g-stream axis. … about 250 naut mi SE of Cape Cod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saguaro Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 7 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: I had been watching it all morning ...because I have such a richly fulfilling and meaningful life otherwise ... and it's been interesting to see this rarity of improved conditions materializing from the Labradorian region - it's almost like the curse tried to hard and over shot. Lol Bust seriously it's got to be a unique synopsis to drive this total scenario like this. Over the next 30 hours, we see the closure of mid level circulation then drive west some 350 naut mi of distance from 65 W to nearly 72 W, some 3 standard non-hydrostatic intervals of depth ... That's an unusual feature and trajectory combination at this time of year. That sort of retrograde motion is more apt to occur in Feb and March, for seasonal reasons/concepts. But in doing so, this bulging west of the warm front and associated cloud band did seem to happen in lock-step with the backing 500 mb flow that is currently taking place S of NS. It's ironic that a close 500 mb/u/A low causes nice weather to happen on the coast? like wtf chuck - It reminded me of my years living in socal. We'd get stuck in those May Gray/June Gloom patterns where the onshow flore/marine layer wouldn't budge for several days on end. When it was badly entrenched enough there'd sometimes be what LOX called "reverse clearing," where the immediate coast broke out in sun while inland was boned and never cleared out. That warm front ground to a screeching halt in central NY. Usually they make it to at least the merrimack valley this time of year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 Most of us are well below normal with rain so we Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 Deficits since Jan 1st. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 Steinafornia dreamin on such a summers day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 No prolonged heat in sight after our two day taste of summer this weekend. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 40 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: No prolong heat in sight after our two day taste of summer this weekend. Near record lows here are in S FL this am which is laughable. Last 3 days have been fantastic in the 85-88 range with a nice east wind…..Not so much Orlando and points north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 19 hours ago, Saguaro said: I just don't think this will be a summer for any kind of heat in NE. I've seen this type of regime settle in for many of the summers of the 2010s and it's all too familiar. There's a burst of heat in May and then a pattern change where the door slams shut for the remainder of the warm season. More often than not, May ends up having the highest daily temperatures of the season. We've even just had the requisite horror show we went through over the weekend which is a staple of these types of summer patterns. Sunday we were in the 40s and lower 50s all day with thick overcast and afternoon rain. Even back in January and February I don't recall any day that chilly and miserable in Phoenix. Another thing of note is how these 23-25c 850 temps moving well into Ontario and Quebec at the moment are absolutely obliterated once they try moving east of the Tug hill longitude. There's even some kind of cyclonic circulation backing into NE from the atlantic while that's happening. Depends on what we mean by 'heat' in this context. If we're dancing around the notion of 'big' as an adjective? I'm inclined to agree - but inclination isn't an outright sale, either. Lol. No but it's likely to be 90/59 on Saturday, and perhaps 92/62 on Sunday or whatever ( I have spent retentive time on it this morning...) Even though the 850 mb kinetic expulsion goes through that aspect you noted, where it collapses roughly BUF's longitude, the 850s are warm nonetheless. Muse: This whole closed(ing) mid level thing off the upper MA/NE coast ...it isn't a "coastal" in that sense. It has very little lower attending expression .. of which is missing, a CAA region around a west arc of a cyclone model... It's one of those ordeals where as it pulls away, you default warmer. We see this behavior in the early and late chapters of winters ... where the colder aspect was the front side of the event. Then as the low moves away and the sun comes out, the temp rockets to 44 F that afternoon or the next day... and that beautiful 10" of new snow ends up 4" of glop. So the weekend ... the OV to NE region defaults under +15 to 17C 850s, with [apparently] low ceiling RH, while slowly increasing WSW gradient spanning those two days. By convention, 90 is hot .. it's just not very big. Little longer: Also .. further down the road, there's a dicey period D8.5 - 11 on these models. The 00z and 06z GFS briefly closes off a 594+ dm contour over the upper mid Atlantic during that span, and both the GGEM and Euro indicate a significant mass of SW released air is/has extended all the way to the Va coast across the continent at that same time as the GFS. Meanwhile, the telecon footprint -PNA is still in place... I'd call that playing with fire ... Heat's really fragile in guidance, and in practice once above ~ 35 N. It only takes a subtle outflow from shower two towns over to undermine a hot afternoon. In the macro sense ( in guidance) just about any perturbation imaginable tends to offset big numbers. Be it a poorly timed debris plume off an MCS ... or a diffused front below the sensitivity of WPC's detection.. The closer to 95 ... 100, the more perfect things need to be. But, the flip side of the fragility is that it can be 'hidden' by these offsets, in guidance, and then if the guidance removes the offsets...it can emerge rather quickly. In the period leading and going through the D8 to 12, there is a -PNA hot signal that appears to have the elephant ass of the polar regions suppressing it south. It's like spring loaded heat in a sense. If/when the N branch of the westerlies relaxes thru S/SE Canada, the heat end up N in tandem. If the N stream is correct as is, we narily miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 23, 2022 Share Posted June 23, 2022 I wish Dr. Paul Roundy ( ...I think he's a doc by now...) still ran that probability product available on line like back in the old days. I found that tool to be more than merely eye candy. It seemed to do rather well at early detection for development regions of the Pac and Atlantic expanse. Not so much going forward, but the recent MJO and orientation of the R-wave correlate to eastern Pacific then relaying into Atlantic TC genesis, and now ... the 00z GGEM and Euro both have suggestion for MDR development nearing the Islands if just for sport. It's obviously hugely early by climo for that region, but it is what it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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