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June pattern and forecast discussion


weathafella
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  On 6/16/2022 at 10:59 AM, Spanks45 said:

Things are quite dry here as well. Amazing how that massive batch of rain just dries up as it heads our way.

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Ya going to have to water the new shrubs and garden and break out the sprinklers for the lawn..

 

Fairfield county is going to get a good soaking though.. 

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  On 6/16/2022 at 12:25 PM, SouthCoastMA said:

hope the cmc is right 

That's what the CMC shows - but the other models are disastrous. 

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I wouldn’t take any raw model output verbatim .. good or bad. Late June highest sun angle of year means if the mornings start out sunny it’ll warm quickly and then we see how much instability clouds we get in the afternoons. Sunday now looks to be warmer of two days. If the mornings are sunny it gets to 70 or a bit higher before pm clouds build 

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  On 6/16/2022 at 12:36 PM, weatherwiz said:

70's Saturday and struggling for 70 Sunday? 

Seemed to me like (at least for BDL) NAM/GFS (6z) struggled with 70 at BDL Saturday. 

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Just going by euro and EPS. GFS sort of all over, but so is euro. 
It comes down to cloud cover and showers. If it’s more east it won’t be bad. If it’s like the euro, we bad.

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