TalcottWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I don't know how I'm going to sleep guys! Very excited. Plan on spending all night up on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Yeah that's why I brought up '78...it actualy had BOS get near freezing or even to 33F IIRC on the archived metars. But ti would crash back SE very fast. That's a classic look for E MA to jackpot with blizzard conditions. I love where I am right now, but I don't expect a jackpot yet, I think E MA is primed for it because they will flirt with the CF and the best forcing...which models often try to penetrate too far W in these setups where the sfc wind might be 040 but the ageostrophic flow is way opposite of that, and then as you close to within 12-24h of the event, they are ground zero and the models stop getting the 32F isotherm at the sfc as far inland as it does now. Attlehole to Ray looks pretty good in this setup. BOS might be terrific too if they can get a slight bit of ocean enhancement having it early enough int he season for delta-Ts to be good over the water. Too good to be true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Why do I get the feeling I'm getting 0 sleep the next 72 hours. I leave for vacation Tuesday AM too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 PM the SnowNH guy I'm guessing this is sarcasm but I gotta drive down to Balt/DC to see my sick brother in the hospital so it's pretty important for me to figure out when's the best time to leave and not get stuck on I95 in the middle of a blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turtle Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Gotta say... I'm amazed. This is probably one of the bigger medium range busts I can remember since March 01. Oh, I see what you're sayin' now. I worry more about short and near term busts, but it's something to consider. --Turtle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I know it's early about details, but if I can keep a steady snow..I'll be fine. I wonder if the dryslot gets close to se mass in this setup..you can see it in the qpf fields. Luckily, the mid level low develops south and seems to put a quick end to any nw movement of the dryslot. 040 wind is great for me. My only issue is if I go to 34 with a large isothermal layer a couple of thousand feet up and precip rate lightens up. Yeah it's early, but this is just the usual stuff I think about living near the water. If I had a glock to my head...I'd probably feel fine with all frozen. I live about 9 miles west of the canal. I think we are going to be getting our fair share of snow even if a mix is in the cards for a period of time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 good night everyone, merry christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Night boys and girls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I hope you're going to a cold and snowy place. Why do I get the feeling I'm getting 0 sleep the next 72 hours. I leave for vacation Tuesday AM too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Why do I get the feeling I'm getting 0 sleep the next 72 hours. I leave for vacation Tuesday AM too. NAM has peak 3hrly 10m winds at 48 knots for KPVC. 55 mph, gusting to hurricane force? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I live about 9 miles west of the canal. I think we are going to be getting our fair share of snow even if a mix is in the cards for a period of time.. You should. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/5995-xmas-miracle-blizzard-of-2010-lead-in-dialogue/#entry176783 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I'm guessing this is sarcasm but I gotta drive down to Balt/DC to see my sick brother in the hospital so it's pretty important for me to figure out when's the best time to leave and not get stuck on I95 in the middle of a blizzard. Well plan on tomorrow Afternoon then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 See what happens when you don't have a radio show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Well this would really be the Boxing Day Blizzard of 2010. In Ireland they call the 26th St. Stephen's Day fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 lol well the data assimilation/initialization errors from HPC that they were harping on. They kept throwing out all of their own models and now the Euro/UK/GGEM agree. Need to have more faith in the red white and blue! Just got home...first post I read....WONDERFUL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Oh, I see what you're sayin' now. I worry more about short and near term busts, but it's something to consider. --Turtle As do I. In terms of public impact this bust is relatively low. In terms of weenie impact it's probably one of the most "positive" busts I can think of in almost a decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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