CT Rain Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Yeah this seems too good..lol. I'm def waiting on the rest of the suite to come in. How I went from jackpot to barely a flurry in 1 run is beyond me. Also shows how difficult it's going to be to resolve this thing on the models. Lower confidence than usual for sure this forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 10-15'' MHT/ASH/ORH and E... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Probably overdone. But one thing we can acknowledge: NO EAST TREND FOR YOU! The only difference between the NAM and GFS at 66 could well be the feedback that the guys pointed out causing it to displace the 500 further east. the GFS with the lower resolution may not be seeing this, and is not as effected. OR it could be they're both right and somewhere in the middle will be the correct solution. We'll know in 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I 100% agree with you. The gfs has been too horrible lately for me to believe this sudden shift. If it happens GREAT, but i wouldnt bet on it. Total wx porn... but nice to see some solutions back on the table lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Probably to just result in bigger heartbreak. Seriously, though. This is exciting, but I will not be caught into it yet. Too drastic to jump in with both feed. Give me some Ens, a side of Euro, and 18z NAM/GFS to eliminate the "burp" aspects that could very well be at play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 well that was fun, Can't wait to see what the local mets are saying.. an yway back for the EURO.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Yeah this seems too good..lol. I'm def waiting on the rest of the suite to come in. Yes, Going to need to see if all the others models at 12z shift west, The GFS ensembles when they come out are prob going to have a lot of memebers well west but we shall see, Should be telling......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 10-15'' MHT/ASH/ORH and E... *like* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 As I said at the beginning of this thread... I'm picking up good vibrations GFS giving me excitations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 man it gets pretty warm for BOS around hr 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Similarities with the old Euro runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Anybody else in a blank stare mode.. like they just saw a ghost? Just how much 'nog have you had? I'm all for Christmas spirits, but damn... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I wonder what some TV mets will say at the 12 pm news? Chance for 0-18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I was feeling better about going to Florida tommorow...then I saw the GFS. Trip cancel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I like it but until I see something different from the Euro I'm sticking with my thoughts for CT that we won't see that much of an impact snowfall wise, some minor accumulations are definitely possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Seriously, though. This is exciting, but I will not be caught into it yet. Too drastic to jump in with both feed. Give me some Ens, a side of Euro, and 18z NAM/GFS to eliminate the "burp" aspects that could very well be at play. 100% agree and I think everyone is saying that too. With the last system there were always a few outliers in the SREF members, GEFs etc that delivered blizzards like this. I can never, ever recall a situation in which the RGEM/NAM were weaker and east while the GFS had a bomb. It just is bizarre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 And in the later runs it just keeps on going west. Euro will show a HV inside runner. Merry friggin Christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Similarities with the old Euro runs Thats why I'm not really skeptic... Euro showed this exact solution a couple of days ago. Will, If the euro comes west is it game on for sure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Seriously, though. This is exciting, but I will not be caught into it yet. Too drastic to jump in with both feed. Give me some Ens, a side of Euro, and 18z NAM/GFS to eliminate the "burp" aspects that could very well be at play. excellent reasoning though i think we are getting into the range where the ops are becoming more important than the ensembles, unless the op is a massive outlier which would be a red flag.....correct if wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawnmov Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Holy Blizzard Batman! Too bad that this keeps fluctuating between Blizzard and Flizzard. Need this to show up as is the next 2-3 runs now. But, signs are good for some good sledding weather with the kiddies this week. Call it the Christmas miracle? BTW, to whomever got this board back up and running from the old site, I thank you very much... This is not just a hobby, but following along is wildly entertaining. Each storm is like a full Red Sox season - ups, downs, excitement, dissapointment. At a minimum, great fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Well that was nice to sign on to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 holy #$@! I just got goose bumps all over!! I think I just turned weenie lock it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 100% agree and I think everyone is saying that too. With the last system there were always a few outliers in the SREF members, GEFs etc that delivered blizzards like this. I can never, ever recall a situation in which the RGEM/NAM were weaker and east while the GFS had a bomb. It just is bizarre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 yeah, but the GFS has been trending better every run, so we will see, but only 48-60 hrs I mean can it change that much? I know what you are going to say.. but jsut wanted to ask No, it hasn't. 06z today was worse than 00z last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 man it gets pretty warm for BOS around hr 66. MAV just in. 8+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Does anyone know when the March 2001 storm started shifting north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 On a handheld on plane...qpf con??? Can't see map thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I was feeling better about going to Florida tommorow...then I saw the GFS. Trip cancel? potential dagger looming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I love how the GFS gets trashed but when it shows solutions people like they stick to it like a parasite but when it shows an unfavorable solution it must be thrown out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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