StormchaserChuck! Posted May 18, 2022 Share Posted May 18, 2022 Last year we were hot in June, then cooler in July-August-September. I think there is a lot of heat potential these days in May-June, so since May is cooler, June could be like +5. ^June 3 builds -PNA, which is 80s/90s automatically at 15day, mid90s max + 3days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted May 18, 2022 Author Share Posted May 18, 2022 If June is cool July August September will likely be hot/above average Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 When is June not hot in MD lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 Uh… I’ll go out on a limb and say this headline will be true on May 18 every, single year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 Let's bake and get days in the 100s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 47 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Let's bake and get days in the 100s. Nah 110's with humidity is even better! Let's break some records this year! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 1 hour ago, brentrich said: Nah 110's with humidity is even better! Let's break some records this year! there we go!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 28, 2022 Share Posted May 28, 2022 Beyond the brief bout of heat this week, maybe not so warm for a stretch. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted May 28, 2022 Share Posted May 28, 2022 Tony Pann said the same. NAO, PNA and MJO all in phases that keep the heat at bay for a bit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 28, 2022 Share Posted May 28, 2022 Year without a summer maybe? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 28, 2022 Share Posted May 28, 2022 Don't La Nina summers favor ridging in the central US? I think it is generally 'cooler' and drier in the east. Periods of oppressive heat and humidity are inevitable in these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted May 28, 2022 Author Share Posted May 28, 2022 Actually, watch out for the anti-correlation with the NAO since 2019, and really 2013. -NAO could mean warmer, especially in real feal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted May 28, 2022 Author Share Posted May 28, 2022 3 hours ago, CAPE said: Don't La Nina summers favor ridging in the central US? I think it is generally 'cooler' and drier in the east. Periods of oppressive heat and humidity are inevitable in these parts. Nothing La Nina about this http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/ENSHGTAVGNH_6z/ensloopmref.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted May 29, 2022 Share Posted May 29, 2022 On 5/28/2022 at 7:15 AM, CAPE said: Beyond the brief bout of heat this week, maybe not so warm for a stretch. Can we get that look in January/February please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted May 29, 2022 Share Posted May 29, 2022 Are we still heading for a June warming up? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted June 5, 2022 Share Posted June 5, 2022 Week of June 6, no high heat this week and a rainy day setting up for Midweek. WB 18Z GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted June 5, 2022 Share Posted June 5, 2022 On 5/28/2022 at 12:24 PM, StormchaserChuck! said: Nothing La Nina about this http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/ENSHGTAVGNH_6z/ensloopmref.html Not every week is going to act like La Niña Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted June 6, 2022 Share Posted June 6, 2022 Cool and dry intrusions won’t run out of gas until end of June Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted June 6, 2022 Share Posted June 6, 2022 Severe heat is building in Texas but it isn't spreading northeast, it seems to be wanting to back-build into the Great Basin region later in the week. The first half of June looks to be rather cool in the eastern U.S. with anomalies in the -1 to -3 F range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted June 6, 2022 Author Share Posted June 6, 2022 115F in Phoenix next weekend. SW Heat dome strengthens further. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted June 6, 2022 Author Share Posted June 6, 2022 I should have known with +PNA, the SW, and West coast would blast. This is usually how it happens, indexes lead on LR models. First +PNA kind of organic since probably Fall 2020. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted June 6, 2022 Share Posted June 6, 2022 DC can’t even get hot or humid in all day southerly flow right now Right now these highs are modest in strength but bringing what’s left of Canadian cool with them And Then they dont anchor themselves off Bermuda and stick because they are not 30.45+ to begin with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted June 6, 2022 Author Share Posted June 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: DC can’t even get hot or humid in all day southerly flow right now Right now these highs are modest in strength but bringing what’s left of Canadian cool with them And Then they dont anchor themselves off Bermuda and stick because they are not 30.45+ to begin with Pacific is super favorable for trough, and that is a legit correlation I mentioned it in the Winter, and ENSO subsurface is warm and surface is rapidly warming at same time.. nice short term trough potential that is realized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted June 9, 2022 Share Posted June 9, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 This title "June Warm Up likely" is a big BUSTED! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted June 12, 2022 Author Share Posted June 12, 2022 It looks like 6-20, we change to consistent 90s for highs. Big move in the Pacific.. we have been +PNA so far this month. 6-20 on looks like above average with subsurface ENSO warming trend finally breaking, incycle. (The next few subsurface warming waves may be artificial +PNA's) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted June 12, 2022 Author Share Posted June 12, 2022 Really cool so far v Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted June 12, 2022 Author Share Posted June 12, 2022 Maybe a -PNA signal developing for late June into early/midJuly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Almost middle of month and Another cool shot coming this weekend after couple days of around 90. Sometime it’s just better to stop riding the horse that won’t run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 7 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: Almost middle of month and Another cool shot coming this weekend after couple days of around 90. Sometime it’s just better to stop riding the horse that won’t run Broken clock theory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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