Baroclinic Zone Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 Paul Kocin just updated his facebook with one word: "Wow!" lol f uck yeah! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Even the Nogaps....we have 100% agreement. Euro can kiss my azz... Will's triple fouker rule...came west 3 times it's a plan. This is not a good situaion, our first Condition Alpha on the new board. Weatafella we talked about ambien the other night I'd recommend not taking it and observing weather. the words appear in 3d floating off the LCD. The pillow next to me looks just like yogi bear and I'm confident that many solid objects in the room are changing shapes at times. Why would any doctor give this as a sleep medicine, appears better for the austin powers croud. back to weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Could really enhance my chances of hitting the winter forecast....I balls to the wall went 71 for BOS. Would have worried alot and will if this misses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 you'd think the euro would almost have to come onboard given the Ukie now. If not it would have to be considerd the outlier at this point.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 f uck yeah! My brother in law and his wife are bringing their new (gigantic) baby home to Taunton on Saturday or Sunday... I think I will give him a heads up (LOL) Harv loves Taunton... Sick winds for this possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Will's triple fouker rule...came west 3 times it's a plan. This is not a good situaion, our first Condition Alpha on the new board. Weatafella we talked about ambien the other night I'd recommend not taking it and observing weather. the words appear in 3d floating off the LCD. The pillow next to me looks just like yogi bear and I'm confident that many solid objects in the room are changing shapes at times. Why would any doctor give this as a sleep medicine, appears better for the austin powers croud. back to weather. No ambien for me. One thing I do very well is sleep.....a life of sleep deprivation makes it easier... :snowman: coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 you'd think the euro would almost have to come onboard given the Ukie now. No doubt in my mind that the EURO and GEM will hop aboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Ryan FTW, good cover though, LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Yeah there is essentially no chance BOS mixes even on the crazy amped up solutions like the GFS....the high location plus the low bombing so fast (and even trying to slightly elongate NE) keeps the ageostrophic flow almost due north...no chance to mix there, and probably not anywhere on the south shore...maybe Cape Cod. I'm pretty surprised right now. Maybe I'll be last to the party, but it almost seems too good to be true. That said the UKIE and NOGAPS join the party. I'm looking forward to the euro, I mean this is nuts to see modeled. It just seems like nrn stream energy has trended stronger and stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Poor Ryan's winter snowfall forecast for CT could be blown out by this one event. Could really enhance my chances of hitting the winter forecast....I balls to the wall went 71 for BOS. Would have worried alot and will if this misses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 you'd think the euro would almost have to come onboard given the Ukie now. The euro is limping to the bench right now after being pulled by the coach after a Bill Buckner performance.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 you'd think the euro would almost have to come onboard given the Ukie now. If the Euro does, it makes good sense. Think. Bad data from the Americans on the 12z run f'ed it too, so it does what it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Well a harrowing night. Close relative died...funeral Monday in Chicago. I've been given permission to miss it. My wife is the best...it's her side relative! I will fly there Monday morning (fat chance...lol..) to pay my respects. I'm very sorry to hear this news, Jerry. You have my fullest condolences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I'm still confident this will find a way to relatively screw North Central CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 My brother in law and his wife are bringing their new (gigantic) baby home to Taunton on Saturday or Sunday... I think I will give him a heads up (LOL) Harv loves Taunton... Sick winds for this possible Congrats! So he gave me some love tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Setting up Santa's gifts to the kids while The End of the World As We Know It is modeled FTL. Awesome event on the threshold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I'm very sorry to hear this news, Jerry. You have my fullest condolences. Jerry my friend please accept our condolences Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Poor Ryan's winter snowfall forecast for CT could be blown out by this one event. I expected an event of this magnitude, but not in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Setting up Santa's gifts to the kids wait...what?