IronTy Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 Booooooom 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 The euro shift west is a tad bit surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 24, 2022 Author Share Posted September 24, 2022 Strongest winds yet after my morning survey. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 JB is all over this hurricane like stink on shit. Will be interesting to see if it comes in north of Tampa. My wife goes to Tampa a lot...I hate Tampa with a passion. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 This is the history for the closest buoy to the center of Fiona during landfall. The buoy is located at the western shore of the Cabot straight. Close to Charlottetown. The wind was not as impressive as I would have expected. But the wave height increase was quite impressive: MM DD TIME (GMT) WDIR WSPD kts GST kts WVHT ft DPD sec APD sec MWD PRES in PTDY in ATMP °F WTMP °F DEWP °F SAL psu VIS nmi TIDE ft 09 24 1400 SW 38.9 48.6 11.8 9 - - 28.69 +0.45 57.0 63.9 - - - - 09 24 1300 SW 40.8 52.4 13.5 11 - - 28.56 +0.51 57.9 63.5 - - - - 09 24 1200 SSW 42.7 54.4 14.1 9 - - 28.41 +0.57 56.3 63.5 - - - - 09 24 1100 SSW 48.6 58.3 17.1 10 - - 28.24 +0.69 57.9 63.7 - - - - 09 24 1000 SSW 46.6 56.3 19.0 11 - - 28.05 +0.46 59.4 63.9 - - - - 09 24 0900 SW 36.9 46.6 25.3 13 - - 27.85 +0.11 62.1 64.2 - - - - 09 24 0800 WSW 17.5 27.2 21.7 13 - - 27.55 -0.37 63.7 64.6 - - - - 09 24 0700 E 27.2 33.0 25.9 12 - - 27.59 -0.50 63.3 64.9 - - - - 09 24 0600 ENE 29.1 38.9 30.8 11 - - 27.74 -0.58 64.4 65.1 - - - - 09 24 0500 ENE 38.9 54.4 24.9 10 - - 27.91 -0.74 64.4 64.8 - - - - 09 24 0400 ENE 44.7 58.3 16.1 8 - - 28.10 -0.83 68.2 64.9 - - - - 09 24 0300 NE 44.7 54.4 8.5 7 - - 28.33 -0.76 70.0 65.5 - - - - 09 24 0200 N 40.8 50.5 8.2 6 - - 28.65 -0.58 59.7 65.8 - - - - 09 24 0100 NNE 35.0 44.7 5.9 6 - - 28.93 -0.40 59.9 65.7 - - - - 09 24 0000 NNE 33.0 40.8 5.2 6 - - 29.09 -0.28 59.9 65.8 - - - - 09 23 2300 NNE 27.2 35.0 3.9 6 - - 29.23 -0.21 60.8 66.4 - - - - 09 23 2200 NNE 21.4 25.3 3.6 7 - - 29.32 -0.13 62.4 66.0 - - - - 09 23 2100 N 19.4 23.3 3.3 7 - - 29.37 -0.14 61.9 66.6 - - - - 09 23 2000 N 13.6 15.5 3.0 7 - - 29.44 -0.07 62.1 66.6 - - - - 09 23 1900 N 13.6 15.5 2.6 7 - - 29.45 -0.09 62.1 66.7 - - - - 09 23 1800 NNW 9.7 11.7 3.0 7 - - 29.51 -0.05 62.2 66.4 - - - - 09 23 1700 WNW 5.8 7.8 3.0 7 - - 29.52 +0.01 63.1 67.1 - - - - 09 23 1600 W 5.8 5.8 3.3 6 - - 29.54 +0.01 63.7 66.9 - - - - 09 23 1500 WSW 11.7 13.6 3.6 6 - - 29.56 +0.02 63.9 66.9 - - - - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 Looks like GFS is taking Ian to the panhandle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 I have really not been following TD 9/Ian thanks to weeks and weeks of work hell. The twitter sharps are talking about adjustments west - does westward adjustments give us a better chance at rain from the remnants? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 24, 2022 Author Share Posted September 24, 2022 Recorded new personal pressure (941.9mb) and wind (65.3mph) records. Still going here. 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 Some of the worst damage video that I’ve seen on Twitter is actually surge-related up in Newfoundland. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 Not liking the trends today. Looks like Ian might miss the trough and rot in the gulf. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 Some of the lackluster and uneducated commentary in the main Ian Tropical thread makes me proud to be a Mid-Atlantic poster resident… 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 46 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Some of the lackluster and uneducated commentary in the main Ian Tropical thread makes me proud to be a Mid-Atlantic poster resident… Terrible 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 24, 2022 Author Share Posted September 24, 2022 Still gusting over TS force, but the wind is on the decline. Wouldn’t be surprised if we got minimal cane gusts this afternoon during the strongest. There were some hotel rattling gusts. At any rate, expecting to start making my way home tomorrow and will see about driving through ground zero in NS. Always appreciate the support, especially from my friend @MillvilleWx. It’s a long shot, but maybe I can get a crack at Ian next week… 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 24, 2022 Author Share Posted September 24, 2022 With Hermine and Ian on the board, my forecast continues to look good. If Ian does become a major, think I’ll be in striking distance of verifying the hurricane forecast as we shift to homebrew season in early October. Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20)Named Storms: 10 (6)Hurricanes: 6 (3)Major Hurricanes: 4 (1) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 4 hours ago, LeesburgWx said: Some of the lackluster and uneducated commentary in the main Ian Tropical thread makes me proud to be a Mid-Atlantic poster resident… It is a mess. No doubt. When did northern and southern blobs become science exactly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 WB 18Z GFS v EURO HR 90 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Center of circulation looks much better on Ian. Shear has lightened up a ton. Should be bombs away from here over the next couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 25, 2022 Author Share Posted September 25, 2022 Causeway held up fine. On my way to the northern shore of NS to survey the area. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 21 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: Strongest winds yet after my morning survey. Definitely looks breezy! Love being in the mist along the coast. Nice catch on the galloping utility lines. Looks like the worst missed the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Does the EURO have access to the NOAA invest flight sounding data? It still insists west coast of FL will be raked while GFS spares the west coast… WB 6Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Yes - the Euro pretty much ingests all pieces of data. They have the best ingestion/assimilation in the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 53 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Yes - the Euro pretty much ingests all pieces of data. They have the best ingestion/assimilation in the world. Thanks…. real model fight going on inside 3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Model question. Is the HWRF independent of the gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 25, 2022 Author Share Posted September 25, 2022 Passing through ground zero for wind and there is substantial damage. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 35 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Thanks…. real model fight going on inside 3 days. GFS is on its own with the western track, but continues to be stubborn. It will either score a coup or crawl back to the back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 19 minutes ago, MDstorm said: GFS is on its own with the western track, but continues to be stubborn. It will either score a coup or crawl back to the back. That’s why I am wondering about the hwrf. It’s also a western track. Personally, I would be more concerned if I lived in the panhandle rather than along the west coast of Florida. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Vernon Dvorak passed a few days ago at 93. What a cool weather guy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 25, 2022 Author Share Posted September 25, 2022 Trees down all the way into New Brunswick. What an event. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 25, 2022 Author Share Posted September 25, 2022 A clip of the damage survey. Will probably upload the longer one tomorrow. New personal records for low pressure (941.9mb) and wind measured (65.3mph) Great chase. Time to track Ian. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 WB 12Z EURO and GFS. At Hour 90. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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