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 No doubt in my mind that the EURO and GEM will hop aboard. They have to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Jerry, sorry to hear that news. My condolences to you and your family. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I don't want to make it sound like this will fail, but we have one good suite of a consensus and we're fairly close in, but we still need to be a bit cautious. Never forget: http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/NARR/1989/us0223.php One of the most disappointing storms of my life as a young grade school weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 wait...what?! Santa drops them off, he doesn't do labor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Will what do you think for VT, NH, and ME? Precip seems to halt up here...Do you think as we get closer we will see thee shield expand? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I don't want to make it sound like this will fail, but we have one good suite of a consensus and we're fairly close in, but we still need to be a bit cautious. Never forget: http://www.meteo.psu...1989/us0223.php One of the most disappointing storms of my life as a young grade school weenie. You should have a beer with meteotrade over that. He has the same recollection that you do..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I don't want to make it sound like this will fail, but we have one good suite of a consensus and we're fairly close in, but we still need to be a bit cautious. Never forget: http://www.meteo.psu...1989/us0223.php One of the most disappointing storms of my life as a young grade school weenie. Always cautious til the flakes are flying, but at this point it is impossible not to be forcibly thrown to the floor and taken by what is modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 NCEP I agree with in pointing to a couple of likely issues: CONSOLIDATING UPPER LOW OVER THE EAST... LOW PRESSURE FORMING UP THE EAST COAST...PREFERENCE FOR A 00Z NAM/15Z SREF MEAN COMPROMISE THERE ARE SMALL SCALE DETAILS THE NAM/GFS/ECWMF ARE SHOWING ISSUES WITH WHICH MAY IMPACT ITS FORECAST LATER ON. THEIR SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE IN TEXAS ARE 30-40 METERS TOO WEAK AT THE 500 HPA LEVEL BASED ON RAOB REPORTS FROM TEXAS. THE NAM DOES NOT CAPTURE THE ONGOING CONVECTION IN EASTERN TEXAS. THE 18Z AND 00Z GFS RUNS ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF CONVECTIVE/GRIDSCALE FEEDBACK AS THE SYSTEM MOVES ALONG THE GULF COAST WHICH COULD BE MAKING ITS SOLUTION AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT TOO STRONG. THERE ARE HINTS THAT THE RIDGE INITIALLY ALONG THE EAST COAST IS MORE AMPLIFIED THAN THE NAM...WHICH WOULD BE CLOSEST TO THE 12Z ECMWF/12Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN FORECASTS FOR 00Z. ANY OF THESE DETAILS COULD DEGRADE/NEGATIVELY AFFECT THE SHORT RANGE FORECAST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Will what do you think for VT, NH, and ME? Precip seems to halt up here...Do you think as we get closer we will see thee shield expand? This would argue snow up to your way, but there is such incredible lift, that the gfs is actually showing subsidence zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 NCEP I agree with in pointing to a couple of likely issues: CONSOLIDATING UPPER LOW OVER THE EAST... LOW PRESSURE FORMING UP THE EAST COAST...PREFERENCE FOR A 00Z NAM/15Z SREF MEAN COMPROMISE THERE ARE SMALL SCALE DETAILS THE NAM/GFS/ECWMF ARE SHOWING ISSUES WITH WHICH MAY IMPACT ITS FORECAST LATER ON. THEIR SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE IN TEXAS ARE 30-40 METERS TOO WEAK AT THE 500 HPA LEVEL BASED ON RAOB REPORTS FROM TEXAS. THE NAM DOES NOT CAPTURE THE ONGOING CONVECTION IN EASTERN TEXAS. THE 18Z AND 00Z GFS RUNS ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF CONVECTIVE/GRIDSCALE FEEDBACK AS THE SYSTEM MOVES ALONG THE GULF COAST WHICH COULD BE MAKING ITS SOLUTION AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT TOO STRONG. THERE ARE HINTS THAT THE RIDGE INITIALLY ALONG THE EAST COAST IS MORE AMPLIFIED THAN THE NAM...WHICH WOULD BE CLOSEST TO THE 12Z ECMWF/12Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN FORECASTS FOR 00Z. ANY OF THESE DETAILS COULD DEGRADE/NEGATIVELY AFFECT THE SHORT RANGE FORECAST. Is it me, or is NCEP desperately grasping at straws. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This would argue snow up to your way, but there is such incredible lift, that the gfs is actually showing subsidence zones. Beside the fact that this in all likelyhood will not be the final outcome......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.